Home Blog Page 2293

Tisch Says We ‘Live by the Sword’ at Loews as Gold Bet Doubles

by Sonali Basak and Agnel Philip
Bloomberg.com

Loews Corp., the holding company run by New York’s Tisch family, was able to counter low bond yields and stock market volatility in the first half of this year with gold-related investments that doubled in value.

Second-quarter net investment income at Loews climbed to $56 million from $7 million a year earlier, the company said in a statement Monday.

“You die by the sword, you live by the sword,” Chief Executive Officer Jim Tisch said in a conference call discussing results. “We had, for a number of quarters, even years, suffered with gold investments. What’s happened in this most recent quarter is gold investments came to life.”

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

GLD Sponsor Dodges Disclosure Details of Bank of England Sub-Custodian in Latest SEC Filing

by Ronan Manly
Bullion Star

In a July 11 BullionStar article, “SPDR Gold Trust gold bars at the Bank of England vaults”, I highlighted that the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), in it’s Q1 2016 filing to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), disclosed that during the January – March 2016 quarter, the GLD custodian HSBC had employed the Bank of England as a sub-custodian to hold some of the Trust’s gold bars, and that the largest quantity of gold that the Bank of England had held on behalf of GLD during the January – March 2016 period was 29 tonnes.

Note that the financial year-end for the SPDR Gold Trust is 30 September each year, so that its Q1 is October – December, its Q2 is January to March, its Q3 is April – June, and its Q4 is July – September with a year-end at the end of September.

Continue Reading at BullionStar.com…

Another Warning In The GDP Data

by Lance Roberts
Real Investment Advice

On Friday July 29th, 2016, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the second-quarter GDP figures and revisions for prior quarters. At a disappointing annualized growth rate of only 1.20%, second quarter GDP widely missed consensus expectations of 2.50% growth. Coincidently the current 1-year average growth rate has risen at the same 1.20% and that annualized growth rate has declined for five quarters in a row.

For the most part, the recent bout of stagnant GDP data has not caught the attention of the media or the markets. As consultants to those who manage wealth we believe this data is vitally important, regardless of what others may think. Accordingly, we provide some context around this data to help you better grasp its magnitude.

Continue Reading at RealInvestmentAdvice.com…

Statistics of Depression

by Jeffrey P. Snider
Alhambra Partners

The Personal Savings Rate is a rather important economic indication. Because it is derived from the difference between income and spending, it can tell us a great deal about the state of the economy from the consumer perspective. Unfortunately, nobody can say with any degree of confidence what the savings rate is right now, or even what it has been over the past few years.

Back in March, it was thought that the savings rate for November 2015, a rather important month situated between (so far) both bouts of “global turmoil”, was 4.9% and down slightly from 5.1% in October. The rate was fairly steady throughout 2015, only achieving an upward bend in December last year on into 2016.

Continue Reading at AlhambraPartners.com…

Is There Really a “Muslim Threat” in Europe?

by Bill Bonner
Acting Man

Europe Under Attack?

VIENNA – We are in Vienna, the home of some of the world’s greatest economists. We will come back to that in a minute. First, it was here where Jan Sobieski, the elected king of Poland, beat back a Muslim attack on Europe.

[…] In the summer of 1683, an army approached Vienna. It was the Ottoman Turks. Sobieski rushed to defend the city with about 25,000 men. After leading a massive charge of Polish hussars, he won what is described as a “brilliant victory,” thus saving Europe from Islam.

Is Europe threatened again? But wait… where is the attacking army? Where is its artillery? Where are the invaders’ planes? Their ships? Where are the thousands of troops who will rape and ravage?

In historical terms, the attacks so far are trivial. There is no serious army approaching. And even the few terrorists who have made the headlines seem like amateurs.

Continue Reading at Acting-Man.com…

Gold and Silver, Guns & Ammo

Precious metals expert Clive Maund says markets are becoming increasingly chaotic, and he advises investors to hang on to their gold and silver.

by Clive Maund
The Gold Report

Markets are becoming increasingly chaotic as we move deeper into the fiat endgame. It is far too late to permit the corrective forces of deflation to purge the system of excesses. If this were allowed to happen the system would rapidly go into a state of “cardiac arrest” leading to a credit lockup, ATMs not working, the food distribution system breaking down, widespread rioting and looting, martial law being imposed and the growing risk of the citadels of government being stormed in outright revolution, so that much of the Western world ends up like Venezuela right now.

Faced with this prospect the only logical choice for those in power is to keep the game going as long as possible, and at this late hour, that involves the use of “helicopter money.”

Until recently the concept of helicopter money has been dismissed as an absurd joke, but now it is openly being talked about.

