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Leave Camp Must Accept That Norway Model is the Only Safe Way to Exit EU

The Scottish economist Adam Smith had a sophisticated view of trade that is all too often missing from the Brexit debate

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Telegraph.co.uk

The Leave campaign must choose. It cannot safeguard access to the EU single market and offer a plausible arrangement for the British economy, unless it capitulates on the free movement of EU citizens.

One or other must give. If Brexiteers wish to win over the cautious middle of British politics, they must make a better case that our trade is safe. This means accepting the Norwegian option of the European Economic Area (EEA) – a ‘soft exit’ – as a half-way house until the new order is established.

It means accepting the four freedoms of goods, services, capital, and labour that go with the EU single market. It means swallowing EU rules, and much of the EU Acquis, and it means paying into the EU budget.

Continue Reading at Telegraph.co.uk…

David Morgan & Chris Waltzek on GoldSeek Radio – June 1, 2016

by Chris Waltzek
GoldSeek Radio

David Morgan a.k.a. “The Silver Investor” from the Morgan Report gives a detailed overview of current silver market conditions. Our guest adds must hear information to the Silver Majestic story, where the CEO was contacted by a large electronics manufacturer seeking silver supply. His work indicates that the PMs bottom is in place, due in part to a slow motion global economic implosion. The silver market will likely build up momentum through higher highs and higher lows. Silver aficionados will delight in our guest’s prediction of a 2011 style, exponential climb in silver price, culminating with much higher than $50 per ounce. Case in point, the mining shares sharp advance is de facto evidence of higher bullion prices to come.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Continue Reading at Radio.GoldSeek.com…

Bernie Sanders – The Best of a Bad Bunch?

by Bill Bonner
Daily Reckoning

BALTIMORE – “Tommy… who are you voting for?”

We put the question to a local bulldozer operator whom we’ve known for at least half a century.

Tommy, now 80 years old, is the last of a dying breed.

He grew up plowing the earth to grow tobacco on Maryland’s Tidewater, on the western shore of the Chesapeake Bay. In the 1970s, when tobacco farming became unprofitable, he switched from plowing the earth to moving it around.

He is still at it. And as near as we can tell, he will go on with it until his eyes give out… or his mind fails… and he knocks over a suburban house by accident.

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

ObamaCare Redistribution and the Disincentive to Work

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

Reader WC Varones emailed an article he wrote on Obamacare and the Disincentive to Work.

At the heart of the matter is a redistribution scheme that punishes the middle class the most, and the wealthy the least, for the benefit of the poor.

As awful as Obamacare has been at its purported goal of making health care affordable, it has been unquestionably successful at one of Obama’s other primary goals: the redistribution of wealth. Unfortunately, the poor design of the redistribution function is one of the reasons Obamacare is failing.

As the Economist points out in “Healthy Dose of Redistribution“, Obamacare imposes new taxes and costs on the middle class to fund subsidies for low-income earners. Low-income people get Obamacare for almost free, while middle class families are required to pay full freight for the most expensive government health care plan in the world by far.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

How an Interest-Rate Hike Could Send S&P 500 Into Summer Tailspin

Rate hike, political uncertainty, tightening credit may gut stocks

by Wallace Witkowski
Market Watch

One newly minted stock bear from a major bank just got a little more bearish, saying a handful of forces including a summer Federal Reserve rate increase could send the S&P 500 into a potential tailspin this summer.

In recent interview, Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, doubled down on a newfound bearishness, backing up an end-of-year price target for the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.11% of 2,000 with a warning that the index could drop by as much as 15% this summer. Subramanian, by the way, started 2016 with an end-of-year price target of 2,200.

At current levels, a 15% drop would bring the S&P 500 down to 1,780, a level not seen in nearly 16 months.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Sorry Hillary: Former Clinton Advisor Thinks Joe Biden May Be The Nominee

from Zero Hedge

By Douglas Schoen, former political adviser and pollster for President Bill Clinton in the years1994-2000. Originally posted in the WSJ

Clinton Might Not Be the Nominee

[…] There is now more than a theoretical chance that Hillary Clinton may not be the Democratic nominee for president.

How could that happen, given that her nomination has been considered a sure thing by virtually everyone in the media and in the party itself? Consider the possibilities.

