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Fed Rate Hike More a Question of “When” Than “If” After July Jobs Report

Debate is about September or December

by Greg Robb
Market Watch

It is no longer a question of “if” the Federal Reserve will raise rates, in the wake of the healthy July jobs report—the only question is “when.”

The July jobs report “should boost Fed policy committee members’ confidence in the outlook, especially following the unexpected weakness in second quarter gross domestic product, said Jesse Hurwitz, economist at Barclays.

“We continue to expect the Fed to hike rates at its September meeting, and we look to Chairwoman [Janet] Yellen’s appearance at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 26 for confirmation of this view,” he added.

The Labor Department reported that the economy added 255,000 jobs in July, well above economists’ expectations for a gain of 185,000.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

In Latest Scandal, Trump Retracts Statement He Saw Video Of “Iran Cash Exchange” Just As Clip Emerges

from Zero Hedge

In what has emerged as the latest scandal involving Donald Trump, the presidential candidate on Friday retracted a statement that he had seen a video on TV of a plane carrying $400 million in cash to Iran, money which as the WSJ reported earlier this week was allegedly made as a ransom payment to free 4 US hostages held by Iran. The statement was a rare reversal of comments he made on the campaign trail earlier this week.

“The plane I saw on television was the hostage plane in Geneva, Switzerland, not the plane carrying $400 million in cash going to Iran!” Trump tweeted.

Earlier in the week Trump had gone into detail about seeing footage of the money in responding to the news that the U.S. had transferred $400 million to Iran in January at the same time that American hostages were being released from the country. “I’ll never forget the scene this morning,” Mr. Trump said at a rally in Florida Wednesday. “And remember this. Iran — I don’t think you’ve heard this anywhere but here — Iran provided all of that footage, the tape, of taking that money off that airplane, right?

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

The Bank of England Just Provided Us with More Reasons to Own Gold and Silver

by JS Kim
SmartKnowledgeU

Yesterday the Bank of England cut its main interest rate from 0.5% to 0.25% for the first time, marking its first interest rate change since March 2009, and provided all of us with more reasons to keep converting fiat currencies into physical gold and physical silver. In addition the BOE announced an increase in its QE bond-buying program of £60bn to £435bn. And in response, the British pound immediately fell by 1% to the USD and traders added to their British pound longs, exceeding previous record net long positions in the pound recorded three years ago. I understand that traders are seeking a stronger rebound in the British pound after its plunge post-Brexit, and since the process for the UK to exit the EU has not even begun since the yes referendum vote, traders may be right to assume that the British pound will eventually rebound significantly in strength following this rate cut after people realize that a Brexit yes referendum vote may translate into an indefinite stay of limbo for the UK within the EU.

Continue Reading at SmartKnowledgeU.com…

Decline of Empire: Parallels Between the U.S. and Rome, Part III

by Doug Casey
International Man

See here for Part II

Wars made Rome. Wars expanded the country’s borders and brought it wealth, but they also sowed the seeds of its destruction, especially the three big wars against Carthage, 264-146 BCE.

Rome began as a republic of yeoman farmers, each with his own plot of land. You had to be a landowner to join the Roman army; it was a great honor, and it wouldn’t take the riffraff. When the Republic was threatened—and wars were constant and uninterrupted from the beginning—a legionary might be gone for five, ten, or more years. His wife and children back on the farm might have to borrow money to keep things going and then perhaps default, so soldiers’ farms would go back to bush or get taken over by creditors.

Continue Reading at InternationalMan.com…

The Class Struggle is Real

by Matt McCaffrey
Mises.org

Libertarians are often skeptical about the idea of class struggle. This is no surprise, given how closely associated it is with Karl Marx. However, Marx did not originate the theory of class conflict, which was actually developed by the French liberals in the 19th century. In fact, it was classical liberal intellectuals in France, England, and the United States who spearheaded the early development of class theory.

Marx, Engels, and even Lenin were well aware of the origins of class doctrine, and openly acknowledged their bourgeois influences. However, the Marxists developed their own version of the theory that was distinctly inferior to that advanced by the French.

Both sides agreed that society contained exploited and exploiting classes. However, for the liberals, society was not divided between the bourgeoisie and the proletariat, but between the productive class and the political class.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

‘Helicopter Money’ Is Coming to the U.S.

by A. Gary Shilling
Bloomberg.com

Several years of rock-bottom interest rates around the world haven’t been all bad. They’ve helped reduce government borrowing costs, for sure. Central banks also send back to their governments most of the interest received on assets purchased through quantitative-easing programs. Governments essentially are paying interest to themselves.

