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How the Huge Wave of Immigrants Into the U.S. in 2022 and 2023 Impacts the Employment Data of the BLS Household Survey

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

The BLS uses the Census Bureau’s understated population estimates that ignore the surge of immigrants. But the CBO’s estimates pick them up. We take a look.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and the Census Bureau have widely different estimates of US population growth for 2022 and 2023 because they have widely different estimates of immigration.

The CBO picked up on the huge wave of immigration. It estimated that net immigration in 2022 rose to 2.67 million immigrants, and in 2023 it rose to 3.30 million immigrants, the highest in its data going back to 2000, and about triple the average rate between 2000 and 2021 (1.05 million immigrants per year). So, population growth:

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Wednesday with the Jackass

by Craig Hemke
TF Metals Report

Because of “Coffee with TF” last Friday, we didn’t record our usual holiday weekend Jackass. But don’t dismay. The Jackass graciously pushed back a few days and he stopped by on Tuesday to record this very insightful podcast.

We tried to stay focused upon gold, silver and the eventual “reset” over these 45 minutes and Jim did a great job. Jim is always full of wisdom and insights but he was particularly helpful in this call so please take some time to give it a listen.

When finished, if you’re looking for more Jackass, you should be sure to visit his site. Not only can you sign up for his newsletter, you can schedule a “consultation”, too. Do you have questions for The Jackass that we didn’t cover today? If so, hit the link below:

Continue Reading at TFMetalsReport.com…

Why Saudi Arabia’s Futuristic City is a Sign of Major Inflation to Come

by James Hickman
Schiff Sovereign

Did you hear about the new streamlined tourist visa to Saudi Arabia? I’m sure you’re standing in line for it already.

No? Me neither.

I was actually stationed in Saudi Arabia for a while when I was in the Army… and, the most unique ‘tourist’ attraction, at least for non-Muslims, is a place we used to call “Chop Chop Square” where they would do the public beheadings and dismemberments of convicted criminals.

Aside from that, Saudi Arabia has virtually nothing to offer tourists. At least for now.

But over the past few years the government has set itself on a path to building massive futuristic cities and giant resorts in an effort to bring tourists and diversify its economy– including a recently streamlined visa process.

Continue Reading at SchiffSovereign.com…

Artificially Low Interest Rates Are Creating Economic Chaos

by Joakim Book
Mises.org

If you asked him, Edward Chancellor wouldn’t say he’s particularly Austrian. Yet The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest, the dense book he most timely published during the height of the inflation summer of 2022, is as obsessed with centrally planned interest rates as your average Misesian. Like many before him, and many in the Austrian camp, Chancellor identifies the many ills that trouble the world and locates their cause in a dysfunctional interest-rate regime.

In Chancellor’s own words, “The most important question addressed in this book is whether a capitalist economy can function properly without market-determined interest.” Most readers of these pages will automatically respond, no—free-market capitalism rests on an uninhibited market for capital and debt, and thus interest rates act as a rationing mechanism and guiding principle. The rest is just implementation, as Michael Malice might say.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

Klain: ‘Prices Are Too High’ and Biden Needs ‘More Progress’ and to ‘Use His Tools’ On Border

by Ian Hanchett
Breitbart.com

On Wednesday’s broadcast of MSNBC’s “All In,” former Biden Chief of Staff Ron Klain stated that “Prices are too high” and “the price of gasoline is still high, other prices are still high, and people feel that pinch.” And President Joe Biden “needs to make more progress on that.” He also stated that Biden has “to try to use his tools to try to bring more order at the border and to try to clean up the mess that he was left by Donald Trump.”

Klain said that the “theory of the case” for Biden is, “the President’s done a good job, he’s running on his record, and he also has an agenda to make the country a better place. And calling migrants who come to this country and work hard and pay taxes and do so many important jobs in our country, calling them animals is just disgraceful. So, I think the President thinks he’s going to confront Donald Trump on his disgraceful conduct, on his record, and also talk about what he’s done and what he wants to do.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

With Rising Debt, the U.S. Federal Government is in Bad Company

Governments around the world have been on a borrowing spree, and prosperity has suffered.

by J.D. Tuccille
Reason.com

Misery loves company, as they say. But does financial irresponsibility also enjoy spending a little quality time with friends? If so, it’s quite a party. While the U.S. government is famously running up debt to stratospheric levels, governments around the world have been spending beyond their means and borrowing to make ends meet. The likely result: financial markets put at risk by over-extended governments and slow economic growth for pretty much everybody.

Soaring Government Debt Everywhere

“Public debt as a fraction of gross domestic product has increased significantly in recent decades, across advanced as well as emerging and middle-income economies,” write Tobias Adrian, Vitor Gaspar, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas for the International Monetary Fund (IMF). “It is expected to reach 120 percent and 80 percent of output respectively by 2028.”

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

Is Justice Coming for Victims of Covid Wrongful Deaths?

by Paul S. Gardiner
American Thinker

Tens of thousands of American families continue to demand justice for what they believe are the wrongful deaths (murders) of loved ones during the COVID-19 pandemic. Such justice soon may be coming due in large part to the dedicated efforts of two attorneys in Florida (working pro bono) to thoroughly research the criminal codes of 25 states to identify crimes committed by various high-level officials and organizations prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

One of the attorneys, a former prosecutor, prepared extensive legal briefs (documenting strong evidence of crimes) that have been submitted to the attorneys general of Texas and Florida. The brief was subsequently filed with the Florida Department of Law Enforcement. In Texas, a total of 22 county district attorneys have received the 27-page brief, plus exhibits for review and action.

