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In China, Nobody Wants to Be a Bagholder

from Zero Hedge

With the frenzied speculation that drove levels and volumes in Chinese commodities off the charts having dawned on everyone from Cramer to Chinese Securities regulators as ‘not real’, it appears everyone is scrambling to not be the bagholder for this bubble as authorities crackdown on Chinese asset managers pooling retail investor funds, warning of the rise of “ponzi schemes.” While nobody knows for sure how much of the trading surge has been driven by individuals, but the evidence suggests retail punters are playing a big role, and as Bloomberg reports, the average holding period for contracts including rebar and iron ore was less than 3 hours in April!

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Will Amazon and the Naz Now Detumesce?

by Rick Ackerman
RickAckerman.com

Amazon’s wilding spree topped yesterday at 719.00, exactly 44 cents below the target I sent out a week ago with the stock trading $35 lower.

My hunch is that AMZN will not significantly better the high in the days, or possibly weeks, ahead. Its vertical climb helped keep the Nasdaq index buoyant since mid-February, but without the inspiration, if you can call it that, the braod averages are likely to detumesce.

Continue Reading at RickAckerman.com…

Unfortunately, it Was Only a Brief Moment of Clarity

by Jeffrey P. Snider
Alhambra Partners

I have referred to the June 2003 FOMC meeting many times before and I suspect that I will continue to do so long into the future. It was one of those events that should be marked in history, truly relevant to the future developments that became panic and now sustained economic decay. It’s as if the committee members at that time anticipated their current powerlessness – yet did nothing about it. Their preferred course from that moment until August 2007 was relieved ignorance.

Continue Reading at AlhambraPartners.com…

Is Your Income Stream About to Dry Up?

by Justin Spittler
Casey Research

Another day, another corporate scandal…

Dispatch readers know a growing number of companies are using financial tricks to make their businesses appear stronger than they really are. As we mentioned yesterday, some companies are using “financial engineering” to inflate sales or profits. Others are committing outright fraud.

It’s becoming harder and harder to trust Corporate America. And now, there’s yet another reason why…

Continue Reading at CaseyResearch.com…

Market Talk – May 11th, 2016

by Martin Armstrong
Armstrong Economics

A positive opening for the Nikkei, trading up +1% at the opening bell but sadly could not hold onto the gains and we eventually closed little changed on the day. The Hang Seng was the poor performer closing down almost 1% whilst Shanghai was a touch better. Asia really had little top topics but we have seen futures take Asian markets lower in sympathy with global exchanges. Currently, we see HSI, Nikkei and China 300 all lower between 0.3 and 0.6% weaker.

With Asia not providing a direction for the European opening, dealers focused on sentiment and the concerns all Asian indices were closing at or close to their lows. The majority of the day saw all indices in negative territory with the only exception being the UK FTSE which even managed a small positive close.

Continue Reading at ArmstrongEconomics.com…

This Week’s JBSFC

by Turd Ferguson
TF Metals Report

Geez, I’m so busy this week that I just now remembered to post this vital weekly update from John and Steve.

Here are the program notes from John Batchelor’s website:

Sixth Most Admired Putin. Stephen F. Cohen, NYU, Princeton University. EastWestAccord.com.

“Microsoft boss Bill #Gates is the most admired man in the world followed by US President Barack #Obama. Chinese leader Xi Jinping is third while actor Jackie Chan is fourth.

“Physicist Stephen Hawkin is the fifth most popular man in the world, followed by Putin.

Continue Reading at TFMetalsReport.com…

Ten Stunning Parallels Between The United States And Nazi Germany

by Michael Snyder
End of the American Dream

Most Americans may not like to hear this, but the truth is that modern day America very closely resembles Nazi Germany. If you initially recoiled when you read the headline to this article, that is understandable. After all, most of us were raised to deeply love this country. But I would ask you to consider the evidence that I have compiled before you pass judgment on the matter. Most citizens of this nation know that something has gone deeply wrong, and I would suggest that just like the Nazis, all of the pageantry and beauty in our society masks an evil which has grown to a level that is almost unspeakable. And just like the Germans, we don’t do ourselves any favors by turning a blind eye to what is going on. The following are 10 stunning parallels between the United States and Nazi Germany…

Continue Reading at EndOfTheAmericanDream.com…

“China is Buying Canada” – Notes From a Gigantic Real Estate Bubble

by Michael Krieger
Liberty Blitzkrieg

Many of you will be intimately familiar with the massive real estate bubble still in the process of inflating in certain parts of Canada, particularly Vancouver.