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Long Term Silver Bull Market Signal Falls Into Place

by Roland Watson
Silver Seek

As a newsletter writer who keeps an eye on the long term prospects for silver, there are a few indicators I follow which have proven reliable over the years past. When each indicator issues a buy signal in succession, the probability of a long term silver bull market increases and so does my confidence as a precious metals investor.

You will read various commentators who start pumping silver as soon as it makes a big move. That is not good enough if a reason is not given. We have seen big moves rise and fall these past five years, but none of them issued the buy signal that occurred yesterday in the silver market.

Continue Reading at SilverSeek.com…

Coming Destruction? Alan Greenspan Warns “Venezuela Under Martial Law and America Is Next”

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

The potential for a truly devastating economic collapse has been real for some time.

And it is coming to America.

Though most Americans are accustomed to having shelves full of food and goods, and enough money to keep going, this sense of security is quite false.

The real economy is bottoming out, and the experts have been warning about the extreme stress in the system for some time.

Job growth has stagnated, personal and institution debt is teetering on edge and the central bank policies of the Federal Reserve have been widening the gap between artificially-boosted corporate interests… and all the rest who have been stymied by low-interest cash flowing to the top of the pyramid at zero interest (and failing to trickle down).

Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

The Startling Truth About How Working Families Are Being Destroyed by This Economy

by Michael Snyder
End of the American Dream

It is hard to live the American Dream when the deck is stacked against you. Our politicians stood idly by as millions of good paying jobs were shipped overseas, our economic infrastructure was absolutely gutted and multitudes of small businesses were choked to death by miles of red tape. Now, we are reaping the consequences. In America today, nobody has a job in one out of every five families, and there are more than 100 million working age Americans that are currency not working. And thanks to our transition to a “service economy”, many of those that are actually working are deeply struggling too. According to the Social Security Administration, 51 percent of all American workers make less than $30,000 a year. And the Federal Reserve says that 47 percent of all Americans could not pay an unexpected $400 emergency room bill without borrowing the money from somewhere or selling something. That means that about half the country is flat broke, and things get even more precarious for working families with each passing day.

Continue Reading at EndOfTheAmericanDream.com…

Market Talk for June 1st, 2016

by Martin Armstrong
Armstrong Economics

As rumored, Japan’s PM Mr. Abe announced today that the Sales Tax increase is to be delayed for the second time. This will very likely have an impact on Ratings Agencies who will be waiting more details in regards to any change on fiscal impacts and their possible reaction. As a result the JPY moved stronger – touching an intraday high of 109.04 as the Nikkei cash closed down 1.6%. In late US futures trading the Nikkei has lost an additional 0.65%. China PMI was almost unchanged but most of the day was speculating over the possible MSCI inclusion and the effects thereof. HSI drifted in quiet trading awaiting further confirmation of the trend.

Continue Reading at ArmstrongEconomics.com…

Why Technical Analysis Does Not Work for Gold and Silver

Michael Ballanger, a precious metals expert, says he believes technical charts were created by bullion bank traders to lull the “chartists” into a false sense of security.

by Michael J. Ballanger
The Gold Report

I often include charts in my weekly missives for a number of reasons, but the truth of the matter is that they add a little color to what would normally be a pretty drab bombardment of opinion delivered via text. By adding charts, it creates the illusion that I actually understand technical analysis (which I don’t other than what I gleaned during a two week training program in 1977 while in the employ of McLeod Young and Weir) and that it is useful in the forecasting of price trends in gold and silver over the long term. Well, I have a secret to tell you—”T.A.” (as it is called by the “in crowd”) is USELESS. “Cup and handles,” “hanging Chinamen, “engulfing knickers,” “tombstone dojis”—you can fire them all in the waste bin because that is precisely where they belong.

Continue Reading at TheAuReport.com…

Trump’s Success? Blame the “Recovery”

by Jeff D. Opdyke
The Sovereign Investor

This is one of those friend-of-friend stories that no one believes. In this case, I actually know the people involved, so I can tell you it’s true.

It starts with my friend telling me recently about a conversation she had with her husband. He was part of a lunchtime discussion at work about the popularity of Donald Trump when his colleague said: “I don’t understand why people are following Trump. America is doing really well. The economy has recovered. We have plenty of jobs. Why would anyone be unhappy?”

