The Market is More Dangerous Now Than Early 2000

by David Kranzler
Investment Research Dynamics

This market reminds me of the late 1999/early 2000 tech bubble. But back then it was primarily the Nasdaq that bubbled up. This time around the absurd dislocation between value and reality is more comprehensive. It’s not just tech stocks but also non-tech related stocks like HTZ, AAL, BA etc.

Back in late 1999/early 2000, like now, newly minted retail day-trading geniuses who couldn’t explain what a p/e ratio is were piling into tech stocks with risky OTM call options and heavy use of margin. Most were wiped out when the Nasdaq crashed just like most will be wiped out when this market has the rug pulled out from under it. The February-mid March decline was just an appetizer for patient short sellers.

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