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Interest Rates, Inflation & the 2025 Recession with Eric Hadik

from Kerry Lutz's Financial Survival Network

The Interview focused on the intersection of financial indicators and their implications for the upcoming election and broader economic trends, with Kerry Lutz and Eric Hadik discussing the correlation between the dollar’s movement and political administrations, as well as the potential long-term effects on interest rates and inflation. Eric provided an analysis of the market’s reaction to the Federal Reserve’s rate cut, projecting a trading range for bonds and notes, and highlighted a historical 17-year cycle that may indicate a recession in 2025. The discussion also covered the near-term outlook for precious metals, forecasting a rally into late October or early November, and examined the generational cycle of currency wars, predicting significant gains for precious metals over the next couple of years. Additionally, the conversation touched on cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin and Ether, and the anticipated market peak in late 2024, with a subsequent sell-off expected in 2025-2026, supported by historical patterns and technical indicators. The meeting concluded with a reference to InsiideTrackTrading.com for further insights.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

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America is Falling Apart: Our National Priorities Are in Dire Need of Restructuring

by John W. Whitehead and Nisha Whitehead
The Rutherford Institute

“You don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.” – Bob Dylan

A water main breaks every two minutes somewhere in the U.S., resulting in contaminated drinking supplies and boil water notices.

One out of three bridges in the U.S. needs repair, endangering hundreds of millions of commuters. More than 42,000 bridges across the country, carrying about 167 million vehicles each day, are in disrepair.

It is estimated that 300 million people could face power outages across the United States between 2024 and 2028, due in large part to widespread power grid failures.

No wonder U.S. infrastructure received a C- on the Infrastructure Report Card.

America is falling apart.

Continue Reading at Rutherford.org…

Will Trump Make it to Election?

by James Rickards
Daily Reckoning

Today, Iran launched a major missile attack against Israel, which heightens the chances of a wider Middle East conflict. I’ll have more to say about that tomorrow.

Today I want to address the second assassination attempt on Donald Trump.

The second assassination attempt on the life of Donald Trump in the past two months is already being memory-holed by the mainstream media.

Who’s to blame for the second attempt? Beyond the obvious implications for society as a whole, the latest attempt will have major ramifications for markets and investors.

That’s because the economic and regulatory policies of the two candidates — Trump and Harris — could not be more different.

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

Why Political “Solutions” Don’t Fix Crises, They Make Them Worse

by Charles Hugh Smith
Of Two Minds

The system has reached the limits of its adaptability. Everything else is entertainment.

A great many people have immense faith in political solutions to looming crises: if only we elect new leaders, if only we replace current policies with new policies, everything would be fixed and the crises will all dissipate.

There are powerful reasons for this faith and equally powerful reasons why political solutions fail in crisis. Our faith in politics is nurtured by recency bias in eras of relatively low-level volatility: when the system is humming along, decade after decade, the incremental adaptations of politics are enough to resolve whatever spots of bother arise.

There are three key points here. One is that politics is by its nature incremental, and there are profound reasons for this aversion to radical reforms. All organisms are well-served by the innate conservatism of natural selection: if it isn’t broken, don’t fix it. If the current set of instructions–genetic, epigenetic, social, cultural, economic, political–is working, then it makes sense to conserve what works and be cautious about adapting new instructions.

Continue Reading at OfTwoMinds.com…

Illegal Migration to Italy Falls 64%

by Martin Armstrong
Armstrong Economics

The globalists condemned Italy’s Giorgia Meloni for promising to curb immigration if elected. As with Donald Trump, she was called a racist for wanting to secure her nation’s borders. Italy was facing an all-out invasion by land and sea under relaxed European Union edicts that permitted open borders. Now, under Meloni, illegal immigration has dropped 64% in the past year.

Over 150,000 migrants arrived in Italy by boat in 2023, nearly doubling the new arrivals seen in 2022. Instead of building shelters to house migrants with taxpayer funds, Meloni sought to build detention centers. Centri di Permanenza per il Rimpatrio (CPRs) or Repatriation Centers were extremely controversial but effective. Thousands of migrants were detained and deported if their application for asylum was denied. Word traveled that conditions in these centers were less than desirable, making Italy itself less desirable for would-be intruders.

Continue Reading at ArmstrongEconomics.com…

Hurricane Helene and Government Inaction, Israel Invades, and Free Speech Under Attack

Welcome to the quickening! Events are going fast on a multiple of fronts, and ‘they’ are using the chaos to continue to advance their cherished dream of eliminating free speech.

by Dr. Chris Martenson
Chris Martenson’s Peak Prosperity

It’s clear that the current DC regime could do pretty much anything and the press would be there to write their spin and propaganda for them. In today’s installment, the press was all riled up that Trump mischaracterized a phone call – or lack thereof – between GA’s governor ad Biden.