Since the beginning of their quantitative-easing activities, the Federal Reserve has returned $596 billion to the U.S. Treasury and the Bank of England has given back $47 billion. This cozy relationship between central banks and their governments resembles “helicopter money,” the unconventional form of stimulus that some central banks may be considering as a way to spur economic growth.

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

Australia Customs Department Confirms BullionStar’s Analysis on Gold Export to China

by Koos Jansen
Bullion Star

Since 2015 I’ve stated the raw data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on gold export to China mainland do not accurately reflect what is imported by China from the land of down under. In my previous post I’ve written Australia’s gold “export to China” should be adjusted by Hong Kong’s gold “import from Australia” as a substantial amount of gold Australia declares to export to China is in fact travelling through Hong Kong. A written statement from ABS now supports this analysis.

Continue Reading at BullionStar.com…

Gold In Sterling 2.2% Higher After Bank Of England Cuts To 0.25% and Expands QE

by Mark O’Byrne
GoldCore

Gold in sterling was 2.2% higher yesterday and was marginally higher in dollar terms after the Bank of England cut interest rates to all time, 322 year record low at 0.25% and surprised markets by renewing and aggressively expanding quantitative easing or QE.

Sterling fell sharply on markets and gold rose from £1,014/oz to over £1,036/oz where it remains this morning. Ultra loose monetary policies are now even looser after the BOE cut interest rates for the first time in more than seven years and launched a bigger-than-expected package of monetary measures.

Continue Reading at GoldGore.com…

A Big Got Damned Difference

by Eric Peters
Eric Peters Autos

A reader – a Libertarian friend – chastises me for supporting Trump over Hillary; for supporting any candidate who isn’t a principled Libertarian. I thought some of you might be interested in a principled Libertarian’s thoughts on this business:

Dear X –

Here’s a stark difference to consider: Hillary is a murderer. A mass murderer. By proxy, yes – but a murderer, nonetheless. Eager to have people killed. Arguably, more guilty of murder than Julius Streicher – who was hanged for merely inciting murderous hatred. Hillary has ordered people killed. Has literally reveled in the murder-by-sodomy of Quaddafi, which she helped to orchestrate.

Continue Reading at EricPetersAutos.com…

Gayle’s Letter to Reince Priebus

by James Quinn
The Burning Platform

[…] Dear Mr. Priebus:

I recently received from you a plea – your second notice – that I complete and return the survey of my views on current issues in the United States. My views would help the party develop a campaign strategy for the important weeks ahead.

I recently dropped my registration in the Republican Party, so my opinions are irrelevant to your survey. I do, however, hope that the views expressed in this note will be of help.

I have been a registered Republican since 1969. As I have gotten older and wiser, it has become apparent to me that the GOP is the second head (a donkey represents the other) of a creature that is run by wealthy, powerful, and evil entities which have gained control of nearly every institution and business in this country.

Continue Reading at TheBurningPlatform.com…

Behold, a Pale Horse and its Rider’s Name Was Death

by Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
PaulCraigRoberts.org

I just listened to Obama give Washington’s account of the situation with ISIL in Iraq and Syria.

In Obama’s account, Washington is defeating ISIL in Iraq, but Russia and Assad are defeating the Syrian people in Syria. Obama denounced Russia and the Syrian government—but not ISIL—as barbaric. The message was clear: Washington still intends to overthrow Assad and turn Syria into another Libya and another Iraq, formerly stable and prosperous countries where war now rages continually.

It sickens me to hear the President of the United States lie and construct a false reality, so I turned off the broadcast. I believe it was a press conference, and I am confident that no meaningful questions were asked.

Continue Reading at PaulCraigRoberts.org…

Financial System Awash with Liquidity That is Not Reaching the People in the Real Economy

from Jesse’s Café Américain

[…] In other words, what we may be seeing here is a declining ‘bang for the buck’ or ‘the law of diminishing returns’ for the massive amounts of liquidity which the Fed has been selectively applying to the financial system using quantitative easing.

How can this be happening?

Does adding even more quantitative easing work? Work for whom?

