Home Blog Page 2540

Market Talk – April 28th, 2016

by Martin Armstrong
Armstrong Economics

Many market players were expecting further measures from the BOJ overnight but was not to be! It was widely expected that further details of asset purchases would support both the Nikkei and JGB markets whilst leaving the JPY to weaken. However, a lack of action by the BOJ resulted in a 3.5% decline in stocks and a 3% rally in the currency. Things did not finish there as they continued to sell throughout the western day and by late New York trading Nikkei futures had fallen a further 3.1%. Shanghai and Hang Seng were little changed. NZ$ rallied 1.3% as a result of no action by the RBNZ.

Continue Reading at ArmstrongEconomics.com…

Gold and Negative Interest Rates

by Dan Popescu
Acting Man

The Inflation Illusion

We hear more and more talk about the possibility of imposing negative interest rates in the US. In a recent article former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke asks what tools the Fed has left to support the economy and inter alia discusses the use of negative rates.

We first have to define what we mean by negative interest rates. For nominal rates it’s simple. When the interest rate charged goes negative we have negative nominal rates. To get the real rate of interest we have to subtract inflation from the nominal rate, so to speak remove the illusion of inflation.

Continue Reading at Acting-Man.com…

Gold, Japan, and the Last Fake Rally

by Gerardo Del Real
Outsider Club

By the time you read this the Fed will most likely have stayed put on raising rates, but will begin to take a tougher stance on the possibility of a June hike.

The real action is today as the Bank of Japan issues its policy decision.

Despite a negative interest rate policy and decades of loose monetary policy, Bank of Japan Gov. Haruhiko Koroda has been unable to deliver on his promise of 2% inflation.

And in fact the yen is actually 8% higher than in late January, when negative interest rates were first introduced.

We don’t need a crystal ball to see how this ends, we just need to ask very simple questions…

Continue Reading at OutsiderClub.com…

Top Money Manager Says Gold and Silver Are Destined for a Historic Mania

from King World News

Today one of the top money managers in the world told King World News that gold and silver are destined for a historic mania!

Stephen Leeb: “Right now I am focused on gold and silver, particularly gold and silver stocks. Many of these stocks have already tripled in price and some have gone up much more than that. I understand that the massive gains in the high quality mining companies give people pause, and they worry about whether or not to sell. But if I’m right, Eric, about there being a massive bull market in gold, can you imagine how high these stocks will go?

Meaning, you haven’t seen anything yet when it comes to the shares. By the time this bull market is near its conclusion it will be an internet mania type of atmosphere for the mining shares…

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

Silver Explodes Back on to the Trading Scene with the Comex May Contract

from Jesse’s Café Américain

April was a dull month for the silver bulls, with gold dominating the contract month.

And now that we are into the May contract delivery period, the shoe is definitely on the other foot.

The May silver contract showed 3,915,000 ounces delivered on the first day for May at the price of 17.55.

The big seller was the house account from the vampire squid, Goldman Sachs. And the biggest buyers were the tag team of the house account at JPM, and their mystery customer who keeps taking delivery after delivery of bullion.

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

AfD Forces Merkel’s Hand: 5-Year Ban on Benefits for Jobless Migrants Coming Up

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

There is one thing and one thing only politicians eventually respond to: losing votes to another political party over single issues.

Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU sister parties are losing voters thanks to Merkel’s open arms policy on immigration.

Support for SPD, Merkel’s grand coalition partner has dropped to 20%, an all-time low.

Merkel had to do something, and she finally did.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

Asian Markets Keep Sliding in Wake of Japan’s Inaction

Yen reaches 18-month high against dollar

by Dominique Fong
Market Watch

Shares in most Asian stock markets edged lower Friday, with gains capped by disappointment over the Bank of Japan holding back on additional stimulus and worries about global economic growth.

China’s Shanghai Composite Index SHCOMP, -0.31% was little changed, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI, -1.47% lost 1.2%.

Elsewhere in Asia, Korea’s Kospi SEU, -0.53% fell 0.6%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 XJO, +0.30% rose 0.3%. Japan’s stock market was closed in observance of a public holiday.

Broad losses in U.S. stocks overnight weighed on some stock markets in Asia.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

In Defense of Deflation

by Philipp Bagus
Mises.org

Mises Institute: What prompted you to write In Defense of Deflation?

