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Make America Great Again

by Peter Schiff
Euro Pacific Capital

Donald Trump’s critics have heaped scorn on his calls for protective tariffs to deal with America’s widening trade imbalance and the resulting loss of higher–paying blue color jobs. Some have accused him of trying to turn back the clock in pursuit of a cheap populist ploy and have said that he simply refuses to acknowledge that America is now an information and service economy for which large trade deficits are the new normal. But voters are sensing that The Donald is right to sound alarm bells, and that something radical needs to be done to revive manufacturing to make America great again. But his tariff solution is hardly the best medicine. To be honest, given the even worse solutions that are being offered by the left, Trump’s instincts may be preferable.

Continue Reading at EuroPac.com…

One Chart Says it All

by Charles Hugh Smith
Of Two Minds

People sense the ‘recovery” is bogus, and their rational response is to save more money rather than squander it.

Sometimes one chart captures the fundamental reality of the economy: for example, this chart of money velocity and the civilian-population ratio. (thank you, Joseph Y. for posting it on my Facebook feed.)

[…] When the blue line is up, more of the population has a job. (the blue line is the Employment-Population ratio.)

The red line is money velocity, the rate at which money changes hands. (Money buried in the coffee can in the back yard has a money velocity of zero.)

Continue Reading at OfTwoMinds.com…

Federal Reserve Tries Wizardry to Cure Derivatives Problem

by Pam Martens and Russ Martens
Wall Street on Parade

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve held a public board meeting to propose two new Byzantine rules to prevent another 2008-style financial contagion on Wall Street and potential crash of the U.S. economy. Unfortunately, the details brought images of the curtain scene from the Wizard of Oz. If you looked beyond the copious verbiage, there didn’t seem to be much there, there.

Both plans appeared to target concerns over derivatives. Coincidentally, Freddie Mac, already a ward of the government as a result of the 2008 crash and a derivatives counterparty to some of Wall Street’s largest banks, reported yesterday that it had lost $4.56 billion in its derivatives portfolio in just the first three months of this year. Derivative losses were an early precursor to the 2008 crash.

Continue Reading at WallStreetOnParade.com…

Trumped! Why it Happened and What Comes Next (Part 1)

by David Stockman
David Stockman’s Contra Corner

First there were seventeen. At length, there was one.

Donald Trump’s wildly improbable capture of the GOP nomination, therefore, is the most significant upheaval in American politics since Ronald Reagan. And the proximate cause is essentially the same. Like back then, an era of drastic bipartisan mis-governance has finally generated an electoral impulse to sweep out the stables.

Accordingly, the Donald’s patented phrase that “we aren’t winning anymore” is striking a deep nerve on main street. But that is not on account of giant trade deficits or a faltering foreign policy and failed military adventures per se.

Continue Reading at DavidStockmansContraCorner.com…

Louis Navellier & Chris Waltzek on GoldSeek Radio – May 4, 2016

by Chris Waltzek
GoldSeek Radio

Louis Navellier of Navellier & Associates, returns to the show with must hear market commentary. The gold bullion aficionado prefers real money over currency, which carries a negative interest rate. The precious metals will remain essential core holdings for every investment portfolio, as long as central bankers continue to follow their modus operandi of monetary debasement, worldwide. He recommends that investors follow the steps he’s taking to insure his personal portfolio, by increasing their allocation of gold and PMs shares. The perma-bull is less sanguine on US equities, amid sagging sales / earnings news. While the major indexes tread water, many top flying blue chips are showing signs of distress. Although small-cap stocks are red hot, much of the excitement is due to low floats amid a short-covering rally.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Continue Reading at Radio.GoldSeek.com…

Hillary’s Secret Weapon

by Andrew P. Napolitano
LewRockwell.com

Last weekend, Hillary Clinton dispatched her husband, former President Bill Clinton, to offer a defense of her alleged espionage. The espionage allegations against her are that in order to escape public and Obama administration scrutiny, she had all of her emails as secretary of state diverted from a secure government server to a non-secure server in her home in Chappaqua, New York, and, in so doing, failed to protect state secrets in at least 2,200 instances during her four-year tenure.