The ‘recoveries’ or sparks of real economic activity are growing fainter, and shorter, while the subsequent declines are continuing in length and depth.

One can hardly see the ‘jumps’ in velocity between the long plunges driven by helicopter drops from the Fed to the one percent, leaving the real economy and the broader public further and further behind.

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

Waiting on the Job Numbers…

by Chris Gaffney
Daily Pfennig

Good morning and happy Friday to everyone. It is infusion confusion/recovery day for Chuck, so this will be another group effort and Frank will get things going for us this morning:

Courtomer, France. Shifting past pure Leninist thinking but retaining some of it’s essence, collectively we really are a bit decadent these days. Does this indicate a decline in the capitalist model – I don’t think so – but maybe the shift to crony capitalism is what he really meant. France certainly has followed his expected path to socialism. Hmmmmm. We were sitting in front of a small café sipping cappuccino’s in a hamlet in Normandy – Saint-Céneri-le-Gérei. It’s convincingly picturesque – amongst the best examples. We contrasted our own light load with that of the peasants / serfs / the future proletariat taking a few years off from subsistence farming to haul the stones up the abrupt hillside to construct the church and fortress. Times change. The design repelled both William the Conqueror, and his ancestor Henry V who was headed to annihilate the French at Agincourt. After all the locals were shooting downhill.

Continue Reading at DailyPfennig.com…

Trump is Right About Stocks

by Bill Bonner
Acting Man

Right on the Money

OUZILLY, France – It is not often that you get investment advice from a presidential candidate. It is even rarer that you get good advice.

[…] But yesterday, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gave investors both good advice and good analysis. Bloomberg has the report:

Donald Trump on Tuesday said interest rates set by the Federal Reserve are inflating the stock market and recommended 401(k)-holders to get out of equities, just like he did.

“I did invest and I got out, and it was actually very good timing,” the Republican presidential nominee said in a phone interview with Fox Business. “But I’ve never been a big investor in the stock market.”

“Interest rates are artificially low,” Trump said. “The only reason the stock market is where it is is because you get free money.”

Continue Reading at Acting-Man.com…

Hillary’s Real Contribution to the Presidential Race Exposes National Security Lies

by Daily Bell Staff
The Daily Bell

I Ran the C.I.A. Now I’m Endorsing Hillary Clinton … During a 33-year career at the Central Intelligence Agency, I served presidents of both parties — three Republicans and three Democrats. I was at President George W. Bush’s side when we were attacked on Sept. 11; as deputy director of the agency, I was with President Obama when we killed Osama bin Laden in 2011 … On Nov. 8, I will vote for Hillary Clinton. – New York Times / Michael J. Morell

This editorial is a great example of how in politics the better and more willing liar can gain the most support.

Even when the lying is obvious.

The former director of the CIA has endorsed Hillary Clinton, but the reasons he gives for supporting her are certainly controversial and in some cases outright fabrications.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Dems and Media Panic Over Trump, Economy is Tanking, Iran No Deal, Deal Update

Greg Hunter’s Weekly News Wrap-Up for Friday, August 5th, 2016.

by Greg Hunter
USA Watchdog

The mainstream media (MSM) and the Democrat Party would like you to think it is the Republicans in full panic mode, but it is their party that’s freaking out. The first tip comes from the MSM that is “going to war against Trump” and acting like the true political hacks they are. Journalism is dead at the MSM, and they are willing to destroy their businesses to stop the outsider. Negative stories trashing Trump are not having an effect as Trump is packing rallies by the thousands while voter turnout for Clinton rallies is lackluster. Meanwhile, major negative stories about Hillary Clinton are being ignored to try to combat her negative image as a liar. Hillary even lies about what the FBI called lies about her private servers, and the MSM ignores developments such as the IRS opening an investigation into the Clinton Foundation.

The President says the economy is great, but recent statistics say otherwise. GDP, Durable Goods and Manufacturing are a few of the recent numbers that all showed a plunge. This is yet another reason the Clinton Campaign and the DNC are panicking. The economy sucks and they know it. They do not have a good economy to campaign with, and there is no hope of turning things around before the November Presidential election.

Continue Reading at USAWatchdog.com…

What’s Coming is Going to Be a Mess

by Jim Rogers
Daily Reckoning

The last two months alone have seen Britain leaving the European Union, terror attacks, cop killings, Deutsche Bank nearly collapsing, the German long term interest rates set at negative, to name a few.

