Dear candidates for the 2016 US presidential race,
Five of you remain with less than 31 weeks until Election Day. Three of you won’t even make it out of the primaries. And yet, American voters and foreign observers all search for substance in your stump speeches, trying to imagine their lives and the world as a whole under your leaderships. Those of us who view the world through the prism of geopolitics remind ourselves that campaign rhetoric tends to diverge from the post-election policy. The constraints built into the presidency, as well as those shaping the international system, will inevitably blur personal distinctions and mold policy decisions, whether the winning candidate carries anti-establishment credentials to Washington or is working to create or uphold a political dynasty.