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Japan Having Yen Troubles, and Copper Tells the Tale

What happens when commodities are badly mispriced because off too many financial-only speculators distorting the price signal? Eventually, it’s big trouble. What happens if the yen completely melts down? I don’t know, but it looks like we’re going to find out.

by Dr. Chris Martenson
Chris Martenson’s Peak Prosperity

The Japanese central bank apparently used tens of billions of dollars of firepower to drive the price of the yen back up compared to the US dollar, but accomplished very little. This is the sort of comprehensive failure one sees before TSHTF.

The last time we had an Asian currency crisis, things were extremely turbulent and dicey. And that was back in 1997 when global leverage was a fraction of its current values. Who knows how turbulent things could get this time?

Next, the story of copper is a real head-scratcher if you come at it from a fundamental, logical angle. The basic conundrum is that the current price of copper is barely 1/3rd that needed to justify opening a new mine.

Continue Reading at PeakProsperity.com…

No One Can Make Government Work

If businesses don’t serve customers well, they go out of business. Government, on the other hand, is a monopoly.

by John Stossel
Reason.com

President Joe Biden says, “I know how to make government work!”

You’d think he’d know. He’s worked in government for 51 years.

But the truth is, no one can make government work.

Biden hasn’t.

Look at the chaos at the border, our military’s botched withdrawal from Afghanistan, the rising cost of living, our unsustainable record-high debt.

In my new video, economist Ed Stringham argues that no government can ever work well, because “even the best person can’t implement change….The massive bureaucracy gets bigger and slower.”

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America Amid the Now-Fizzled Rate-Cut Mania & Erstwhile Plunge in Mortgage Rates

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Rate-Cut Mania died, mortgage rates re-jumped to 7.5% today, but here’s what home prices did during Rate-Cut Mania.

The brief and now bygone era of Rate-Cut Mania. Today’s S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, dubbed “February,” is a three-month moving average of home prices whose sales were entered into public records in December, January, and February. Today’s data therefore reflects Rate-Cut Mania that lasted from the beginning of November until February 13, when the Consumer Price Index showed with brutal frankness that inflation was rearing its ugly head again.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

On Real Estate Income Expectations

by Karl Denninger
Market-Ticker.org

In short if you expect rental income flows to remain stable and yet you also think valuations should go up rather than down you’re dead wrong.

Here’s the simple fact of it: “Cap rate” expresses the return on invested capital as a percentage. A $500,000 property that has net operating income (that is, income minus operating expenses) of $25,000 has a “Cap Rate” of 5%.

What is a reasonable “cap rate”? It is always higher than the short-term interest rate on Treasuries because there is risk in a real estate transaction but there is no risk in short-term Treasuries. That is, if I get a 5% payout on $500,000 worth of 13 week T-bills rolled over every 13 weeks for a year (that is, the IRX is at 5%) for a real estate transaction to make sense it must pay materially higher than that cap rate because I cannot control for the risk that the value of the property may decline, there is significant expense in disposing of the property if I choose to do so and real estate is illiquid (that is, I cannot call someone or get online and get rid of it in a day or three.)

Continue Reading at Market-Ticker.org…

Biden Team Edits His Scripted Video 8 Times in 24 Seconds

by Wendell Husebo
Breitbart.com

Joe Biden’s aides spliced a 24-second scripted video of the president eight times, raising concerns about whether he can deliver simple remarks without mistakes.

  • About one-third of Democrats doubt Biden’s mental fitness, a Harvard/Harris survey recently found.
  • Another poll revealed 82 percent of Americans harbor concerns about his physical and mental health.
  • Only about one-third of voters say Biden is physically or mentally fit to serve a second term, Quinnipiac found.

Politicians often record remarks on camera for social media, but few short videos are as heavily edited as Biden’s 24-second video. The exception to the repeated jump cuts would be videos created for TikTok.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Take National Security Off Auto-Pilot

by Andrew Byers
The American Institute for Economic Research

American foreign policy has been lurching along for decades now, ever since the end of the Cold War, without sufficient clarity. What are our goals as a nation, and how might we best achieve them? There have been times in the course of American history when the nation had genuine strategic clarity, such as when it went to war against the Axis following the attack at Pearl Harbor. In that instance, the United States properly assessed what it wanted to achieve — the unconditional surrender of the Axis Powers — how it might best go about achieving that end, and proceeded to marshal its resources to ensure success. Clearly, the use of military force is warranted when critical US interests are at stake, such as when an aggressive rival hegemon (like Nazi Germany or Imperial Japan) threatens to dominate a key region, and there are no alternatives to using force. Problems have arisen when the United States has used significant military force in cases when important US interests are not at stake, or in instances when non-military means could have been used.