In a certain slice of America, that perception is reality … though in reality, it’s a false perception.

Continue Reading at TheSovereignInvestor.com…

How We’ll Know When to Buy This Hated Commodity

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Commodities Rout Not Quite Over Just Yet

We have not been true believers in the recent oil rally. And we still aren’t. Oil made a huge move, at one point nearly doubling in three months, but it’s still not at levels where US shale oil producers or Canadian tar sands producers can thrive, or even survive for long. We think the pain isn’t over.

We have seen this play out in US natural gas. Every major rally brought new production on line followed by an even greater natural gas glut – along with a subsequent crash in prices.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Utopia Meets Reality in the EU

by Stratfor
Financial Sense

EU leaders obsessed with the idea of a federal Europe are losing touch with their populations and are fueling nationalist and Euroskeptic sentiment across the Continent. At least, this is how Donald Tusk, European Council president, summarized the situation in Europe during a May 30 European People’s Party summit. According to Tusk, EU leaders create “all kinds of utopias — a utopia of Europe without nation states, a utopia of Europe without conflicting interests and ambitions,” even though “the citizens of Europe do not share our Euro-enthusiasm.” Tusk is not the first EU representative to question the future of Continental integration (EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker recently made similar statements). But Tusk’s choice of words is notable. EU integration has often been described as a goal, an aspiration or even a dream — all concepts that involve a degree of hope to achieve a possibility. But by definition, a utopia is an imaginary place that exists only as an ideal; the word itself comes from the Greek “ou-topos,” meaning “nowhere.” Tusk has therefore admitted that a fully integrated Europe, however ideal, is impossible.

Continue Reading at FinancialSense.com…

Claudio Grass Interviews Felix Zulauf

by Pater Tenebrarum
Acting Man

Government Intervention is Making Things Worse

Our good friend and frequent contributor Claudio Grass, the CEO of Global Gold, has recently interviewed legendary Swiss fund manager Felix Zulauf. A wide range of topics was discussed, including monetary policy, the market outlook, investment decisions and precious metals.

[…] About Felix Zulauf:

Felix Zulauf started out as a trader for Swiss Bank. He joined Union Bank of Switzerland in 1977, ultimately becoming the head of the institutional portfolio management unit and global strategist for the UBS Group. He is the owner and president of Zulauf Asset Management, a hedge fund based in Zug, Switzerland, which he founded in 1990 and now runs as his private family office. According to Macro Axis, Zulauf Asset Management had AUM of $1.7 billion. Zulauf has been a regular member of the Barron’s Roundtable for almost 30 years. He also provides institutional research services.

Continue Reading at Acting-Man.com…

This Is Your Chance to Start Building Serious, Long-Term Wealth

from Casey Research

Editor’s note: Agora founder Bill Bonner has never done anything like this before…

If you haven’t heard, he recently committed to invest $5 million of his own family’s trust in the stock recommendations of just one of his analysts: expert value investor Chris Mayer.

Chris has one of the best track records in the business. Over a 10-year span, he safely beat the markets by three-to-one and outperformed some of the world’s best investors, including Warren Buffett.

And now, until tonight only, you can invest alongside Bill with a subscription to Chris’ brand-new service Bonner Private Portfolio. But, as Bill points out in today’s special essay, this service isn’t for everyone…

Continue Reading at CaseyResearch.com…

Eight Reasons Why it is So Hard to Find Someone Decent to Marry

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

It is not easy to be single in America today. If you are a man, it can be exceedingly difficult to find a good woman to marry. If you are a woman, it is literally a miracle if you can find a good man to marry. So is it just our imaginations, or has the process of finding a mate become much more challenging in recent years? Well, it is a fact that fewer people are getting married these days. For the first time in our history, there are more single adults in our country than married adults, and Time Magazine says that 25 percent of Millennials will never get married even once in their entire lifetimes. And of course those that do get married are taking far longer to do so than previous generations. Just recently, I wrote about how the average American woman is getting married 7.0 years later than she did in 1956, and the average American man is getting married 6.7 years later than he did back at that time.

