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Market Back to the Future (Again)

by Patrick O’Hare
Financial Sense

The first quarter earnings reporting period is nearly complete with over 90% of the S&P 500 having reported results for the March quarter. What we have learned to this point is that the first quarter earnings decline was not as bad as expected. Still, the first quarter reporting period can’t really be thought of as being good either.

According to S&P Capital IQ, aggregate S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) are estimated to be down 6.0% year-over-year in the first quarter. When we published our earnings preview on April 8, it was thought first quarter EPS would be down 7.9%.

Continue Reading at FinancialSense.com…

China’s ICBC Buys 2,000-Ton London Gold Vault From Barclays

by Eddie Van Der Walt and Stephen Morris
Bloomberg.com

ICBC Standard Bank Plc expanded its push into London’s precious metals market by agreeing to buy one of Europe’s largest vaults from Barclays Plc.

ICBC Standard, formed last year after Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd. — China’s biggest bank — bought a controlling stake in Standard Bank Plc’s global markets business, expects the purchase of the vaulting business and related contracts to be completed in July, it said in an e-mailed statement Monday. No financial details were given.

About $5 trillion of transactions are cleared every year in London’s gold market, which Barclays is exiting as it pulls out of precious metals. ICBC Standard last week joined the city’s precious-metals clearing system and last month won classification as a market maker by the London Bullion Market Association.

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

Hedge Funds Buy Silver as Silver Bullion Deficit Surges

by Mark O’Byrne
GoldCore

– Hedge funds have taken a record net-long silver position – CFTC data shows

– Precious metal surges 26% in 2016 on Fed, industrial & investment demand

– Cumulative global silver bullion deficit surges on revised data

[…] Hedge Funds Keep Betting On Silver (Bloomberg)
Gold up for 2nd day on China data, weaker stock markets (Reuters)
North American appetite for platinum jewelry flourishes (Reuters)
China goes cold on platinum jewelry, crimping world demand (Reuters)
Gold Caps Weekly Loss as U.S. Sales Gain Curbs Haven Demand (Bloomberg)

Continue Reading at GoldGore.com…

Three Tricks to Squeezing More Cash from Your Short-Term Trades

by Greg Guenthner
Daily Reckoning

You spend almost all your time thinking of what stocks to buy…

But you only spend a fraction of your time thinking of what stocks to sell. But selling is just as important as buying if you want to be a winning trader. And it’s also a lot trickier.

Why?

Because once you own a stock, you become emotionally committed. You’re no longer a bystander—you’re now an active investor. It’s your newest romance. It gives you butterflies. You want the stock to go up… no matter what. That’s why so many novice traders turn short-term trades into long-term holdings. They get hopeful. They decide to give it one more day to turn around…

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

Empire State Manufacturing Index Crashes After Back to Back Gains

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

The Empire State Manufacturing Index crashed to -9.02 after a brief two-month rally.

March was barely positive at +0.62 with April at +9.56.

This month, the Bloomberg Econoday consensus estimate was 7.0 in a range of 2.50 to 11.20.

Highlights

What little momentum there was in the New York manufacturing sector is fizzling, based on the Empire State index which came in much weaker-than-expected, at minus 9.02 in the May report to end two lonely looking gains in April and March.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

Gold Gains Ground as Equities and Dollar Retreat

by Jan Harvey
Reuters.com

LONDON, May 16 Gold rose 1 percent on Monday, recovering from its biggest weekly loss since mid-March, as stock markets eased after soft Chinese data, boosting interest in the metal as an alternative asset, and the dollar weakened against the euro.

Spot gold was up 1 percent at $1,286.01 an ounce at 1342 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were up $15.20 at $1,287.90.

The metal ended last week down 1.2 percent after a sharp midweek slide, though it rebounded 0.8 percent on Friday.

The metal is being supported by “sluggish stock markets, the U.S. dollar not really doing anything worthwhile, (and) the negative interest rate environment,” MKS’s head of trading Afshin Nabavi said.

Continue Reading at Reuters.com…

Is This What ‘The End Of The Great Debt Cycle’ Looks Like?

“It’s the end of the supercycle. It’s the end of the great debt cycle.” –Ray Dalio

by Jesse Felder
The Felder Report

Over the weekend, I sat down with Stig and Preston of The Investors Podcast. One of the questions they asked me was, “what are the three biggest risks you see right now?” I responded:

1. The Chinese Debt Bubble
2. The Bank of Japan’s Extremely Aggressive Monetary Policies
3. The US Corporate Debt Bubble

All three of these things now have something rather glaring in common: They have all stopped working.