Continue Reading at TheAuReport.com…

Market Talk — August 2, 2016

by Martin Armstrong
Armstrong Economics

$278bn and the market is still disappointed! Despite the package provided by the Japanese government today late futures trading has followed the weaker cash market and extended losses by another 2%. Confidence is slightly dented as the market was hoping we would see the helicopter approach and that is why the market continued to sink and the JPY approaches the 100 level given there is no bazooka to be seen. China was really a side story today, together with the expected RBA rate cut but given all the action concentrated within Japan with Hong Kong restricted by adverse weather conditions.

In Europe it was banks that were again centre-stage. BMPS down 16%, Unicredit down 7%, UBS down 6%, Commerzbank down 9%, and Deutsche Bank -4% these make Barclays, RBS, and HSBC down between 2 and 3% look good!

Continue Reading at ArmstrongEconomics.com…

Why You Should Stop What You’re Doing and “Sell Everything” Right Now

by Justin Spittler
Casey Research

Jeffrey Gundlach has a message for you.

Sell your stocks and buy gold.

As you may know, Gundlach is a world-class investor. His firm, DoubleLine Capital, manages more than $100 billion. Many on Wall Street call him “The Bond King,” a title PIMCO founder Bill Gross held for years.

Lately, Gundlach’s been very vocal about U.S. stocks…and he hasn’t had many good things to say.

Continue Reading at CaseyResearch.com…

The Fed: Soviet-Style Economic Propaganda

by Jeff D. Opdyke
The Sovereign Investor

“That,” I tell the Russian economist, “is quote-of-the-day material.”

We’re sitting in this small conference room in the center of Moscow, talking of opportunities in a misunderstood, wrongly despised economy, when the conversation turns to the notion of propaganda. At which point she tells me: “We had the Soviet Union. We are experts in propaganda. The Americans — they are like children.”

It will not sit well with Americans who refuse to believe the media and the government here at home are manipulating them, but her point is spot-on.

It’s a point I routinely make: Too many Americans gobble up the factual shape-shifting that spills forth from the media, and particularly from the federal government, and they think they’re well-informed citizens with fact-based opinions.

Continue Reading at TheSovereignInvestor.com…

This is a Warning Sign for Stocks

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

IPOs collapse to near-crisis levels even as stocks hover at record

It happens all the time now: On Monday, Salesforce, after trying to buy LinkedIn but getting outbid by Microsoft, bought the San Francisco startup Quip Inc., which has “about 40 people,” as the company says. Quip’s product is what it calls a “productivity platform for teams that allows them to be more connected, more collaborative and get more work done,” or what TechCrunch calls “a cloud-based word processing app.”

Quip was founded in 2012 by Bret Taylor (co-creator of Google Maps, CTO of Facebook, “responsible for the like button,” and now on the board of Twitter) and Kevin Gibbs (“led engineering and product at Google and brought Google’s App Engine to market”).

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Something Strange Emerges When Looking at a Congresswoman’s Daytrading Records

from Zero Hedge

While we have often heard that members of Congress, who are not only exempt from insider trading oversight, are also ardent daytraders we had never seen it in action.

Until now.

The following publicly filed monthly Periodic Transaction Report by Democrat Congresswoman, Judy Chu, shows us just how pervasive daytrading is not only for algos, but for those who supposedly are paid to serve their constituents. What is interesting is the size of the trades – between $1,000 and $15,000 each, this is not some novice, penny pincher; what is even more interesting are the underlying securities of choice: volatile, and levered, calls and puts on not only the S&P500, but also on some of the most volatile securities out there, such as the VIX.

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

The Stock Market Has Predicted the Outcome of Presidential Elections with 86 Percent Accuracy

by Michael Snyder
End of the American Dream

If you want Donald Trump to win the election, then you should be rooting for a stock market crash between now and November. As you will see below, if stocks go up during the last three months before an election, the incumbent party almost always keeps the White House. But if stocks go down during the last three months before an election, the incumbent party almost always loses. Earlier today, Trump warned Americans to get out of the stock market, and if his warning turns out to be correct it will likely benefit him politically as well. When the general population believes that things are going well, Americans tend to stick with current leadership, but when the general population believes that we have hit rocky times they are usually ready for a change.

Continue Reading at EndOfTheAmericanDream.com…

A Digital Deluge of Profits

by Jimmy Mengel
Outsider Club

You are being watched…

Your every move tracked…

Each time you send an e-mail. Each time you stream a movie. Each time you click on anything on the Internet… someone is making a digital note.

I don’t say this to make you paranoid, it’s simply the way things are these days. But I, for one, am not going to get all flummoxed about it, I’d rather profit from it.