The essence of her husband’s defense is that the secrets were not secrets when she saw them and the investigation of her is all “a game.”

We know that the FBI is getting closer to Hillary Clinton because Bill Clinton had not addressed her email issues publicly before last weekend. The defense he offered belies the facts and the law.

Continue Reading at LewRockwell.com…

What You Need to Know About the Most Critical Election in Our Country’s History, Part I

from Casey Research

Editor’s note: Over the next two days, we’re stepping away from our normal market commentary to bring you a must-read series from Casey Research founder Doug Casey.

The presidential race is heating up…and as usual, Doug isn’t holding anything back…

He says that not only is this the most entertaining election he’s ever witnessed, but more is at stake for the future of our country now than at any other time in history…

Continue Reading at CaseyResearch.com…

Hong Kong to Gain as China Streamlines Cross-Border Gold Trade

by Enoch Yiu
South China Morning Post

Gold trading between Hong Kong and China is expected to rise with the People’s Bank of China announcing on Wednesday a rule change from June 1 to simplify cross-border shipment procedures that would help speed up gold imports into the country.

Companies that frequently import and export gold and gold products will be allowed to apply for a single permit that can be used for up to 12 shipments, the central bank said in a statement on its website.

China currently has only 15 authorised gold importers, including major banks such ICBC, which need to register every single shipment.

Continue Reading at SCMP.com…

Druckenmiller Loads Up on Gold, Saying Bull Market Exhausted

by Katherine Burton
Bloomberg.com

Stan Druckenmiller, the billionaire investor with one of the best long-term track records in money management, said the bull market in stocks has “exhausted itself” and that gold is his largest currency allocation.

Druckenmiller, speaking at the Sohn Investment Conference in New York on Wednesday, said while he’s been critical of Federal Reserve policy for the last three years he expected at that time it would lead to higher asset prices.

“I now feel the weight of the evidence has shifted the other way; higher valuations, three more years of unproductive corporate behavior, limits to further easing and excessive borrowing from the future suggest that the bull market is exhausting itself,” said Druckenmiller, who averaged annual returns of 30 percent from 1986 through 2010 at his Duquesne Capital Management.

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

Dramatic Spike In Fund Flows Into The Gold ETF GLD And a Major Warning On The U.S. Dollar

from King World News

Today KWN is pleased to share two dramatic charts, one revealing a dramatic spike in fund flows into the gold ETF GLD, and the other showing a major warning on the U.S. dollar.

From Jason Goepfert at SentimenTrader: “Nearly $1.5 billion has left the most popular high-yield bond exchange-traded fund over the past week. The fund, HYG, has rarely suffered one-week outflows of more than $1 billion. While some funds’ flows are not good contrary indicators, the bond funds are an exception. When there is an extreme flow, the funds most often move in the opposite direction in the weeks ahead.

Where is the money going? Into gold, partially…(see dramatic spike of fund flows into the gold ETF GLD below)

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

Donald Trump Won’t Self-finance His Presidential Campaign

Presumptive GOP nominee to start soliciting donations

by Monica Langley and Rebecca Ballhaus
Market Watch

Donald Trump won’t self-fund his general-election campaign, and will instead create a “world-class finance organization,” the presumptive Republican nominee said in an interview Wednesday.

For a campaign expected to cost more than $1 billion, “I’ll be putting up money, but won’t be completely self-funding, as I did during the primaries,” Trump said Wednesday. The New York businessman, who did receive some mostly, small unsolicited donations, lent his campaign $36 million of the $47 million he spent through March.

[…] That plan represents a shift for Trump, who has for months portrayed his Republican opponents as “puppets” for relying on super PACs and taking contributions from wealthy donors that he said came with strings attached.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Keynes’s Critique of Econometrics Is Surprisingly Good

by Karl-Friedrich Israel
Mises.org

In a recent article we had a brief look at Ragnar Frisch’s (1895–1973) vision of econometric model building. As mentioned, Frisch was the first economist chosen over Mises to win the Nobel Prize in 1969. In fact, there was a second one in the same year. Frisch won the prize jointly with Dutchman Jan Tinbergen (1903–1994), who applied Frischian econometrics for the first time in large-scale macro models by the end of the 1930s.