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…

Mainstream Expects All at Once; in the Slowdown There Are Only Bits and Pieces but Still Pointing Down

by Jeffrey P. Snider
Alhambra Partners

As with China’s manufacturing, so goes global manufacturing. Rather than rebounding out of 2016’s dismal start, the failure to follow through in April and now May simply proves yet again that nothing has changed. These PMI sentiment surveys are believed to be far more precise than they really are. Even though the ISM Manufacturing PMI, for example, rose slightly to 51.3 in May from 50.8 in April, that isn’t a material difference in the more appropriate wider context. In the interest of brevity, I’ll just copy what I wrote earlier today of China’s PMI’s:

Continue Reading at AlhambraPartners.com…

200 Former Israeli Security Officials Push Palestinian Peace Plan

While long-time observers of the region can be forgiven for not holding their breath… it still offers an interesting insight into a growing rift between the politicians and the military they command that may have greater consequences in the future.

by James Corbett
The International Forecaster

There are new peace overtures toward the Palestinians coming out of Israel these days, but they’re coming from the last place you’d expect: the Israeli military.

Late last week a group of over 200 former Israeli military and security officials forwarded a proposal for ending the impasse with the Palestinians and normalizing ties with the Arab world.

[…] In tabling their action plan, the group–which includes IDF Generals as well as former high-ranking members of Mossad, Shin Bet and Israel Police–called for a freeze on settlement building, an acceptance of the Arab Peace Initiative and the concession of East Jerusalem to a future Palestinian state.

What is perhaps even more eyebrow-raising than the proposal itself is the context in which it is being brought forward. As Jason Ditz notes at Antiwar.com, the peace push follows consternation over Army Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Gadi Eisenkot, who had the gall to suggest that the military should have moral standards and that Israeli soldiers shouldn’t empty magazines into Palestinian girls brandishing scissors. This was followed by Maj. Gen. Yair Golan’s controversial comparison of modern Israel to 1930s Germany. When Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon dared to defend Eisenkot, he was ousted from his position and replaced by ultra hardliner Avigdor Lieberman, Chairman of the far-right Yisrael Beytenu.

Continue Reading at TheInternationalForecaster.com…

The TSA’s Answer to Long Lines Is… Wait for It… “More Security”

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

In a very classic sense, it is a strategy for acquiring more power.

Problem. Reaction. Solution.

Though the TSA has never been effective at catching or reducing terrorism, it has become very good at inconveniencing Americans.

Rifling through their things, herding them through x-ray machines reminiscent of Nazi policies, forcing people to withstand increasingly long lines, with many people even losing out on flights. All in the name of security.

After wait times across the country have made headlines and left airport travelers stranded and fed up, Homeland Security chief Jeh Johnson, whose agency overseas the Transportation Security Administration (TSA), is calling for a solution based in… what else… greater security.

Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

Global Mints Report Record Silver Coin Sales for 2015

Gold coin sales register fifth best year since 2002, 30% increase over 2014

by Michael J. Kosares
Silver Seek

[…] Global investors snapped up a record 89.6 million one ounce silver coins in 2015, according to USAGOLD’s annual survey of global bullion coin sales. The strong 2015 showing follows an equally impressive 2014 for silver coins at 77.9 million ounces and 2013 at 85.4 million ounces. Year over year, silver bullion coin demand was up 14% from 2014. Last year was a banner year for gold bullion coin sales as well – the fifth best since 2002. National mints sold 2.75 million ounces in 2015 – an impressive 30% increase over 2014.

There was nothing to distinguish 2015 from previous years except that the price was right for both metals. Gold started the year at $1188 per ounce and ended it at $1061. Silver, the more volatile of the two metals, began the year at $15.73 per ounce and ended at $13.83.

Continue Reading at SilverSeek.com…

One Stock to Rule Them All

by Jimmy Mengel
Outsider Club

Buying stocks can be overwhelming…

The five W’s — Who, What, When, Where, and Why — can lead to analysis paralysis in most people. A recent Bankrate survey confirmed as much: less than half of American adults have any money in stocks at all.

And I’m not just talking about regular stock traders — that percentage includes those who have 401(k)s and IRAs. In fact, one out of every three Americans has ZERO retirement savings. Zip, zilch, nada…

Even Americans who have taken steps to secure that future aren’t doing much better: 23% have less than $10,000 saved. That may get you through a couple of months, but it’s a far cry from a comfortable retirement.

Continue Reading at OutsiderClub.com…