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There’s a Boom in Distressed Debt Exchanges to Deal with Leveraged-Loan Defaults

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

An alternative to a restructuring in bankruptcy court.

Distressed debt exchanges are an alternative by companies to restructuring their unmanageable debts in a bankruptcy court, if they can get their creditors to agree to what are usually haircuts of some form. Distressed debt exchanges are a form of default, though they’re not always included in default rates.

But when distressed debt exchanges are included, the default rates are much higher. And the number of distressed debt exchanges has surged since the Fed started hiking interest rates. And thanks to the ultra-loose financial conditions despite the Fed’s tightening, investors are eager to work out deals.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

The Global Solar Power Boom is Driving a Surge in Silver Demand

Miners are expanding their operations and ramping up production as prices for the precious metal climb to decade highs

by Christian Moess Laursen
The Wall Street Journal

A booming solar-power industry is driving a surge in the demand for silver, which is needed in large quantities to make photovoltaic panels.

Silver is integral to the production of solar photovoltaic—or solar PV—panels because of its high electrical conductivity, thermal efficiency and optical reflectivity, and mining companies are aiming to boost output as prices for the precious metal have climbed to decade highs.

Global investment in solar PV manufacturing more than doubled last year to around $80 billion, accounting for around 40% of global investment in clean-technology manufacturing, according to a report out Monday from the International Energy Agency. China more than doubled its investment in solar photovoltaic manufacturing between 2022 and 2023.

Continue Reading at WSJ.com…

Campaigns Can’t Get Worse, Can They?

Plus: A listener asks the editors about President Joe Biden holding up arms shipments to Israel.

by Matt Welch, Katherine Mangu-Ward, Nick Gillespie, and Peter Suderman
Reason.com

In this week’s The Reason Roundtable, editors Matt Welch, Katherine Mangu-Ward, Nick Gillespie, and Peter Suderman conjure up a few changes they’d wish to see in the vain hope of improving U.S. presidential campaigns and consider the Biden administration’s threat to cut off arms shipments to Israel.

00:35—Desirable presidential campaign reforms

23:00—Weekly listener question

33:20—FreedomWorks is disbanding

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

If You Give a Denver Migrant a Cookie…

by Brian C. Joondeph
American Thinker

When my adult children were young, a favorite read-along book was called If You Give a Mouse a Cookie. It was a cute story with the premise,

If a hungry little traveler shows up at your house, you might want to give him a cookie. If you give him a cookie, he’s going to ask for a glass of milk. He’ll want to look in a mirror to make sure he doesn’t have a milk mustache, and then he’ll ask for a pair of scissors to give himself a trim…

Illegal migrants to Denver have done just that. Last week they submitted a list of 13 demands to Mayor Mike Johnston that they insist the city must meet before they vacate their tent city encampments and move into city-provided shelters.

These migrant families are currently living under bridges and near train tracks. Let’s look at some of their demands.

Continue Reading at AmericanThinker.com…

Two Serious Pieces of Financial Advice

by Karl Denninger
Market-Ticker.org

Let’s do the easy one first: There are plenty of people talking about taking Social Security early because it is likely to “go broke.”

I’m going to make an assumption here: You’re either not working or intending to not when you take it. If you are working and have employer-provided health insurance then this doesn’t apply to you, but if not it most-certainly does.

The problem with taking Social Security early is that Social Security distributions count toward MAGI and thus will reduce your Obamacare (PPACA) subsidy. Right now the former “cliff” that whacked you at about $40,000 of income (cutting the subsidy off entirely) has been abated by pandemic-era law changes but those are scheduled to expire in a couple of years and they might not be renewed. Indeed they are a serious part of the fiscal trouble that the Federal Government is in right now with its deficits — and letting them expire requires doing nothing where extending them will require actual passage of a bill. Choosing to take Social Security cannot be taken back and if you get nailed by this the cost will be extraordinary, as the older you are the worse medical insurance costs become. This could, quite-trivially, eat half or more of your Social Security check so do not ignore it — this risk is very real and for nearly everyone, unless you have no other income, it makes taking it prior to 65 flat-out silly on a cost basis since you cannot control whether that subsidy cliff will return and you can’t change your mind either.