In the first volume of his investigations into business cycles commissioned by the League of Nations, entitled Statistical Testing of Business Cycle Theories, published in 1939, Tinbergen exonerates the statistician and econometrician from his responsibility and explains:

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

EU Plans $290K Per Person Fine For Countries Refusing “Fair Share” Of Refugees; Angry Response Ensues

from Zero Hedge

As Norway offers cash for refugees to leave, announcing that they won’t be accepting any more refugees from the EU, and Switzerland prepares its military to close down borders, the EU has seemingly had enough of every country acting as if it has any type of sovereignty left. The European Commission has announced that it is going to pull rank on everyone, and in Obama-like fashion, will be fining countries for not taking their fair share of refugees.

Here is a detailed summary of all that happened today in the ongoing European refugee crisis courtesy of Mish Shedlock.

* * *

EU Plans $290,000 Per Person Fine on Countries Refusing “Fair Share” of Refugees; Case For Brexit Crystallized

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

When It Comes to Trading, You Could Be Your Worst Enemy

by Michael Covel
Daily Reckoning

“If you take emotion — would be, could be, should be — out of it, and look at what is, and quantify it, I think you have a big advantage over most human beings.” — John W. Henry, trend follower who went from being a farmer to owning the Boston Red Sox

When shares of Enron collapsed in 2001, a lot of investors got wiped out.

I’m sure you remember what happened with Enron, one of the biggest frauds in corporate history.

The firm used creative accounting to hide huge debts and heavy losses on its trading businesses. Once the fraud became evident in 2001, Enron quickly went from being one of the biggest corporations in America to being one of the biggest debacles in history.

More than 20,000 employees were thrown out on the streets. In a matter of months, the stock dropped from $90 to $0.

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

China’s Spinmeisters Should Study Wall Street’s Big Lies

by Rick Ackerman
RickAckerman.com

China Warns Its Bearish Analysts to Toe the Line was yesterday’s dog-bites-man story on the front page of The Wall Street Journal. The Chinese government could learn a thing or two studying how this works in the U.S., where complicity between the news media, the banksters and Wall Street serves to float their respective boats. Seldom do the Street’s vaunted analysts meet a stock they don’t like, and even when they hate a stock, it will usually be rated no worse than a ‘hold’. Sell recommendations, as retail investors know all too well, are disseminated to shareholders only after a stock has lost 70% of its value. As for the U.S. financial media, they are only too happy to do the Street’s bidding and to parrot the party line, since digging up actual stories on their own might take a little work.

Continue Reading at RickAckerman.com…

Europe: What Wall Street Is Missing

by Jeff D. Opdyke
The Sovereign Investor

“We are better. We are not great. But we are better. And being better feels like great after what we had.” — Barcelona cabbie, April 30, 2016

I am, quite unfortunately, in the final days of a three-week research trip to Europe. I’ve been north to south (Denmark to Spain) and east to west (the U.K. to Romania). I’ve talked to several executives, a few friends, a couple of airline people on a couple of Europe’s low-cost carriers and a gaggle of cabbies. And Europe is all right.

If nothing else, it’s healthier than America, where our debt-addled GDP expresses all the life force of a septuagenarian sucking on an oxygen tank.

Spain demonstrates that most effectively.

Continue Reading at TheSovereignInvestor.com…

I’m Starting to Think the CIA Developed Bitcoin… But I Still Love It

by Jeff Berwick
Dollar Vigilante

After being one of the biggest cheerleaders of bitcoin for the last five years what I am about to say may shock some people. In fact, as I began to connect the dots, I shocked myself.

I have been a defender of bitcoin as being a product of the free market since nearly day one. My main line of reasoning was this: Bitcoin was such an innovation that there was no way that soulless robotic drones, of the like who often work for “intelligence” agencies, like the CIA, could have come up with it on their own.

I still lean towards that line of reasoning but evidence is beginning to come out that leads me to believe there may have been some involvement from “intelligence” agencies… or, at the very least, there certainly is now.

This epiphany came to me just this week when Gavin Andresen set the media world on fire after he posted an online message explaining that Craig Steven Wright was actually the founder of bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto.

Continue Reading at DollarVigilante.com…