Continue Reading at AIER.org…

Marxism and Cowardice are the Hallmarks of America’s Colleges and Universities

by Steve McCann
American Thinker

The campuses of America’s colleges and universities are awash in Marxist ideology and tolerance for Fascist/Nazi tactics as well as cowardice and lemminglike groupthink by professors and presidents. The chaotic and perilous end-product of these mindsets is what Americans are witnessing today in the virulent antisemitism, support for Islamic terrorism, and anti-Americanism at so many colleges and universities.

Thirty-five years ago, the New York Times published an article entitled “The Mainstreaming of Marxism in US colleges” describing how, despite unmitigated failures and the collapse of Marxism around the world, Marxist ideas were becoming mainstream in the halls of American universities.

Continue Reading at AmericanThinker.com…

Man Exposes Vehicle-Tracking Tech Being Forced Onto Public

This is the beginning of the overall globalist agenda to COMPLETELY strip people their right to freely travel.

by Kelen McBreen
Info Wars

In a video going viral online, a man describes how his Hyundai Kona EV installed geo-tracking technology in the vehicle without his consent.

[…] He explains that after purchasing the car from a dealer, “The car went in for a maps upgrade and came back as a write-off for me. They took the opportunity to upgrade the Bluelink Linfotainment software. When I started it up, I was presented with a new screen saying terms and conditions changed.”

After reading a few pages of the new terms, the man says his vehicle “was now equipped with geo-fencing and geo-timing capabilities. We’re talking about anything with an SOS button.”

Next, the guy notes his wife’s 2016 vehicle had a built-in system where a “range limit” and “time limit” for usage could be remotely programmed into the car.

Continue Reading at InfoWars.com…

The Death of Ireland and Replacement of the Irish People: The Conquest of Ireland and the UK Nears Completion

by Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
PaulCraigRoberts.org

Gaza is not the only genocide. Genocide is taking place all over Europe and in the US.

https://www.globalresearch.ca/conflict-migrant-centres-ireland-uk/5856071

All over Europe and the US governments prefer immigrant-invaders over their own citizens.

“The migrants are eligible for free accommodation, free social welfare, free medical care, food, clothes, and various other perks. Whilst at the same time that the Irish government is facilitating mass immigration there are 14,000 Irish homeless people on the streets.” And many more homeless Irish citizens are on the way. Migrants are given free accommodation in hotels and country estates throughout the land, while the Irish people are seriously struggling to make ends meet in a rigged inflationary system, with a never-ending story of sky-high rents, high taxes, inflation, and an ongoing extremely serious accommodation crisis. Many young Irish citizens are left with little option but to live with their parents or emigrate to countries such as Australia as they cannot afford to live in their own country.

Continue Reading at PaulCraigRoberts.org…

Demographic Shift Impacting Gold Miner Valuations Explains Mining Sector Expert Brian Christie

from Mining Stock Education

“There has been a bit of a demographic shift. Guys my age are retiring, and they are not putting a lot of their money to risk as much anymore. Even the flow-through market here…there used to be a lot of doctors, dentists, lawyers that would typically put money in flow-through funds to get the tax advantage. The Canadian government has changed some of those rules and made it a lot harder. So, I think that is part of the disconnect [between the gold price and gold miners’ valuations],” says mining sector expert Brian Christie. Listen to this MSE interview for more insights from Mr. Christie.

Brian Christie has vast mining sector experience. He began his career as a geologist and saw two mineral discoveries first-hand. Then he traveled the world as a journalist for The Northern Miner. Brian next served as a mining equity analyst for nearly two decades before leading the investor relations team at Agnico Eagle, a leading gold producer. Currently, Brian is on the board of directors for Wallbridge Mining and, since May 2023, is the chairman of Fury Gold Mines (MSE sponsor).

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

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Dollars and Sense: Shield Your Wallet From Inflation’s Bite with Mindy McIntosh

from Kerry Lutz's Financial Survival Network

Kerry and Mindy McIntosh discussed the implications of the 1.6% annual GDP growth in the first quarter, including the potential effects of rate cuts on mortgage interest rates and CD rates. They also highlighted the importance of consumers having a well-diversified financial plan to combat the erosion of purchasing power due to inflation. The discussion also touched on concerns about the sustainability of the current economic path and the need for a wake-up call to pull back from the brink. In a separate discussion, they talked about the long-term implications of AI on the economy, emphasizing the need for thoughtful investment strategies and caution against knee-jerk reactions. They also discussed the potential impact of AI on personal interactions and communities, while highlighting the importance of maintaining a balance between technological advancements and human-driven experiences.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