Philipp Bagus: One reason is that there was simply no complete treatment of deflation. The other reason is that the fear of deflation has brought disastrous consequences for our economies. This is so because the alleged threat of deflation is used to justify the production of new money. Central bankers argue today that if they do not engage in quantitative easing and other unconventional policies, our economies will slide into a recession and a price deflation. And, implicitly, price deflation is portrayed as something horrible. It is so widely regarded as horrible, in fact, that anti-deflationists do not even think it necessary to prove their claims and analyze the phenomenon systematically. Therefore, I thought it useful to analyze deflation.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

Harvey Organ’s Daily Gold & Silver Report – 2016.04.28

Agnico eagle produces strong results in a tough environment (banker manipulation)/ The big news of the day: Japan cannot and willnot do anymore QE/sends Japanese yen skyrocketing and bourses crumbling throughout the globe/Yen carry traders are fried to death/China seems its commodity bubble burst/EU cancels meeting with Greece as there is no headway, Greece may fail in July/Carl Icahn dumps all of his Apple stock

by Harvey Organ
Harvey Organ’s Blog

[…] From last night’s access market through to the opening of Japan, the bankers were doing everything possible to knock gold off its perch. Then suddenly, Kuroda of the Central Bank of Japan shocked all of the traders by doing absolutely nothing. Everyone was expecting some sort of new QE. That sent the Japan skyrocketing by over 340 basis points, the Nikkei plummeted by over 1000 points and then bourses around the world were hit pretty hard. The big winner was gold and silver as they immediately rebounded and that put a huge dent in the plans of the bankers with respect to the London’s options which expire tomorrow morning. If they fail tomorrow that would be the first time in many years that the bankers have failed during the entirety of options expiry week.

Continue Reading at HarveyOrganBlog.com…

Triple Lutz Report #400 – Comrade DeBlasio On His Way Out

from Financial Survival Network

Like all things new and socialist, eventually they lose their luster and wind up being discarded. When Comrade William “Bill” Wilhelm deBlasio was elected mayor of the collectivist utopia known as New York City, we took bets on how long it would take to make the once great metropolis bankrupt. It’s hard to believe that just 3 years later the Comrade has exceeded our wildest expectations. A man of limited intellect, extremely poor judgment and an exaggerated sense of self-importance, the Comrade is now grasping to hold on to his political life. Seems that City Hall under his regime became an organized crime outpost where pay to play wasn’t just a philosophy, it was a religion. Now the US Attorney is circling his rotting carcass as well as the DA. A recent report about electoral corruption in the City, describes a web in which deBlasio was at the center. And it just shows the difference between a rat and a politician, there are somethings a rat just won’t do! Obama is attempting to bridge the diaper gap with generous subsidies to low income parents. Seems that being poor also means you kids will go without Pampers, isn’t it wonderful the things that government will do for people in need. Finally the lie has been put to social promotion, the practice of public schools promoting illiterates to higher grades to get rid of unwanted problems. The deal is that if your kid can’t read by the end of 3rd grade, he’s screwed. Florida of all places recognized this fact and outlawed the practice in most cases. Michigan is next on board. Can you imagine a world where all students learn to read and write at school?

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Sign up (on the right side) for the instant free Financial Survival Toolkit and free weekly newsletter.

Heather Wagenhals on the Warpath Against Fraudsters

from Identity Theft Warriors

Heather Wagenhals has always had a particular revulsion against scammers who exploit the elderly and the ignorant and steal their money, often their life’s savings. Now Heather is compiling a list of scams around the country. She’s put herself onto so-called “Sucker Lists,” and is being voluntarily inundated with scammers. She records their calls and the phone number they’re calling from, along with any suspect websites. Then she pushes them out on the web as warning to the unsuspecting. Scammers beware, there’s a new sheriff in town!

To keep your identity safe now go to www.KeepMyID.org and be sure to use the Code: FSN2.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Sign up (on the right side) for the instant free Financial Survival Toolkit and free weekly newsletter.

This Index is Screaming a U.S. Dollar Decline

by Grayson Schultze
The Daily Bell

The dollar has an opportunity to make history. After three straight years of gains, strategists are forecasting the US currency will be a world beater again in 2016, strengthening against seven of 10 developed world peers by the end of the year. – Median estimate from Bloomberg Survey

Two data points may establish a trend. Three can confirm the trend – with a margin of error.

But what happens when six data points line up in the same direction?

It’s a full-blown, screaming signal.

While strategists at Bloomberg are optimistic about the dollar’s continued strength in the coming years, our analysis of six separate data points tells a very different story.

The six data point signal is the U.S. Dollar Index, an index that measures the performance of the dollar against a basket of six currencies – the Euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, and Swedish krona.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Stagflation-Lite Coming Up? 1st Quarter GDP 0.5% as Consumer Spending Decelerates

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

The latest GDPNow forecast of 0.6% first quarter GDP was nearly spot on. The BEA’s Advance Estimate of first quarter GDP came in at 0.5%.

Deceleration is the word of the day.