Continue Reading at OutsiderClub.com…

Brexit Gives UK ‘Huge Advantage’ in Trade Deals, Predicts Car Industry Chief

by Alan Tovey
Telegraph.co.uk

Brexit presents “unprecedented” opportunities to seal trade deals that are beneficial to both the UK and foreign partners, according to the boss of Britain’s biggest car dealer.

Reporting steady gains in revenue and profit at the half-year stage, Pendragon chief executive Trevor Finn said although there has been “some uncertainty” because of the unexpected result of the referendum, the business has seen no change in sales volumes or enquiries.

Britain leaving the EU and the time it will take to negotiate an exit offer massive advantages to the UK, he said.

“We have got the opportunity to reset trading relations,” said the chief of the FTSE 250 business, which owns the Evans Halshaw and Stratstone brands.

Continue Reading at Telegraph.co.uk…

We May Not See a Total Meltdown of Global Currencies but This Will Definitely Collapse

from King World News

With the dollar tumbling, gold and silver surging and the mining share indexes hitting new multi-year highs, the world may not see a total collapse of global currencies but here is what will get destroyed.

By Bill Fleckenstein President Of Fleckenstein Capital

August 2 (King World News) – The August doldrums potentially ended after just one day with overnight markets actually providing a little excitement. Turning first to world bond markets, Japanese government bonds were roughed up on a percentage basis, as yields rose from -14 basis points to only -8.5 (recall it was only about a week ago when the “high” was set at -30 bps).

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

The Reckoning: “A Banking Crisis is About to Sweep the Globe”

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

Greg Mannarino of TradersChoice.net, who has previously warned that when the next debt bubble pops millions upon millions of people will die in the fallout, says the reckoning for financial markets is coming… and soon:

I don’t know what else you need to see… A lot of people [are asking], “where’s the collapse? where’s the crisis

It’s happening all over the world… Social unrest, strife, a banking crisis that has no where to go but worse… The chickens are coming home to freaking roost.

You need to take action. It’s that simple.

Are world central banks going to continue to try and keep this market up? Absolutely that’s what they’re going to do, especially because it’s an election cycle in the United States… no doubt about it… but that does not mean things are not crumbling around us.

Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – Dollar Down a Bit, Metals Up

from Jesse’s Café Américain

[…] Gold and silver managed to add a little to their recent gains, as risk began to creep back into the internal judgements of traders, who were taking a little of their recent extended gains in riskier assets off the table.

The dollar gave up a bit as well today. The correlations between asset classes are rarely pure and constant in the short term.

And in the longer term, they often elude the academic mind as well. Hence today’s intraday commentary about a very serious paper about gold from the Royal Economic Society.

We should be getting some economic news tomorrow that will open the door towards forward thinking about the Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday. Two or three days ahead is about as far as these markets are able to go these days.

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

As the Stock Market Levitates, Economic Activity Deteriorates

by David Kranzler
Investment Research Dynamics

In my latest issue of the Short Seller’s Journal, I predicted a weak showing for July auto sales. Both GM and Ford missed Wall Street’s forecast. With the magic of seasonal adjustments, the industry data overall was presented to show a .7% increase in overall sales vs. June. GM sales dropped 2% and Ford’s sales fell 3%. Again, any overall industry gains can be attributed to mysterious “seasonal adjustments.” June auto sales dropped 3.4% from May.

When Ford reported its Q2 earnings, Ford’s auto finance division reported a decline in profits that reflected lower values realized at auction on cars returned after the lease expired. Auto market weakness typically shows up first in the resale/used market (I traded the auto supply sector junk bonds when I traded on Wall Street in the 1990’s, which is why I’m familiar with auto cycle dynamics). In addition, Ford Credit reported higher than expected credit losses.

Continue Reading at InvestmentResearchDynamics.com…

Another Potential Third Wave Set up in the Making

by Avi Gilburt
Gold Seek

In Elliott Wave parlance, 3rd waves are the segment of a trend move which provides the strongest market action. This is why we are always on the “lookout” for the set-ups for 3rd waves. Whereas silver has already seen the heart of a 3rd several weeks ago, we now may be setting up for one in the GDX and GLD.

Before we came into the past week, the market looked like the downside we have recently experienced was not yet completed, as I noted in the last weekend update:

“While I still maintain my primary larger degree expectation that we are on our way to our higher targets noted over the last several weeks, the drop has finally caused me to place an alternative count on our chart, which is represented by the GDX blue count.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

U.S. Wins Ownership of Rare ‘Double Eagle’ Gold Coins

by Jonathan Stempel
Reuters.com

A federal appeals court on Monday said a cache of exceptionally rare gold coins stolen from the U.S. Mint in the 1930s belongs to the U.S. government, not the Pennsylvania family that possessed it for decades.