Continue Reading at AmericanThinker.com…

15 Year Study: Vast Majority of Children Grow Out of Gender Confusion

But not if they’re plied with puberty blocking hormones or worse.

by Steve Watson
Modernity News

A landmark study conducted over the past 15 years has concluded that most children who experience confusion regarding their gender identity grow out of it and go on to feel content with their lives as men and women.

The study, carried out in the Netherlands by researchers from the University of Groningen, involved more than 2,700 children, tracking them from age 11 to their mid-twenties.

The Daily Mail reports that every three years, the individuals were asked how they felt about their gender.

At the beginning of the study, around 11 percent, or one in ten of the children, expressed ‘gender non-contentedness’.

Continue Reading at Modernity.News…

Gold is On the Rise – Hits All-Time High

from King World News

The price of gold continues to surge to new all-time highs above $2,300. The price of silver has also begun to advance toward the $30 level, currently trading at $27.25.

Gold Is on the Rise and Reaches All-Time High

April 3 (King World News) – Paul Wong, Market Strategist at Sprott Asset Management: Gold is on the rise and reaches all-time high.

Key Takeaways

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Biden 8% Approval Means Panic & War – Martin Armstrong

by Greg Hunter
USA Watchdog

Legendary financial and geopolitical cycle analyst Martin Armstrong has new data on President Biden’s approval numbers. Nearly two years ago, President Biden’s real job approval rating in America was just 12%. More than one year ago, the real Biden approval number slipped to 9.5% (and stayed there) according to Armstrong’s world renowned “Socrates” predictive computer program. Now, Biden’s rating tumbled again. Armstrong says, “It is basically hovering around 7.5% to 8% at this stage. I know this goes against the mainstream media, but if you look at Google, it is really politically motivated. . . . The other number you need to look at is the confidence in government, and it is at 28%. . . . This number is unheard of since World War II. (I have another confidential data miner source who backs up Armstrong’s numbers, including the latest 8% job approval number, with nearly identical Biden job approval numbers going back two years. So, yes, there are two solid sources for Biden’s true approval rating.)

Continue Reading at USAWatchdog.com…

Ukraine’s Starting to Get Dangerous

by James Rickards
Daily Reckoning

A lot of people seem to have forgotten about the war in Ukraine. That’s a mistake.

Russia is slowly but steadily defeating Ukraine, which is becoming increasingly obvious to everyone except the most anti-Russian diehards.

That’s leading to desperation in elite Western circles determined to stop Russia one way or the other. In their minds, they simply can’t let Putin win. They think that if Putin wins in Ukraine, he’ll next move on to the Baltic states, Poland and elsewhere.

You know the West is getting desperate based on recent threats by France’s Emmanuel Macron to send troops to Ukraine.

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

Study Finds Wall Street Mega Banks Have Overstated Income for Years on Commercial Real Estate Loans They Sell to Investors

by Pam Martens and Russ Martens
Wall Street on Parade

Last August, the Journal of Finance published a study by two finance professors that should have made bold headlines in every major business newspaper in America. It didn’t – suggesting that Americans will eventually learn about Wall Street’s chicanery in commercial real estate the same way they learned about Wall Street’s subprime residential mortgage scams after the 2008 financial collapse: from a movie like The Big Short or Inside Job.

Wall Street On Parade only learned about this paper recently from one of our engaged readers.

The paper was authored by John Griffin, Professor of Finance at McCombs School of Business at the University of Texas, Austin and Alex Priest, Assistant Professor of Finance at the Simon Business School at the University of Rochester.

Continue Reading at WallStreetOnParade.com…

YOLO Spending, Inflation and the Wisdom/Madness of Crowds

by Charles Hugh Smith
Of Two Minds

The harder the authorities and pundits push the “inflation is under control” narrative, the faster they erode public trust and confidence in the future value of labor and “money.”

YOLO spending–grabbing what you can right now because You Only Live Once–is now embedded in the zeitgeist. The original narrative–that the pandemic shutdown awakened a broad cultural awareness of the fragility of life and security, and so it’s wiser to buy experiences now rather than later–may be expanding into the complex realm of inflation and inflation expectations.

Covid changed how we spend: More YOLO splurging but less saving

The possibility that the human herd senses trend changes before statistics and the economic punditry comes under the capacious category of the wisdom of crowds: in this line of thinking, YOLO spending may be a reflection not just of a pandemic-instigated change of priorities, but of a growing sense that inflation is now embedded, and so it’s better to spend earnings now before they lose value.

Continue Reading at OfTwoMinds.com…

America’s Fiscal Collapse Accelerates

by Peter St. Onge
Mises.org

In case you thought anybody in Washington was driving this thing, they are not.

It’s official: the Department of Treasury is now issuing debt at pandemic levels. It’s worth noting the pandemic record was double the previous record, which had stood for 231 years.

In raw numbers, the latest numbers for Q4 2023 show Treasury issued $7 trillion in new debt. For the entire year, it came to $23 trillion.

[…] This has bloated the Treasury market to $27 trillion — up 60% since the pandemic. In other words, one-third of Treasuries have fresh ink on them. And it’s up roughly sixfold since the 2008 crisis.

Meaning if we hit another crash, it could be a lot bigger.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

This Labor Market is Not Loosening Further: Fed Gets More Reason for Wait-and-See

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

But the headlines-grabbing layoff announcements had the effect of calming the churn.

The global layoff announcements by big companies, and the scary headlines they entailed, and actual layoffs that everyone could see, have had the effect of making employees more worried about their jobs, and instead of quitting to get a better job, more people keep their nose to the grindstone. With fewer people quitting, there are fewer job openings that they left behind, and fewer hires to fill them. So that massive churn got wrung out of the system.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…