Real gross domestic product — the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production, adjusted for price changes — increased at an annual rate of 0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2016, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 1.4 percent.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

A Personal Introduction [Video]

by Simon Black
Sovereign Man

It occurred to me this morning that there’s at least a 99% chance that you and I have never met.

We’ve had some absolutely spectacular events all over the world where we’ve been joined by giants like Ron Paul, Jim Rogers, Robert Kiyosaki, Marc Faber, and many more.

But even better, these events have given me the opportunity to meet thousands of our readers.

Sovereign Man readers are some of the most interesting people in the world. People who truly care about freedom, peace, and prosperity.

Continue Reading at SovereignMan.com…

Gold, Silver, and the US Dollar: 1792-1971

by Mickey Fulp, The Mercenary Geologist
Gold Seek

A Monday Morning Musing from Mickey the Mercenary Geologist

In today’s musing, I review the history of gold, silver, and fiat currency as money in the United States of America. I document how various wars, panics and depressions, Congressional acts, and executive orders have affected the US dollar prices of precious metals and resulting gold-silver ratios.

This musing covers the period from 1792 when the United States government first established a national currency backed by gold and silver until August 1971 when Nixon floated the US dollar against gold and world currencies.

In a subsequent musing, I will document the record of gold-silver ratios in the floating fiat currency market from late 1971 to the present.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Carl Icahn Dumps Apple Stake Amid China Concerns

Icahn owned nearly 46 million shares of Apple at the end of 2015

by Jennifer Booton
Market Watch

Shares of Apple Inc. AAPL, +0.32% fell more than 3% Thursday after activist investor Carl Icahn said he sold his entire stake in the company.

Icahn‘s investment firm owned 45.8 million shares of Apple as of Dec. 31, according to FactSet. In an on-air interview Thursday with CNBC following the company’s disappointing quarterly earnings, he spoke of concerns regarding Apple’s ability to grow, particularly in China, where sales plummeted 26% during the fiscal second quarter.

The investor continued to stand by his belief that Apple “is a great company” and that Chief Executive Tim Cook has done a “good job.” But he said he was put off by the company’s inability to grow sales, with Apple earlier this week reporting its first quarterly revenue decline in 13 years.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Economics, Entrepreneurship and the NFL Draft

by Tho Bishop
Mises.org

There is no better sign of the NFL’s domination of the American sports landscape like the phenomenon of the NFL draft. The event, which is essentially a glorified business meeting, has evolved from a one day affair held in a smoke-filled single hotel conference room into a made-for-TV spectacle. Not only does it annually dominate the competing NBA playoffs in television ratings, but in 2014 more people watched the first round of the draft than either Game 7 of the World Series or any NBA championship game.

In America, democracy may be a failing god — but NFL is king.

The NFL draft also happens to be my favorite time on the sports calendar, in part because it is also a great illustration of many foundational economic concepts relevant to Austrian economics.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

The U.S. Economy Officially Joins The Global Economic Slowdown – 1st Quarter GDP Comes In At 0.5%

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

Even the government is admitting that the U.S. economy is slowing down. On Thursday, we learned that U.S. GDP grew at just a 0.5 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2016. This was lower than analysts were anticipating, and it marks the third time in a row that the GDP number has declined compared to the previous quarter. In other words, GDP growth has been declining for close to a year now, and this lines up perfectly with what I have been saying about how the second half of last year was a turning point that plunged us into the early chapters of a brand new economic crisis. And as you will see below, the official GDP number is highly manipulated, and the way that it is calculated has been changed numerous times over the years. So the bad number that is being reported by the government is actually the best case scenario.

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…

What Brexit Supporters Have Wrong About the Origins of the EU

by Daily Bell Staff
The Daily Bell

The European Union always was an American project. It was Washington that drove European integration in the late 1940s, and funded it covertly under the Truman, Eisenhower, Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon administrations. – Telegraph

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is telling the truth again, or at least part of it, in this most recent column of his. But we find ourselves disagreeing with him on some important points.

More on that in a minute.

The initial cause of the column is supposedly Pritchard’s disbelief regarding euro-skeptics who were shocked by Barack Obama’s recent statements (made in England) opposing Brexit.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

“Why Our Children Should Hate Us” – Read the Lance Simmens Article Banned by the Huffington Post

by Michael Krieger
Liberty Blitzkrieg

Although Lance Simmens has been intimately involved in public life for several decades, you’ve probably never heard of him. As such, a little introduction is needed.

As mentioned, Lance Simmens’ career was spent in public policy. Specifically, he worked for two U.S. Presidents as well as a couple of senators and governors. Since retirement, he’s been a prolific writer, publishing 180 articles at the Huffington Post over the past 8 years. As such, it came as a great shock to him to discover that one of his recent articles was removed by the Huffington Post shortly after publication. It was the first article ever rejected by the online publication, and the unacceptable subject matter was nothing more than a positive review of the banned everywhere documentary VAXXED.