By a 9-3 vote, the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Philadelphia said Joan Langbord and her sons Roy and David cannot keep the 10 “double eagle” 1933 $20 gold pieces, estimated to be worth several million dollars each.

Monday’s decision could end a decade-long battle that began after the Langbords, heirs to late Philadelphia jeweler Israel Switt, found the coins in a safe deposit box and asked the Mint to authenticate them, only to have them seized in 2004.

Continue Reading at Reuters.com…

European Banking System on Verge of Collapse; Market Votes “No Confidence” in Italian Bank Rescue

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

European bank shares are down for the second day following a last minute bailout package aimed at Italian banks one day before a stress test showed Monte dei Paschi would be insolvent in an adverse scenario.

The ECB’s stress tests published on Friday showed Monte dei Paschi has a huge capital shortfall, with the bank’s Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of negative 2.44 percent.

Forget the adverse scenario bit, Monte dei Paschi, Italy’s third largest bank and oldest bank in the world is insolvent in any realistic scenario.

On ZeroHedge provided the Full Details Behind Monte Paschi’s €5 Billion Bail Out but the short synopsis is the same as ever: It cannot possibly work.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

Falling Oil, Rising Yen Drag Down Asian Markets

Investors pessimistic of Japan stimulus plan

by Kenan Machado
Market Watch

Asian stock markets fell Wednesday as U.S. oil entered a bear market, and a stronger yen dragged Japanese equities lower.

The Nikkei Stock Average NIK, -1.57% was 0.9% lower with Australia’s S&P ASX 200 XJO, -1.22% down 0.9%. The South Korean Kospi SEU, -0.88% dropped 1% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI, -1.70% was off 1.6%. The Shanghai Composite SHCOMP, +0.27% dropped 0.3%.

U.S. oil prices fell to fresh three-month lows in overnight trade as investors turned cautious ahead of weekly inventory data. Concerns rose that Wednesday’s inventory report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration would show supply at high levels. Brent crude has since recovered in Asia trade to rise 0.5%.

Investors were also pessimistic after details of Japan’s stimulus package were revealed Tuesday. Japan’s cabinet approved ¥7.5 trillion ($73 billion) in new spending, to boost the country’s sluggish economy.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

The Curse of Cash

by Brian Maher
Daily Reckoning

George Orwell didn’t have Ken Rogoff in mind when he said that some ideas are so absurd that only an intellectual could believe them. But he may as well have…

Rogoff — big brain, Harvard economist and card-toting member of the global monetary elite — has just released a brand-new book called The Curse of Cash. From which:

The massive quantities of cash circulating today… are a huge public policy problem that needs to be urgently discussed, not taken as an immutable fact of life.

Do you consider your cash a “huge public policy problem?”

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

Harvey Organ’s Daily Gold & Silver REport – 2016.08.02

Amount standing for gold still an extremely high 41.517 tonnes/Open interest for Sept gold also extremely high/gold and silver rise/Japanese bond yields rise (prices fall) sending global bond prices faltering/Most European bank stocks crashed today/Oil breaks the 40 dollar barrier on the downside/Aetna insurance loses 300 million on Obamacare and will probably exit in November

by Harvey Organ
Harvey Organ’s Blog

Gold:1364.40 up $13.00

Silver 20.66 up 20 cents

In the access market 5:15 pm

Gold: 1364.00

Silver: 20.62

Continue Reading at HarveyOrganBlog.com…

Ned Schmidt – Gold is a Free Lunch

from Financial Survival Network

Ned Schmidt was with us today. According to him, gold and silver are Free Lunch Trades. Exactly what all the gold bugs have been saying for decades is now coming to pass. Central bankers really are out to destroy their currencies and there’s nobody and nothing out there that can stop them. Once the insane short positions have been eliminated there will be no place for the metals to go up, no matter what the trolls think or say!

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Sign up (on the right side) for the instant free Financial Survival Toolkit and free weekly newsletter.

Here’s Why Forgiving Student Debt Isn’t So Simple

Stakeholders air grievances with debt forgiveness rule

by Jillian Berman
Market Watch

Sweeping rhetoric about a future with free (or debt-free) college education may be capturing national attention, but a wonky government rule making process that could wipe away current student loans for thousands is quietly playing out.

The Department of Education proposed rules earlier this summer clarifying how and when borrowers who believe they were duped by their schools can have their loans forgiven. The monthslong rule making process comes in the wake of the collapse of Corinthian Colleges, once one of the largest for-profit chains in the country. The company filed for bankruptcy last year amid allegations it lured students with inflated job placement and graduation rates.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…