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Market Analyst Forecast: “In The Next Week Or Two We Should See A Significant Move To The Downside”

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

Greg Mannarino of TradersChoice.net has been keeping a close eye on stock and bond markets. He has been accurately predicting major turning points in these markets for years.

While everyone in the mainstream appears to know that something is seriously amiss with the economy, no one is warning the retail investor, despite the fact that billions of dollars are being shifted out of broader markets and into safe haven assets like gold and silver.

Unless some miracle happens, the next large move for this market is down…

Their bottom line… a lot of these companies are coming in below the mark… but the market is still in this topping phase… the fear/greed index remains at an extreme, so we should not be surprised to see this…

Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

Trump, Clinton and Precious Metals

by Andrew Hoffman
Miles Franklin

This weekend couldn’t come soon enough – as since Shinzo Abe proposed a $100 billion “helicopter money” scheme two weeks ago (after $10 trillion of similar QE programs miserably failed), Precious Metals have been under maddening (even for me), unrelenting pressure, every second of every day.

As I wrote yesterday, it can be argued that such action was influenced by the yen/dollar exchange rate’s (government-orchestrated) rise. And yes, such algorithms do exist, to try to influence HFT trading activity. However, such correlations are spurious at best, when any type of longer-term period is considered. To wit, when the Precious Metal bull market commenced in August 1999, gold was $253/oz, silver $5/oz, and the yen/dollar exchange rate 115:1. Today, the yen exchange rate is 106:1, just 8% “stronger” than 1999 – yet gold is $1,322/oz, or 422% higher; and silver $19.60/oz, or 312% higher. And this, despite the Bank of Japan maniacally trying to destroy the Yen, and every major Western Central bank trying to destroy gold and silver.

Continue Reading at MilesFranklin.com…

A Fully Automated Stock Market Blow-Off?

by Pater Tenebrarum
Acting Man

Anecdotal Skepticism vs. Actual Data

About one month ago we read that risk parity and volatility targeting funds had record exposure to US equities. It seems unlikely that this has changed – what is likely though is that the exposure of CTAs has in the meantime increased as well, as the recent breakout in the SPX and the Dow Jones Industrial Average to new highs should be delivering the required technical signals.

All these strategies are more or less automated (they may be tweaked from time to time, but essentially they are simply quantitative and/or technical strategies relying on inter-market correlations, volatility measures, and/or momentum). Active fund managers by contrast are said to be skeptical of the market rally, but it should be stressed that the evidence for this is purely anecdotal.

Continue Reading at Acting-Man.com…

Weekend Edition: Doug Casey on “Brexit”

from Casey Research

Editor’s note: It’s been a month since “Brexit”…the historic event that wiped out more than $3 trillion from the global stock market in two days.

But what happens now?

Today, Casey Research founder Doug Casey breaks down what the decision means for Britain…and how it foreshadows some big changes in the world at large.

Continue Reading at CaseyResearch.com…

It Starts: First Mega-Foreclosure Hits Houston Office Market

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

A nasty quarter at the epicenter of the Great American Oil Bust.

Greenspoint Place, a 1.5-million-square-foot, six-building office and retail complex on 36 acres, whose occupancy plunged below 40% when Exxon Mobil moved to its new campus, was sold at a foreclosure auction on July 5. It crowned a nasty quarter in Houston’s oil-bust office market.

The complex was owned by a partnership of two giants: one of the world’s largest developers, Hines, and the General Motors Pension Fund. They’d acquired it in the 1990s. In July 2012, they’d refinanced the first mortgage of $145 million with Northwestern Mutual.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

The Week in Review: July 23, 2016

by Mises Institute
Mises.org

The Republican Party took over Cleveland this week as Donald Trump was officially made the party’s nominee. As expected, the convention failed to offer any real solutions to the problems we face. If Mr. Trump is truly dedicated to Making America Great Again, he should reject the ideas of plunder and paternalism and instead listen to the recommendations of Ron Paul, Joe Salerno and other Austrian scholars. No matter who becomes the next US president, we will, like the UK, have to face the fact that the economy is going to bust — the only way to deal with the malinvestments encouraged by years of reckless monetary and public policy.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

Depression and Confidence

by Jeffrey P. Snider
Alhambra Partners

Some people have impeccable timing. Even if by accident, there are occasions when what they say or write comes out in almost perfect sequence. At the end of August 2014, UC Berkeley economist J. Bradford DeLong wrote an article for Project Syndicate that argued in favor of proper categorization. The lack of recovery was so drastic that the economist community and indeed the world at large needed to come to terms with what was actually taking place; and that was not anything like what was being described especially at that time.