Continue Reading at LibertyBlitzkrieg.com…

McDonald’s Will Replace Jobs with Kiosks: Ex-CEO Says $15 Wage “Will Trigger Massive Layoffs”

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

The future of fast food service will involve much less human interaction.

Instead, humans will line up like rats to pellet dispenser, and computer screens will take orders, as the classic menial, entry-level job will gradually disappear along with many other jobs in the workforce.

Former McDonald’s CEO Ed Rensi, who headed the company during the 90s, blasted the push for a $15 minimum wage, which he argued, food companies won’t pay – they just won’t pay it.

And jobs will suffer because of it.

Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

From The Archive: MH-17

by Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
PaulCraigRoberts.org

Not long ago I wrote that every American institution, public and private, is corrupt. And every week Robert Parry’s reports prove the truth of my statement.

In his latest, http://www.globalresearch.ca/from-brady-to-mh-17-power-defines-reality/5522142 , Parry says that “Power – far more than fact – determines what is defined as true in America, a nation that has become dangerously disconnected from reality in matters both trivial and important.” To illustrate he uses the orchestrated “Deflategate” scandal and the orchestrated MH-17 storyline.

Parry reports how NFL team owners used NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell to frame the New England Pariots and the team’s quarterback, Tom Brady. It is a scientific fact that cold air and moisture reduce a football’s internal air pressure. This scientific fact was ignored, and Brady was successfully smeared for running a scheme to slightly deflate footballs. He and the Patriots were sanctioned.

Continue Reading at PaulCraigRoberts.org…

Obama Admits Couldn’t “Convince Americans Of ‘Recovery'”, Bashes ‘The Big Short’

from Zero Hedge

Despite his proclamation that he “saved the world from a Great Depression,” the fact is that Obama will be the first President ever to not see a single year of 3% GDP growth – but only cynical fiction-peddlers would mention facts at a time like this. In yet more legacy-defending narrative, Obama told The NYTimes today that his biggest failure was being unable to sell his success in putting the American economy back on track to the American people (no matter the actual realities) careful to blame Republicans for slowing growth “by a percentage point or two.” And then in a final affront to fact, Obama dismisses the conclusion of “The Big Short” proclaiming that he reined in Wall Street, overhauled the banking system, and made water from wine “the financial system substantially more stable.”

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Silver: The “Five Year Plan” and the Great Leap Forward

by Gary Christenson
Deviant Investor

Five years ago paper silver contracts on the COMEX hit a multi-decade high over $48 on April 29, 2011.

At the end of April 2016 the silver price is bouncing around $17, down about 65% from its April 2011 high. The low occurred at about $13.60 in December of last year, when paper silver prices were down about 70% from their April 2011 high.

Let’s review significant prices roughly every five years back for 30 years:

Continue Reading at DeviantInvestor.com…

Metals & Stocks Still Not on the Same Page?

by Martin Armstrong
Armstrong Economics

QUESTION: At the WEC you said that as long as the metals and the stock market are still fighting with each other, then the breakout is not quite ready. I assume we are looking at this probably by the first quarter next year which is why you are holding the WEC after the elections. Is my assumption correct?

ANSWER: Yes. The metals have some room to reach last year’s high as in silver at 1850 that is about 5% still higher if they achieve the closing numbers provided on the Private blog. In gold that number for last year’s high is $1307. In the Dow that is 18351. Gold, silver and stocks all rallied into 1980 from the recession low in the mid-1970s. True, the D0w went further into the following year when the metals peaked in 1980. Nevertheless, they DO NOT historically move in total opposite trends.

Continue Reading at ArmstrongEconomics.com…

Dealing Desk: FOMC Boosts Precious Metal Prices

by Kelly-Ann Kearsey
Gold Money

This week, clients have been net buying gold, silver, and palladium.

Wednesday’s FOMC release seemed to spark more buying acitivity from our clients as they took advantage of the lower pricing in advance of the FOMC statement. Clients have also been net selling their platinum positions to take advantage of the current platinum price which has risen to over USD1,030/oz this week.

GoldMoney’s clients have been in favour of the Hong Kong, Swiss, and Singapore vaults this week with more less preference being shown toward the London and Canadian vaults.

Kelly-Ann Kearsey, Dealing Manager at GoldMoney said that throughout the week the gold prices have been regaining their losses from last Friday, where a low of roughly $1,230/oz was seen. Silver has remained relatively stable to start the week, sitting at around USD17.00/oz.

Continue Reading at GoldMoney.com…