How the Fed Stopped the “Corporate Profit Recession” (And the Media Fell for It)

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

This about sums up the US economy in more than one way.

The end of the corporate “profit recession” has been declared last week. It was based on data by Bureau of Economic Analysis, released on May 27. Corporate profits, after declining with some zigs and zags since their peak in the third quarter 2014, suddenly ticked up in the first quarter 2016. And everyone was ecstatic.

Corporate profits are in the eye of the beholder. For example, “adjusted earnings” – the ex-bad items earnings proffered by companies and analysts – of the S&P 500 companies have dropped four quarters in a row, since their peak in Q2 2015, on a year-over-year basis.

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