Continue Reading at AlhambraPartners.com…

Gold and Silver – Debt Addiction Will Carry Precious Metals Higher, Guaranteed

by Michael Noonan
Market Oracle

All is not so well within the elite’s New World Order. Their tried and true template of Problem-Reaction-Solution is in full gear as chaos reigns throughout the globe, which is exactly how the globalists like to see events unfold. Chaos [Problem] leads to unnerving situations [Reaction] amongst the masses that eventually cry out for resolve and a return to “normalcy” [Solution, but only as intended by the elites]. Invariably, a return to some kind of order requires the giving up of freedoms, and it often entails tightening the noose of economic hardship.

Sadly, the rinse-and-repeat familiarity of this Problem-Reaction-Solution scenario never seems familiar to the masses. Each time is “different,” that is to say the events may seem to be different, but the procedure of how the events unfold each and every time throughout history is never different.

Continue Reading at MarketOracle.co.uk…

July 26-27 – The Fed Will Put Us on Notice for a September 20-21 Rate Hike

by Paul Kasriel
Financial Sense

The Fed was cocked and primed to deliver a 25 basis point increase in the federal funds rate on June 15. But on June 3, the BLS announced that nonfarm payrolls increased a paltry 38,000 in May. This monthly random number prompted the Fed to stand down on its interest rate increase. Then on June 23, the UK voters surprised the smart money by voting to have the UK leave the EU. Globally, the prices of risk assets swooned for a couple of days. The FOMC was thanking its lucky stars that the May nonfarm payroll report caused it to hold off on its planned rate increase for June 15.

But my bet is that in the announcement immediately following the July 26-27 FOMC meeting, the Fed will put us on notice that an interest rate hike is on the agenda for the next FOMC meeting, September 20-21.

Continue Reading at FinancialSense.com…

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – Grinding Slowly

from Jesse’s Café Américain

The modern gospel of personal prosperity and selective privilege, exceptionalism by whatever criteria a group may choose to exclude and oppress the other, although it has appeared throughout history many times and in many forms, may be one of the worst and most insidious sins against the Spirit.

“But I just want to be left alone!” Truly, if you choose to live as this, you will be excluded and left alone, for all time.

August may be a big month for the metals, and we could see a taste of things to come next week with a Comex PM option expiry and an FOMC decision.

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

Ridiculous: Liberal Writer Implies Melania Trump’s White Dress Is Racist: “White Is Always Right”

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

As ridiculous as it may seem that Trump opponents label him a racist for his anti-immigrant views though he has an immigrant wife, the following review from a liberal writer is nothing short of insane.

According to Elizabeth Wellington, an African American writer for The Inquirer Daily News in Philadelphia, the stunning white dress worn by Melania Trump at the Republican National Convention not only made a “scary” statement, but was an aggressive display of racism:

“Trump’s foreignness stands in stark contrast to her husband’s “Make America Safe Again” and “Make America Great Again” sloganeering, which he plans to accomplish with his anti-immigrant, anti-Muslim, anti-Black Lives Matter platform. In other words, anti- all things brown, as some might say.”

Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

Commercial Short Positions in Silver Hit All-time Record! Gold Shorts Also Near Record!

from King World News

On the heels of some fierce trading last week in the dollar, gold and silver, below is an extremely important update on the war that is raging in the gold and silver markets.

The following charts are from Jason Goepfert at SentimenTrader.

Commercial Short Positions In Silver Hit All-Time Record Highs!

King World News note: Below you can see that the commercial hedgers short positions in the silver market market have now hit another all-time record (see remarkable 23-year chart below).