In the case of the Chinese Debt Bubble, we have seen a renewed surge in the amount of debt being created with very little or no effect on the economy. Note the divergence recently between growth in bank credit and M2:

Continue Reading at TheFelderReport.com…

Fed’s Lacker Says Case for June Rate Hike Looks ‘Pretty Strong’

by Greg Robb
Market Watch

The case for an interest-rate increase in June “looks to be pretty strong,” said Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker on Monday.

In an interview with the Washington Post, Lacker said that inflation is moving “decidedly” toward the central bank’s 2% target. He said that labor markets are tight and the downside risks to growth have “dissipated” from the very beginning of the year.

“To me that adds up to a pretty strong case for a June move,” Lacker said.

The Richmond Fed president is not a voting member of the Fed policy committee this year. He has been one of the most forceful advocates in the central bank for hiking rates.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

China No Enemy of the West as Recent Regulatory and Diplomatic Moves Show

by Daily Bell Staff
The Daily Bell

China asks Britain for advice on creating financial super-regulator … China has asked Britain for advice on plans to create a financial super-regulator, as it looks to improve financial oversight following last year’s stock market crash, sources with knowledge of the talks told Reuters. – Reuters

Developments reported in the mainstream media show once again how intertwined China is with Western economic models and influences.

But there isn’t. Much of the so-called China-US tension is exaggerated or make-believe.

It’s part of the larger, cold war formulation now being erected between the BRICs and the West.

It’s just as phony as the previous Cold War. And just as phony as the long-ago Asian rivalry when people feared a resurgent 1980s Japan was going to take over the world.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Gold Plunges After “Someone” Suddenly Decides To Dump Over $2.3 Billion Notional In 10 Minutes

from Zero Hedge

A modest blip higher in the USD…

[…] And commodities suddenly accelerated to the downside, led by precious metals.

[..] While Copper and Crude are giving up gains, gold and silver and being monkey-hammered on heavy volume..

[…] Over 18,000 contracts – or over $2.3 billion notional of gold has been dumped in the last 10 minutes…

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Why I Will Vote for Donald Trump

by Curt Shilling
The Burning Platform

If your response is going to be anything related to ‘no one cares what you think’ stop reading now and go elsewhere. You’re coming here either interested in why, or to add to your list of reasons you don’t like me. I’m ok with both.

I’ve known Mr. Trump for a little over a decade. Our first encounter, and subsequent encounters, had to do with his request for me to appear on the apprentice.

We spoke at length every time we got together.

I realized very quickly this was a man decisive in action and confident in his ability.

Continue Reading at TheBurningPlatform.com…

Peter Boockvar – Backdrop for Gold & Silver Could Not Be More Powerful in a World of Monetary Madness

from King World News

With gold and silver remaining firm and gold and silver shares surging once again, today Peter Boockvar says the backdrop for gold and silver could not be better in a world of monetary madness.

Peter Boockvar: The economic data released over the weekend in China were all below expectations for April. Retail sales rose 10.1% y/o/y vs the estimate of 10.6%. That is a slowdown from 10.5% growth in March and it’s the weakest since May ’15. The National Bureau of Statistics said slower auto sales vs March was the main reason for the slowdown. Industrial production grew by 6% y/o/y, below the forecast of 6.5% and down from 6.8% growth in March…

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

Charts Updated as of Monday at 11 Am – Tender Mercies

from Jesse’s Café Américain

By their manipulations and deceit they prove that which they seem to fear, that their economic and monetary theory is nonsense, and is failing, for it cannot stand on its own. And that the people will not be fooled forever.

As noted over at Zerohedge a little while ago, “over 18,000 contracts – or over $2.3 billion notional of gold has been dumped in the last 10 minutes…”

I will be in training this week to help Mary when she comes home, learning how to more effectively assist her to get in and out of a car, and manage her needs, as she will be in a wheel chair for a little while at least. But given her remarkable progress the therapists do not expect this to be too long. It is hard to believe that only four weeks ago the doctors were deeply concerned that she would never have the use of her right leg and arm again.