The insanity of it all recently received a great deal of public attention when the following home was listed for $2.4 million earlier this year (it has since sold).

[…] If you’ve been following this story, you’ll also be aware that the primary driver behind the bubble is foreign investment, particularly Chinese. Of course, this isn’t a phenomenon unique to Canada, and as I noted in last year’s post, Welcome to Arcadia – The California Suburb Where Wealthy Chinese Criminals are Building Mansions to Stash Cash:

Continue Reading at LibertyBlitzkrieg.com…

This Shocking Piece is a Must Read for Anyone Who is Worried About the Endgame

from King World News

This piece is a must read for anyone who is worried about the endgame.

By Bill Fleckenstein President Of Fleckenstein Capital

May 11 (King World News) – Overnight markets were uneventful and through midday here the indices lost a little less than 0.5% after yesterday’s surprising ramp job to the upside. In the afternoon the market slipped more and closed on the lows, off by 1%-ish. Yesterday’s rally looks particularly odd and the market now feels exhausted to me. If so, shorts may start to work better, though I only added a little bit today…

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – The Gathering Storm

from Jesse’s Café Américain

[…] When gold and silver finally are able, through price action, to have their say about the state of Western fiscal and monetary policy actions, it may break a few ear drums and shatter a more than a few illusions about the wisdom and honesty of the money masters.

Slowly, but surely, a reckoning is coming. And what has been hidden will be revealed.

Have a pleasant evening.

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

Harvey Organ’s Daily Gold & Silver Report – 2016.05.11

GLD sees another 2.67 tonnes added to inventory: rests tonight at 841.92 tonnes/no change in silver SLV/Silver comex sees huge rise in OI to 205,391/small liquidation in gold comex OI.amount of gold standing at comex for May continues to rise: now at 6.3732 tonnes/Italian banks are now in more trouble with a surprsing big loss at Banca Populare/Macy’s stock massacred today/Dow falters badly today by over 217 points

by Harvey Organ
Harvey Organ’s Blog

[…] Today, our banker friends huffed and they puffed when they saw the latest OI figures for silver/gold.Gold OI: 579,777 and silver: 205,391. The open interest for silver is a noose around their neck. They were mildly successful in removing a small number of gold leaves. They took their temper tantrum initially on the gold/silver shares midday but that too was short lived. Gold and silver had a good day, and by closing time, the gold/silver equity shares also had a stellar day.

Continue Reading at HarveyOrganBlog.com…

A Geologist’s Case for Gold

by Byron King
Daily Reckoning

Something big is happening with gold. Over the past few years, if you bought and owned gold and gold mining shares, it’s been frustrating with gold prices in the doldrums of 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012. That’s four years of downside correction. But, that was then, and this is now. Let’s discuss what’s happening and nail down some serious opportunity…

Follow the money and right now money is moving into gold and select miners. In fact, there’s so much interest in “paper” gold that physical supply has utterly broken down. As in… crashed and about to burn in a roaring fireball!

This is critical. The amount of physical gold in storage in Comex versus the number of registered “owners” against each ounce is nuts.

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

Andrew Hoffman – The “Commercials” Will Lose!

from Financial Survival Network

“Where are going” Wednesday with Andrew Hoffman:

– Gold bull market is back, per my article several months ago

– This weekend’s article – The Fed, Cartel, and powers that be on the precipice

– Yesterday’s article – It’s the “commercials” that should be scared.”

– Today’s article – Hey Cartel, is that the best you’ve got?

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Sign up (on the right side) for the instant free Financial Survival Toolkit and free weekly newsletter.

Macy’s Crushed by Amazon, Italian Banks Crushed by Euro

by John Rubino
Dollar Collapse

This is a tale of changing environments and the organisms that are, as a result, dying off.