Continue Reading at Market-Ticker.org…

Thirty-Four Trillion Dollars and No One Cares

by Craig Hemke
Sprott Money

What’s another trillion? What’s another five trillion or ten trillion when no one cares? It’s not like it’s real money anyway!

Perusing the internet this morning, I found this little beauty and was reminded of why I became a “gold analyst” all those years ago…

[…] The full article is behind the Fortune magazine paywall, but the headline sums it up perfectly. The current U.S. debt total has reached $34.6T, but no one in politics could give a darn. They just keep spending and spending in order to buy off as many voters as possible while funding all of their wars.

Continue Reading at SprottMoney.com…

What is Causing This? “Demographic Winter is Coming” as Fertility Rates Plummet All Over the Globe

by Michael Snyder
End of the American Dream

Fertility rates have fallen way below replacement level throughout the entire industrialized world, and this is starting to cause major problems all over the globe. Aging populations are counting on younger generations to take care of them as they get older, but younger generations are not nearly large enough to accomplish that task. Meanwhile, there aren’t enough qualified young workers in many fields to replace the expertise of older workers that are now retiring. Sadly, this is just the beginning. As I discuss in my new book entitled “Chaos”, if fertility rates continue to drop we could potentially be facing an unprecedented global population collapse in the decades ahead. This has become so evident that even the mainstream media is starting to do stories about this. In fact, an economist that was just interviewed by the Wall Street Journal is warning that “demographic winter is coming”…

Continue Reading at EndOfTheAmericanDream.com…

Female Inmate Allegedly Raped by Transgender Inmate in California Women’s Prison

by Alana Mastrangelo
Breitbart.com

A woman at the Central California Facility for Women says she witnessed the immediate aftermath of a jailhouse rape by a transgender inmate.

Mimi Le provided a sworn declaration to lawyers with the Women’s Liberation Front, which will be included in the organization’s case against California, according to evidence from the filing obtained by Reduxx.

Le reportedly said she was one of many inmates who saw events involving what was described as a “sexual assault” committed by a man who identifies as a woman and was therefore locked up in a women’s prison.

On May 19, a female inmate was taken to a medical-administrative building after other female inmates reported to staff that she had been raped, Le explained, adding that she found the woman to be “barely conscious.”

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Gold & Silver Now Have Historic Upside Breakouts, Plus Shocking U.S. Interest Payments On Debt

from King World News

Gold had a historic upside breakout many weeks ago, but now silver just had its historic upside breakout as well. So the party is just getting started in the metals markets. Plus look at the shocking US interest payments on their growing debt.

Gold & Silver’s Historic Breakouts

May 13 (King World News) – Graddhy out of Sweden: Been saying for 18 weeks that gold has a quarterly breakout.

Now also silver has a quarterly breakout.

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

A “Restaurant Apocalypse” is Starting to Sweep Across America, and That is Really Bad News for the U.S. Economy

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

You can get a really good idea how the U.S. economy is doing by watching restaurants in your area. When the economy is booming, restaurant parking lots are full and chains are feverishly establishing new locations. But when the economy is struggling, restaurants get a lot less traffic and poor performing locations get shut down. Sadly, in 2024 it appears that a “restaurant apocalypse” has started to sweep across America. Most people have very little discretionary income to spend as a result of our cost of living crisis, and that is particularly true for our young adults. Americans under the age of 40 love to eat out, but these days most of them are experiencing financial stress, and this is having an enormous impact on the restaurant industry.

In 2023, visits to sit-down restaurants dropped by about five percent compared to 2022…

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…

Turbo Charge Your Returns Using AI with Andrew Einhorn

from Kerry Lutz's Financial Survival Network

Kerry and Andrew Einhorn of LevelFields discussed the impact of AI on investment practices, highlighting the system’s ability to track and analyze events from thousands of documents per minute to provide forecasts and alerts. The conversation also covers the system’s insights on Tesla and the broader perspective it provides for investors. Andrew emphasizes the importance of recognizing discrepancies in prices and earnings to identify opportunities in the market, using examples from the coal and fertilizer industries, defense contracting, and undervalued companies like Giga Cloud and Celsius. He provides an overview of the LevelFields platform, emphasizing its user-friendly approach to investing and the potential for short-term and long-term gains through different investment strategies.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