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

Gold Get Back On The Rally Tracks

by Chuck Butler
Daily Pfennig

Good Day… And a Marvelous Monday to you! A very nice weekend for yours truly, as we kicked it off with a family party / shower for Kathy’s nephew who’s getting married this summer, and ended with the kids all in the pool yesterday, and the sky an umbrella blue, and warm sun… No wait! It ended with a Blues and Cardinals win last night! Van Morrison greets me this morning with his great song: Moondance… Van Morrison is one of my fave artists through the years going back to Brown Eyed Girl, and up to his latest stuff, that just doesn’t get air play any longer…

Well, we’re starting the week with the dollar a little softer that is was for most of last week… Front and Center this morning, Fed member John Williams was quoted on TV this morning saying that he’s good things going on in the economy and believes there will be 2-3 more rate hikes this year…

Continue Reading at DailyPfennig.com…

How Referenda Threaten the EU

by Stratfor
Financial Sense

[…] Europe seems to be in a referendum frenzy these days. In early May, the Hungarian government confirmed its decision to hold a referendum on the European Commission’s plan to distribute asylum seekers among member states. In April, Dutch citizens voted against the European Union Association Agreement with Ukraine in a referendum organized by a Euroskeptic organization. In June, the United Kingdom will hold a crucial vote on whether to leave the European Union altogether. The three votes have a common denominator: EU citizens are mostly being asked to decide on issues connected to the process of Continental integration.

Continue Reading at FinancialSense.com…

Defense Bill Coming This Week: A Boost for War and Tyranny

by Dr. Ron Paul
Ron Paul Institute

For many of us concerned with liberty, the letters “NDAA” have come to symbolize Washington’s ongoing effort to undermine the US Constitution in the pursuit of constant war overseas. It was the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for 2012 that introduced into law the idea that American citizens could be indefinitely detained without warrant or charge if a government bureaucrat decides they had assisted al-Qaeda or “associated forces that are engaged in hostilities against the United States.” No charges, no trial, just disappeared Americans.

Continue Reading at RonPaulInstitute.org…

Venezuela Crisis: Emergency Declared by President Nicolas Maduro

by Nandini Krishnamoorthy
International Business Times

President Nicolas Maduro has declared a 60-day state of emergency in Venezuela on 13 May, giving him extended authority to deal with the current economic crisis in his country. He has cited threats from within his country as well as from the US for imposing the measure.

According to Reuters, Maduro has not provided any details of the emergency. When a similar emergency was imposed in states near the Colombian border in 2015, he had suspended constitutional rights in those areas and retained only the guarantees in connection to human rights.

Continue Reading at IBTimes.co.uk…

Brexit Risks ’25pc House Price Crash’ but Fitch Warns Remain Vote Will Not Resolve EU Tensions

by Szu Ping Chan
Telegraph.co.uk

House prices could crash by 25pc and the pound drop by a third if the UK leaves the EU, according to Fitch, which warned that social tensions risked boiling over even if Britain stays in the bloc.

The rating agency said a messy exit characterised by “rancorous and protracted” trade negotiations would fuel market turbulence and risk “permanent damage” to the UK’s financial sector.

Brexit could ‘shift centre of gravity in EU’

Under this scenario, the value of sterling would drop by 30pc against a basket of other currencies by the end of 2016, pushing retail failures to levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis and hitting UK landlords through a clampdown in immigration.

Continue Reading at Telegraph.co.uk…

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, Ex-Argentine President, Indicted on Financial Charge

by Jonathan Gilbert
New York Times

BUENOS AIRES — A judge in Argentina on Friday indicted former President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner and other officials on charges of manipulating the nation’s Central Bank during the final months of her administration.

Mrs. Kirchner and the officials are accused of entering into contracts to sell the Central Bank’s dollars at below-market rates during her presidency in order to shore up the Argentine peso.

The judge, Claudio Bonadio, said that it was “unthinkable that a financial operation of this magnitude” could have been carried out without the explicit approval of “the highest political and economic decision makers of government.”

Judge Bonadio will now deepen his investigation, legal experts said, to decide whether the case goes to trial or is dismissed. Mrs. Kirchner can appeal her indictment.

Continue Reading at NYTimes.com…

The NY Times Blatantly Lied: Must-Read

by Karl Denninger
Market-Ticker.org

Read this folks:

The New York Times’ article published Saturday with the headline “Crossing the Line: How Donald Trump Behaved With Women in Private” begins with an anecdote from a woman named Rowanne Brewer Lane, who as a 26-year-old model was asked by the businessman to put on a swimsuit during their first meeting at a Mar-a-Lago pool party.

….

“They spun it to where it appeared negative. I did not have a negative experience with Donald Trump, and I don’t appreciate them making it look like that I was saying that it was a negative experience because it was not,” Brewer Lane said.

The article makes quite-clear that this woman, at least, who did date Donald Trump, didn’t believe there was anything negative about her time with him — including that pool party.

Continue Reading at Market-Ticker.org…

Gold Depository Could Soon Be on Its Way to Texas

by Anna M. Tinsley
Star-Telegram

Tarek Saab has a golden vision for Texas.