First, consider the bricks and mortar retailers. Amazon, the dominant online seller of virtually everything, reports a spectacular quarter with soaring sales and (fairly new for them) strong profits. But in a world of flat consumer spending, where families have already used up their savings, their kids’ college funds and the loose change in their sofas to make ends meet, one store’s feast is necessarily another’s famine. And the physical retailers — which require you to actually go to them in order to buy their stuff — now find the water hole dry and the trees barren of leaves. Here’s what Macy’s reported this morning:

Continue Reading at DollarCollapse.com…

Italy Must Choose Between the Euro and Its Own Economic Survival

Renaissance bank Monte dei Paschi di Siena is the most spectacular casualty of Italy’s banking crisis

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Telegraph.co.uk

Italy is running out of economic time. Seven years into an ageing global expansion, the country is still stuck in debt-deflation and still grappling with a banking crisis that it cannot combat within the paralyzing constraints of monetary union.

“We have lost nine percentage points of GDP since the peak of the crisis, and a quarter of our industrial production,” says Ignacio Visco, the rueful governor of the Banca d’Italia.

Each year Rome hopefully pencils in a fall in the ratio of public debt to GDP, and each year the ratio rises. The reason is always the same. Deflationary conditions prevent nominal GDP rising fast enough to outgrow the debt.

Continue Reading at Telegraph.co.uk…

Beware of the Chaos of Helicopter Money

by Daily Bell Staff
The Daily Bell

Indian central bank governor says helicopter money no panacea … Indian Central Bank Governor Raghuram Rajan said on Tuesday that he had doubts “helicopter money”, or free cash given directly to citizens to stimulate growth, would be successful if adopted by developed world policymakers. – Reuters

Raghuram Rajan has come out against helicopter money and this is probably to be expected from India’s version of US central banker Paul Volcker.

Both men hiked interest rates hard to halt rapid price inflation. In Rajan’s case, the rupee was depreciating at 10 percent per year.

Now the rupee has stabilized and Rajan gets credit for monetary success and for working closely with India’s Ministry of Finance.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Trump’s Time: The Donald Can Beat Hillary Without NeverTrump

by Roger Stone
Breitbart.com

As Donald Trump prepares for an epic battle with “First Enabler” Hillary Clinton, the media is too focused on party unity and are oblivious to the fact that denunciation of Trump by failed elites like the Bush’s as well as the prevarications of Paul Ryan only fuel his rise, as did the opposition of Mexico’s ex-president, the Chinese Communists, the Pope, David Cameron, the Saudis, and Mitt Romney. The political class is discredited with voters hungry for change.

What they are missing are the millions of new voters and donors Trump has brought to the party, with the GOP contest drawing two million more voters than the rather boring Hillary v. Bernie bout. It is important to note that in 2012, a change in just 700,000 votes in five states would have changed the outcome of the election.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

The Labor Market Suggests a Recession Could Be Coming Soon

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives
Business Insider

With the surge in last week’s new unemployment claims, the largest in 65 weeks, and the fourth smallest number of monthly new nonfarm jobs since January 2014, today’s updated of the Labor Market Conditions Index takes on special significance.

The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) is a relatively recent indicator developed by Federal Reserve economists to assess changes in the labor market conditions. It is a dynamic factor model of labor market indicators, essentially a diffusion index subject to extensive revisions based on nineteen underlying indicators in nine broad categories (see the table at the bottom for details).

Continue Reading at BusinessInsider.com…

China Coal Province GDP Just Enough to Repay Its Miner Debts

by Bloomberg News
Bloomberg.com

Debt of mining companies in China’s leading coal province has ballooned to about the same level as its annual economic output, casting doubt over the ability of the regional authority to backstop their new bonds.

The Shanxi government plans to guarantee note sales from seven coal producers owned by the northern province, people familiar with the matter said earlier this month. Total debt of those firms climbed to 1.2 trillion yuan ($184 billion) at the end of 2015, just 100 billion yuan less than the province’s gross domestic product that year, according to a May 5 report from Citic Securities Co. Shanxi Jincheng Anthracite Mining Group Co., one of the seven firms, had to offer investors nearly double the yield of similarly-rated notes when it sold AAA rated five-year bonds at the end of last month.