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Huge Financial Shock Inevitable & Hitting Now – Ed Dowd

by Greg Hunter
USA Watchdog

Former Wall Street money manager Ed Dowd is a skillful financial analyst. Even though he has a wildly popular book on CV19 vax deaths and injuries called “Cause Unknown,” he is now turning his attention back to the economy. Dowd warns the economy can fall out of bed at any time. Dowd explains, “What’s coming up next is a credit cycle. We are going to see commercial real estate go into problem mode. There are a lot of loans that need to be rolled over in 2024 and 25. A lot of these properties are down 80% . . . . There is huge credit risk coming. The prediction of bank failures is accurate. We are going to see, over the next 12 to 24 months, banks go belly-up. Then, they will have to get merged with bigger banks.”

What happens to the Biden economy? Dowd says, “The economy is going to take a nosedive sometime in the next 12 months. The real economy is not doing well. . . . The only thing that has been holding up the GDP growth is government spending. We are spending $1 trillion every 100 days. That’s adding $1 trillion to the deficit. The only job creation is government jobs, and they don’t actually add to the economy. . . . Reports are coming out now that the low-income consumer is getting absolutely hammered. McDonald’s talked about it in their most recent earnings call. . . . So, low-income and the middle-class are getting squeezed while the rich continue to plug along.”

Continue Reading at USAWatchdog.com…

Squeezed for Decades, America’s Working Class is Finally Up Against the Wall

by Charles Hugh Smith
Of Two Minds

The net result is America’s working class is up against the wall, maxed out.

Let’s start by defining the working class in a meaningful way rather than by tossing around meaningless income metrics which implicitly suggest that exceeding some semi-arbitrary income bracket will magically lift a working class household into the middle class.

In the real world, in terms of class status it doesn’t matter whether the household income is $30,000 or $130,000; what matters is 1) ownership of assets that have bubbled higher in the Everything Bubble which then provide a buffer of wealth that can be tapped when misfortune strikes, and 2) a cost of living that is consistently and significantly lower than net income, enabling regular savings.

Continue Reading at OfTwoMinds.com…

RFK Jr. Unleashed: Biden’s Israel “Bait and Switch”, Covid Censorship, and Backing Treasuries with Gold and Bitcoin

from Zero Hedge

Submitted by QTR’s Fringe Finance

This weekend I had the pleasure of sitting down with independent 2024 Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for an hourlong interview.

Our interview started with me asking Mr. Kennedy why, if you don’t follow the mainstream media narrative, you are automatically painted in a vile and unfavorable light. He told me: “I think a lot of it is driven by, or fortified at least, by financial interests. Upton Sinclair made this very, very useful statement that it’s almost impossible to persuade a man of a fact if the existence of that fact will diminish his salary.”

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Over Half of New IRS Audits Targeted the Middle Class

by Martin Armstrong
Armstrong Economics

Washington’s reckless spending comes with a cost to US taxpayers. While the fed may simply roll over their debt and issue new debt to pay off the old, the American public is on the hook for immediate liquidity every single year via taxation. The misconception that Biden would only target the wealthy needs to be dispelled as a recent study reveals that 63% of new audits targeted Americans earning under $200,000.

Now, Biden initially claimed he would send his troop of IRS agents to target Americans earning double that amount. The billionaire class was not targeted, as 80% of all audits were on filers earning under $1 million. Yes, there are far more taxpayers in the middle and lower brackets. However, the IRS merely claimed they would prioritize hunting higher earners; they never explicitly said they wouldn’t come after ALL Americans.

Continue Reading at ArmstrongEconomics.com…

It’s Funny How Wall Street Tries So Hard to Get Homeowners to Pay Interest & Fees On Their Own Money

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Second-lien mortgages to the rescue of the battered mortgage industry.

The problem for Wall Street is that homeowners are said to sit on $11 trillion in “tappable” home equity after years of surging home prices.

The actual home equity won’t be known until the homeowner sells the home and pays off the mortgage with the proceeds; the cash that’s left over is the actual home equity. In that situation, the homeowner cashed out and can now use the cash for other things, bet it on cryptos to become a billionaire overnight, buy Treasury bills to earn 5.3% in interest, fund their own startup, or blow it in some other way.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…