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

Leaked DNC Emails Confirm Democrats Rigged Primary, Reveal Extensive Media Collusion

from Zero Hedge

There are three key findings to emerge from yesterday’s dump of leaked DNC emails released by Wikileaks:

  • There had been a plot designed to smear Bernie Sanders and to hand the Democratic nomination to Hillary on a silver platter
  • There has been repeated collusion between the DNC and the media
  • There has been questionable fundraising for both Hillary Clinton and the DNC

First, a quick recap for those who missed the original report, yesterday Wikileaks released over 19,000 emails and more than 8,000 attachments from the Democratic National Committee. This is what the whistleblower organization reported:

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Turkey Has a NATO Nuke Problem

…there’s a whole other aspect of what’s happening in Turkey right now that is receiving relatively scant attention. That aspect involves Incirlik Air Base, a 3300 acre base strategically situated on Turkey’s southern coast within striking distance of Syria.

by James Corbett
The International Forecaster

The dust has yet to fully settle on last week’s failed coup attempt in Turkey. Accusation has followed counter-accusation, but in the minefield of blatantly biased media and agenda-driven anonymous reports sourcing unnamed officials there is so much confusion that only those involved in the plot know for sure what really happened (or maybe not!).

[…] Nevertheless, some things we can say with a degree of certainty. For one, it seems that the real winner of the whole event (at least in the short term), is Erdogan himself. Taking a page from the Churchill / Emanuel school of crisitunity, Erdogan declared the coup a “gift from God” and went about purging thousands of soldiers, officers, judges and other personnel using the evident threat to national security as an excuse to transform the country. Given how much that sounds like post-9/11 America, it’s perhaps no surprise, then, that both Obama and Trump have refused to criticize the crackdown.

Continue Reading at TheInternationalForecaster.com…

Harvey Organ’s Daily Gold & Silver Report – 2016.07.22

Huge increase in amount of gold standing at the comex for July at 20 tonnes: sets the stage for a wild August/Open interest rises to a record 221,246 for the entire complex/COT very bullish for gold as commercials try and rein in their shorts/In silver COT, commercials are trapped!/British pound pummeled as PMI crashes/Euro also tumbles to below 1.10/Oil crashes into the 43 dollar column/GE reports horrific results

by Harvey Organ
Harvey Organ’s Blog

Gold:1323.10 down $7.40

Silver 19.66 down 12 cents

In the access market 5:15 pm

Gold: 1322.50

Silver: 19.63

Continue Reading at HarveyOrganBlog.com…

At Least Eight People Shot Dead in Munich Rampage

Police say it appears to be a terror attack

by Ulrike Dauer and Anton Troianovski
Market Watch

Munich police said at least eight people died and several others were injured in at least one shooting that they suspect is a terror attack in the city late Friday.

A Munich police spokeswoman said the police are searching for up to three suspects, who remain at large. They are searching the entire city area after the shooting at the Olympia Einkaufszentrum shopping center, she said.

The police said the first call, which came in at 5:53 p.m. local time, came from the McDonald’s restaurant near the mall.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Chris Martenson: Confidence in Many Complex Systems Collapsing




from WallStForMainSt

Wealth Bubble In ‘Scary Graph’ Flashes Warning About Future U.S. Downturn

Rising asset prices stoke worries about bubbles forming

by Rich Miller
Bloomberg.com

Americans are about as wealthy as they’ve ever been—and that’s a worry?

Yup, say veteran economists Daniel Thornton and Joe Carson. They’re concerned that the swelling of wealth could prove unsustainable because it’s far outstripped the growth of the economy since the recession’s end in 2009.

Thornton, who spent 33 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis before retiring in 2014, says in effect that we’ve seen this picture before. Household net worth ballooned in the late 1990’s and the early 2000’s; in the first instance pumped up by rising stock prices, in the second by expanding home values. Both cases ended badly, with the economy falling into recession after the bubbles burst.

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

Ron Paul Can’t Quite Figure Out Trump’s NATO Position




from RT America

Armageddon Approaches

by Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
PaulCraigRoberts.org

The Western pubic doesn’t know it, but Washington and its European vassals are convincing Russia that they are preparing to attack. Eric Zuesse reports on a German newspaper leak of a Bundeswehr decision to declare Russia to be an enemy nation of Germany. … http://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2016/06/09/germany-preparing-for-war-against-russia.html … This is the interpretation that some Russian politicians themselves have put on the NATO military bases that Washington is establishing on Russia’s borders.

Washington might intend the military buildup as pressure on President Putin to reduce Russian opposition to Washington’s unilateralism. However, it reminds some outspoken Russians such as Vladimir Zhirinovsky of Hitler’s troops on Russia’s border in 1941.

Continue Reading at PaulCraigRoberts.org…