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

Spain: Another Hung Election Coming Up

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

Current polls in Spain show an outcome nearly identical the December election in which no party or coalition of parties could foster a majority.

In the past week, Podemos managed to form a coalition with leftist parties IU and Confluencias, to possibly become the second largest party in Spain, but that does not change the math.

A poll by Celeste-Tel between May 5 and May 7, as reported by El Economista follows.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

China Inc. Tries to Buy the World, with Impeccable Timing

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

King of foreign M&A, at peak prices, funded by state-owned banks.

Not even five-and-a-half months into the year, Chinese mergers & acquisitions in other countries have hit $110.8 billion, nearly four times as much as during the same period last year, and surpassing the total volume of the entire year 2015 ($106.8 billion).

And so China Inc. has become the number one cross-border acquirer for the first time ever, ahead of Canada with $67.7 billion in deals, and the US with $53.1 billion.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Rockwell on Rothbard

by Mises Institute
Mises.org

This talk, delivered by Lew Rockwell at a memorial service for Murray Rothbard, gives a great perspective on Rothbard’s life, work, influence, courage, and personality. Especially fascinating is Rockwell’s account of Rothbard’s willingness to defy political boundaries and work with both Left and Right — causing each to believe fervently that he was in the other camp!

His political writings date from the early 1950s, when he wrote for Faith and Freedom, a hard-Right, isolationist publication. In articles on the evils of the military buildup, he warned that American liberty would be sacrificed to the Cold War.

That led to his break with the Buckleyites, who ridiculed him and his ideas. They never took him on directly; they were smarter than that. Instead, they smeared him in private, and tried to deny him publishing and speaking opportunities.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

Islamic State Buries Alive Dozens of Its Own Soldiers to Stem Soaring Defections

from Zero Hedge

Things are deteriorating fast for the cash-strapped Islamic State.

One month ago we reported that as a result of the collapse of ISIS’ oil trade with Turkey following the relentless bombing of its oil extraction and transportation infrastructure mostly by Russian forces, the money inflows generated by the Islamic State have plunged. “In mid-2015, the Islamic State’s overall monthly revenue was around $80 million” said Ludovico Carlino, senior analyst at IHS, which issues regular reports on IS-controlled territory. Carlino added that “as of March 2016, the Islamic State’s monthly revenue dropped to $56 million.”

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Hey Cartel, Was That the Best You Got?

by Andrew Hoffman
Miles Franklin

Do you want bold? Well you’ll get it today – as after 14 years of Cartel-inflicted torture, the “bull market to end all bull markets” has finally arrived, whether Harry Dent, Larry Edelson, Martin Armstrong, and countless “short-term bearish, but long-term bullish” newsletter writers like it. The fact is, the “New York Gold Pool” – like the London Gold Pool in the 1960s, and dozens of failed attempts to suppress real money throughout history – is on its last legs, as the broadest, most destructive fiat Ponzi scheme implodes upon itself. I mean, think about it. What could be more symbolic of how far the “system” has fallen, than one of Brazil’s top soccer stars warning people about coming to Rio for the Olympics – which for the past year, I have said will either not occur, or do so without the majority of scheduled athletes, spectators, and media?

Continue Reading at MilesFranklin.com…

Oil Soars Past $46 to a More Than Six Month High

EIA reports a surprise 3.4 million-barrel fall in crude stockpiles

by Myra P. Saefong, Georgi Kantchev, and Jenny W. Hsu
Market Watch

Oil futures soared past $46 a barrel on Wednesday to settle at their highest level in more than six months.

The climb was supported by a U.S. government report that revealed an unexpected weekly drop in crude inventories and a ninth straight week of falling domestic production.

June West Texas Intermediate crude tacked on $1.57, or 3.5%, to settle at $46.23 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The settlement was the highest since Nov. 4. July Brent crude on London’s ICE Futures exchange added $2.08, or 4.6%, to end at $47.60 a barrel.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…