I mean, they really got worked up about it.

That’s a lot of ‘ink’ spent on whether or not a phone call happened, but virtually zero coverage about the fact that all this happened on Monday and the US government still hadn’t delivered any meaningful assistance to the storm-ravaged communities.

Continue Reading at PeakProsperity.com…

Prosecutors Seek Indefinite Delay in Trial of Alleged Trump Assassin Over “Complex” Evidence

from Zero Hedge

Federal prosecutors on Wednesday requested an indefinite delay in the upcoming trial of Ryan Routh, the man accused of attempting to assassinate former President Donald Trump, claiming that a massive trove of evidence has emerged in recent weeks rendering the case “complex,” ABC News reports.

According to a Wednesday filing with Florida District Judge Aileen Cannon, prosecutors have gathered too much evidence to proceed to trial – including hundreds of witness interviews, 13 search warrants, and the seizure of “multiple electronic devices” from locations in Florida, Hawaii, and North Carolina. The overwhelming amount of digital data to review – around 4,000 terabytes – allegedly led to the request.

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Study: American Healthcare Sucks Hard

by Ben Bartee
The Daily Bell

Originally published via Armageddon Prose:

“Have you taken a good look at some of these big, fat motherfuckers walking around? Big, fat motherfuckers. Oh, my God. Huge piles of redundant protoplasm lumbering through the malls like a fleet of interstate buses. The people in this country are immense. Massive bellies. Monstrous thighs and big, fat fucking asses. And if you stand there for a minute and you look at one of them, you’ll look at one of them and you begin to wonder: how does this woman take a shit? How does she shit? And even more frightening: how does she wipe her ass? Can she even locate her asshole? She must require assistance. Are paramedics trained in this field? And standing right next to her, of course, with a plate full of nachos and a mouthful of pie is her clueless fucking husband Joe Six Pack. With his monstrous swollen beer belly hanging dangerously out over his belt buckle, this guy ain’t seen his dick since the Nixon administration. And if you stand there and you look at the two of them. You begin to wonder to yourself: do these people fuck? Is this man actually capable of fucking this woman? It doesn’t seem structurally possible that these two people could achieve penetration. Maybe they’re in that ‘Cirque du Soleil’ or something.” – George Carlin

At the risk of stating the obvious, American healthcare is a sham.

And an abject failure at achieving its stated objective of, you know, improving health — if not its true unspoken goal of generating lifelong customers (patients) by keeping them sick and sad.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Vance vs. Walz: Should the Government “Do Something”?

by Jonathan Newman
Mises.org

In the final stretch of any presidential campaign, the goal is to attract any remaining undecided voters. This usually means that candidates moderate and soften their messaging, especially in comparison to the proposals and rhetoric used to attain the nomination of their respective parties earlier in the campaign. This was on full display in last night’s vice-presidential debate between J.D. Vance and Tim Walz.

I also want to discuss a few important things that weren’t said on the debate stage last night, like whether the government should be involved at all in the areas discussed, the true cause of price inflation, the war in Ukraine, and the momentous political realignment signified by Dick Cheney and other neocons endorsing the Harris-Walz ticket.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

Unlike the Great Financial Crisis [of 2008], This Will Be the End for Fiat Money

by Hubert Moolman
GoldSeek

During the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC), the monetary system faced a significant challenge. In a gigantic effort to contain the financial crisis, large amounts of U.S. dollars were created by increasing the monetary base.

They were able to avoid collapse, but the underlying problem (an extremely debased currency) obviously did not go away simply because the solution further debased the currency.

There was a general lack of liquidity in the system since the velocity of the money supply was dropping off a cliff (debts were too high to support the level of currency in the system). Refer to my blog for more insight.

The increase in the monetary base eventually solved the liquidity problem, but at the cost of debasing the currency to unprecedented levels.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Doug Emhoff Paid $80k ‘Hush Money’; Was Never Prosecuted

by Joel B. Pollak
Breitbart.com

Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff reportedly paid $80,000 in “hush money” to his former nanny as part of a non-disclosure agreement (NDA) but was not prosecuted, unlike Trump.

Former President Donald Trump was prosecuted in New York and convicted on 34 counts for failing to list NDA payments to porn star Stormy Daniels (a.k.a. Stephanie Clifford) as campaign expenses (he denies the affair).

Democrats, including Emhoff’s wife, Vice President Kamala Harris, have referred to Trump as a “convicted felon,” referring to the New York case. Yet Emhoff, too, allegedly paid “hush money.”