Well, for a Texas Bullion Depository anyway.

So he, and his company — Texas Precious Metals — set up a booth at the Republican Party of Texas state convention in Dallas to tell Texans about it.

“Texans as a group are some of the largest gold buyers in the world,” said Saab, chief operating officer of the company. “The only options they have to store it right now are in a bank or their home.”

Saab’s company, one of many interested in being involved with the state’s plan to create a depository, proposes building a potentially $20 million facility — with no Texas tax dollars — on 40 acres of land it has in Shiner, about 250 miles south of Fort Worth.

Continue Reading at Star-Telegram.com…

Obama’s Cuban Ambitions as Seen by Cubans Themselves

by Jeff Thomas
International Man

For half a century, Americans have been largely unable to visit Cuba and have had to rely on the US government and media for an understanding of the political, social and economic conditions there. What has been described as the “American Berlin Wall” has been successful in providing Americans with quite an inaccurate view.

Throughout this period, those Cubans who exited the island in 1959 (and their descendants) have maintained a propaganda programme that, rightly or wrongly, reflected their desire to return to Cuba and to once again rule it. Additionally, they’ve contributed regularly to both the primary US political parties in order to assure that the blockade would be maintained and that Americans would be kept out until such time as the island could be re-taken.

Continue Reading at InternationalMan.com…

Abenomics: So Much Effort, So Little Results

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

Abenomics Recap

Record Japanese stimulus coupled with negative rates yield produced no inflation, a flat stock market, a strengthening Yen, falling exports, and a slowdown in bank lending.

Running Out of Road

Bloomberg reports Never Has BOJ Done So Much for So Little Benefit.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

Two More US Energy Companies Go Bankrupt: Breitburn, Sandridge File Chapter 11

from Zero Hedge

Just days after the latest two shale casualties filed for bankruptcy protection when both Linn Energy and Penn Virginia announced prepackaged Chapter 11, moments ago Sandridge announced it too was entering bankruptcy court when it filed a voluntarily petition under Chapter 11 in U.S. Bankruptcy Court for Southern District of Texas to consummate a pre-arranged reorganization.

This follows just hours after Breitburn Energy Partners announced it had filed Chapter 11 as it hopes to negotiate a restructuring of its balance sheet in court, continuing talks with creditors that began a month ago, CEO Hal Washburn said in a release.

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

U.S. Stock Futures Struggle After Weak Manufacturing Data

Oil gains after Goldman turns upbeat on supply

by Anora Mahmudova and Barbara Kollmeyer
Market Watch

U.S. stock futures were fighting to advance Monday, hovering near the flatline after a reading of New York-area manufacturing conditions fell sharply in May.

The Empire State general business-conditions index nose-dived to a reading of negative 9, from positive 9.6 in April. Against that weak-data backdrop. some investors believe the probability for an increase of benchmark interest rates by the Federal Reserve as a low.

Stock futures were already struggling after Chinese economic indicators pointed to more weakness, overshadowing a renewed push higher for oil prices.

Still mergers and acquisitions news jolted a handful of stocks, including Anacor Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Central Bankers’ Wisdom Faulted as Gold Holdings Surge 25%

by Ranjeetha Pakiam
Bloomberg.com

The great gold rush of 2016 is gathering pace. Holdings in exchange-traded funds have now surged by a quarter, with investors taking advantage of lower prices over the past two weeks to enlarge stakes on rising concern about central bank policy making worldwide.

The holdings have increased to 1,822.3 metric tons, the most since December 2013, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, after bottoming at a seven-year low in January. In the past two weeks, as prices lost 1.6 percent, ETFs swelled 63.2 tons, rising every day.

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

U.S. Concern Grows Over Possible Venezuela Meltdown – Officials

by Matt Spetalnick
Reuters.com

The United States is increasingly concerned about the potential for an economic and political meltdown in Venezuela, spurred by fears of a debt default, growing street protests and deterioration of its vital oil sector, U.S. intelligence officials said on Friday.

In a bleak assessment of Venezuela’s worsening crisis, the senior officials expressed doubt that unpopular leftist President Nicolas Maduro would allow a recall referendum this year, despite opposition-led protests demanding a vote to decide whether he stays in office.

But the two officials, briefing a small group of reporters in Washington, predicted that Maduro, who heads Latin America’s most ardently anti-U.S. government and a major U.S. oil supplier, was not likely to be able to complete his term, which is due to end after elections in late 2018.

Continue Reading at Reuters.com…