But over the next couple of years, it’s going to get a whole lot worse. As economies worsen, there will be more social unrest, more angry people, and crazier politicians. Somebody will try to come along on a white horse to save us all, but she usually makes it worse.

Are we at a point right now where it feels like it’s accelerating. People all over are very unhappy about what’s going on. If you read history, there are a lot of similarities between now and the 1920s and ’30s. That’s when fascism and communism broke out in much of the world. And a lot of the same issues are popping up again.

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

Still Report #1094 – Correction Trump Hitman Phony Story




from Bill Still

Saving the System

by Alasdair MacLeod
Gold Money

Monetary policy, we are told, is all about staving off recession and stimulating economic growth.

However, not only is monetary debasement in any form counterproductive and destroys the personal wealth of the masses, but the economists who devised today’s monetarism have completely lost their way.

This article addresses the confusion surrounding this subject, and concludes the real reason for today’s global monetary policies is an ultimately futile attempt to prevent a systemic and economic crisis.

Continue Reading at Wealth.GoldMoney.com…

UK’s Prime Minister Commits to Successful Brexit

by John Browne
Euro Pacific Capital

On June 23rd, despite months of fear mongering by former Prime Minister David Cameron and his allies, doomsday global economic forecasts offered by the International Monetary Fund and the Obama Administration, and a steady drumbeat of anti-Brexit news stories by the BBC, The Economist and the Financial Times, the British people delivered an unexpected event to the global financial system by voting to take Britain out of the European Union. Despite the forecasts of doom and gloom, the people voted for freedom, democracy and common law.

Most of the elites continue to warn of dire consequences for Britain and many believe that the separation process will be long, messy, and perhaps even farcical. Many argue that Britain will seek some sort of reconciliation once it realizes the true costs of its hubris. A July visit to the UK convinced me otherwise.

Continue Reading at EuroPac.com…

Did You Receive This Email from the Social Security Administration?

by Simon Black
Sovereign Man

If you are a taxpayer in the Land of the Free, you may have recently received a love letter from the Social Security Administration that went something like this:

“Dear [Medieval serf paying into an insolvent pension fund]:”

(OK I added that part myself)

“Starting in August 2016, Social Security is adding a new step to protect your privacy. . .”

Whoa. Full stop. I love it already.

Continue Reading at SovereignMan.com…

Gold Looking at Major Correction? Tim Wood – August 4, 2016




from Talk Digital Network

Trump Isn’t All Wrong About Trade Deficits – How Washington’s Money-Printers Betrayed American Workers

by David Stockman
David Stockman’s Contra Corner

…….Needless to say, the lack of good jobs lies at the bottom of the wealth and income drought on main street, and the recent BLS jobs reports provide still another reminder.

During the last seven months goods-producing jobs have been shrinking again, even as the next recession knocks on the door. These manufacturing, construction and energy/mining jobs are the highest paying in the US economy and average about $56,000 per year in cash wages. Yet it appears that the 30-year pattern shown in the graph below——lower lows and lower highs with each business cycle—-is playing out once again.

Continue Reading at DavidStockmansContraCorner.com…

Trump Scares Fed Officials | Jason Burack




from FinanceAndLiberty.com

Could Inflation Break the Back of the Status Quo?

by Charles Hugh Smith
Of Two Minds

Political resistance to the oligarchy’s financialization skimming operations will eventually cripple central bank giveaways to the financial sector and corporate oligarchs.

That inflation and interest rates will remain near-zero for a generation is accepted as “obvious” by virtually the entire mainstream media. The reasons for this are equally “obvious”: central banks have the power to suppress interest rates indefinitely by creating money out of thin air and using this new cash to buy bonds in unlimited quantities; and the commoditization/ globalization of labor, capital and production has generated a global backdrop of over-capacity and near-zero pricing power.

But suppose for a moment that this confidence in near-zero interest rates and inflation as far as the eye can see is wrong. As I have demonstrated this week, rising interest rates and inflation would break the back of the status quo.

What makes inflation difficult to grasp is its multi-faceted character. Inflation is a monetary dynamic, to be sure, as creating new fiat currency in excess of increasing production / productivity reduces the purchasing power of the currency.

Continue Reading at OfTwoMinds.com…

Ron Paul on His Hero, His Favorite Books, and More




from TomWoodsTV