The UK Daily Mail revealed in August that Emhoff’s first marriage broke up because of his affair with the family nanny, whom he allegedly impregnated. The affair was hidden during Harris’s Senate and presidential campaigns.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Governments Are Still Stealing People’s Home Equity Over Modest Tax Debts

A handful of states use loopholes to get around a Supreme Court ruling that declared the practice unconstitutional.

by John Stossel
Reason.com

Sometimes politicians steal people’s homes.

Really.

If homeowners miss property tax payments, even if they never received the bills, some towns grab the whole house and keep the proceeds. All the proceeds. Even if the total is much more than the property tax owed.

I reported on this (mal)practice a couple years ago. Since then, there’s been good news from the Supreme Court.

But as my new video points out, some towns still steal homes.

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

Vance Was Great, Walz Was Mediocre, the Moderators Were Vile, and the Whole Debate Insulted Americans’ Intelligence

by Andrea Widburg
American Thinker

The debate really depressed me. It wasn’t J.D. Vance, who gave the best debate performance of any political candidate in decades. Nor was it Tim Walz because I knew going in that he was, as he described himself, a “knucklehead.” It wasn’t even the biased harpies who called themselves moderators because that was to be expected (although they angered me). What depressed me was that our political discourse has devolved into watching candidates get asked stupid questions so that they can give canned statements for two minutes and then bicker for a few seconds with each other.

Let’s start with the general review. First, the greatest non-verbal moment in American debate history:

Continue Reading at AmericanThinker.com…

Commodity Outlook: Gold and Silver Continue to Shine Bright

Multiple uncertainties, including the US presidential election will continue to underpin demand for investment metals, potentially led by silver, provided emerging signs of stabilising demand for industrial metals in China can be sustained

by Ole Hansen
Saxo

In early 2024, we focused on the metal sector as a potential winner for the year and beyond. Following an already strong first half, the precious metal sector, led by gold, continued higher in the third quarter, as investors sought protection in an uncertain world, culminating in September with the start of a supportive US rate-cutting cycle. The energy and industrial metals sectors—two growth-dependent sectors—suffered setbacks amid a deepening slowdown in China and rising recession risks elsewhere, most notably in Europe.

As of now, the Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index is up around 3.5% for the year, with strong gains in precious metals, soft commodities, and, to a lesser extent, industrial metals being offset by losses across the energy sector, and not least the grains sector, where prices remain subdued following another strong production year. While adverse weather drove large gains in coffee, cocoa, and sugar, the year so far has belonged to metals, especially gold and silver. These two investment metals have seen strong demand from investors.

Continue Reading at Home.Saxo…

Ugly Q3 for ICE Vehicles. Total Q3 Sales Dropped Year-Over-Year, but EV Sales Jumped, Even at GM & Ford.

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Prices too high, automakers too slow cutting them from the pandemic spike. Stellantis sales plunged 20%, a fiasco.

Total new vehicle sales in Q3 – retail and fleet deliveries by dealers and automakers to end-users – fell by 5.0% year-over-year to 3.88 million vehicles. This reduced the sales gain over the first nine months to just 0.7%, according to the data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis today.

Sky-high prices, a result of massive price increases during the shortages, are preventing sales from happening. In the used vehicle market, dealers have responded by cutting prices to boost sales. Since mid-2022, used vehicle prices have dropped sharply, working off over half of the pandemic price spike.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Trump Says Jack Smith’s Latest ‘October Surprise’ Filing Shows ‘Radical Democrats Throughout Deep State Totally Freaking Out’

DOJ’s latest ‘hit job’ only released today because ‘JD Vance humiliated Tim Walz last night in the Debate,’ says former president.

by Adan Salazar
Info Wars

Former President Donald Trump slammed Special Counsel Jack Smith’s recent filing in his presidential immunity case, calling the Justice Department’s latest charges he tried to overturn the 2020 election blatant “election interference” and “prosecutorial misconduct.”

Responding to news of the special counsel’s 165-page filing Wednesday alleging the former president privately labeled claims of election fraud “crazy,” Trump claimed Smith’s “falsehood-ridden” report was released Wednesday to take attention off of Gov. Tim Walz’s disastrous debate performance the night prior.

“The release of this falsehood-ridden, Unconstitutional, J6 brief immediately following Tim Walz’s disastrous Debate performance, and 33 days before the Most Important Election in the History of our Country, is another obvious attempt by the Harris-Biden regime to undermine and Weaponize American Democracy, and INTERFERE IN THE 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION,” Trump declared on Truth Social.

Continue Reading at InfoWars.com…