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Inflation & Fed Rate Cuts Market Outlook for S&P, Dollar, Gold, & Silver with Jim Welsh

from Kerry Lutz's Financial Survival Network

Kerry and Jim Welsh discussed the recent inflation surge and its potential impact on the anticipated Fed rate cuts. They highlighted concerns about the challenges in achieving the inflation target and the potential limitations of traditional monetary and fiscal policies. The conversation also touched on the historical evolution of Fed policy and its potential implications for future economic growth and unemployment rates. Jim Welsh presented a thorough analysis of the market, addressing the potential consequences of social security and deficit spending on treasury bonds and the bond market. He predicted a new secular bear market in the bond market, signaling a shift in market trends. Welsh also anticipated slower economic growth with higher treasury yields, providing insights into TLT, GDP, the yield curve, the dollar, and gold.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

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The Fed’s Game of “Make Believe” Comes to an End

by James Hickman
Schiff Sovereign

It’s barely been a year since the 2023 bank crisis in which several large banks, including Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, failed.

At the time, I wrote that the bank failures weren’t over, and that there would be more.

But it’s been quiet for most of the last year; the banking system has been pretty calm thanks in large part to an emergency program that the Federal Reserve created to bail out other troubled banks.

They called it the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), and it essentially expired a few weeks ago. In other words, no more emergency lending to troubled banks.

Continue Reading at SchiffSovereign.com…

China and the U.S.: What Matters That’s Overlooked

by Charles Hugh Smith
Of Two Minds

Parsing geopolitics is fun but our attention is better directed to the limits and second-order effects of legacy systems in each of the rival states.

Geopolitics, like any conflict, is dramatic: rivals jostle for hegemony on a 3-D chessboard, war threatens, etc. The focus of this drama is on the leaders’ calculations and the pieces being moved around the board in the complex battle for hearts, minds, resources and the high ground.

This is the conventional context of history, and so accounts of the rivalry between the Roman Empire and the Persian Empire read like contemporary accounts of the rivalry between China and the U.S.: the actors and scenery changes, but the dramatic plot remains the same.

Continue Reading at OfTwoMinds.com…

Let’s Cheer the Deep State

by Jeffrey Tucker
Daily Reckoning

They’re wearing us down with shocking headlines and opinions. They come daily these days, with increasingly implausible claims that leave your jaw on the floor.

The rest of the text is perfunctory. The headline is the takeaway.

A few weeks ago, The New York Times told us that “As It Turns out, the Deep State Is Pretty Awesome.”

These are the same people who claim that Trump is trying to get rid of democracy. The deep state is the opposite of democracy, unelected and unaccountable in every way, impervious to elections and the will of the people. Now we have the NYT celebrating this.

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

Blinken: Awkward Diplomacy or Intentionally Harming U.S. Interests?

The US has lost its diplomatic clout and is making demands that are so lopsided and historically ungrounded that they come off as petulant and childlike. But Antony Blinken apparently lacks the necessary perspective and context to know that. He’s an embarrassment. Or he’s doing a bang-up job of intentionally destroying America. One or the other.

by Dr. Chris Martenson
Chris Martenson’s Peak Prosperity

On April 27th, the US’s Antony Blinken wrapped up a three-day trip to China. He was soundly snubbed by China’s leadership, treated as if he were a third-rate diplomat from a backwater country.

Which he kind of is.

No red carpet at the airport, hostile “talks” where he made ridiculous demands of China that were promptly ignored on the spot, and then sent home with nothing more to show for it al besides perhaps the most awkward photo op picture in recent diplomatic history.

As Xi recently said, “The East is rising, the West is declining.”

Continue Reading at PeakProsperity.com…

The First Bank Failure of 2024 Leaves a 1-Cent Stock for Investors and $667 Million in Losses for the FDIC

by Pam Martens and Russ Martens
Wall Street on Parade

Quietly on Friday, the FDIC announced the first federally-insured bank failure of 2024, the publicly-traded Republic First Bancorp (ticker FRBK) which did business as Republic Bank. In an unsettling sign of the times, this federally-insured bank was trading at 1-cent on Friday; down from 27-1/2 cents last September when we first reported on its dire condition.

Do Americans really want to see a bank that’s holding their life savings to be trading as a penny stock?

Yes, it’s true that no depositor has lost a penny in a federally-insured bank since the creation of federal deposit insurance in 1933 if they remained under the federal insurance cap on deposits. Currently, that insurance cap is $250,000 per depositor, per bank. But still, public confidence in the safety and soundness of the U.S. banking system would suggest that the phrases penny stock and bank deposit are not a good combination.

Continue Reading at WallStreetOnParade.com…