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Will NIRP Cause a Systemic Event?

by Graham Summers
Gold Seek

Are Central Bankers delusional?

Over the weekend, Benoît Cœuré, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, penned a piece defending the ECB’s policies from the criticism that NIRP hurts savers.

The first paragraph reveals, quite clearly, just how lost the ECB is regarding the efficacy of its policies.

Is the ECB stubborn because we are adhering to our monetary policy despite strong criticism? No. We are complying with a precise task that was conferred on us. The EU treaties gave the ECB a narrow price stability mandate. In 2003 the ECB’s Governing Council clarified that euro area inflation should be below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Monetary Policy Endgames: Musings, Misgivings, and Markets

by BCA Research
Financial Sense

Markets’ dependence on central bank largesse has also revealed the limits of the unconventional ultra-accommodative policy. The end of the debt Supercycle poses secular headwinds for growth because the level of debt suppresses central banks’ ability to rekindle a credit cycle. Contrary to fears of QE creating uncontrollable inflation, it turns out that high debt levels are deflationary, and deleveraging are difficult to effect when income is growing so slowly. Monetary policy has lost potency in terms of its ability to stimulate growth by rekindling demand for credit. This is because the credit creation process, the primary channel through which monetary policy typically impacts the economy, is impaired.

Continue Reading at FinancialSense.com…

Silver: First a Dive, Then a Spiral

by Jeff Nielson
Bullion Bulls Canada

Happy days are here again in precious metals! Did you hear? There is a “rally” taking place at the moment. Yes, the price of gold has rallied all the way back to where it was at the end of 2009. The price of silver has rallied all the way back to where it was in the middle of 2009. Woo-hoo!

[…] For those readers who don’t think that returning to the prices of seven years ago, and recovering a tiny portion of the (nominal) price gains that have been lost in recent years qualifies as a rally, this commentary is for you. Readers have already been informed that the current “rally” is a fake-rally, for obvious and persuasive reasons. At the top of the list was silver’s failure to “lead the way” during the first two months of this pseudo-rally. This is impossible, for two reasons.

Continue Reading at BullionBullsCanada.com…

Oil’s Surge, Then Collapse – And How to Profit Now

by Grayson Schultze
The Daily Bell

Overall, the ongoing rise in supply would be adequate to satisfy the growth in oil demand in 2H14, resulting in a well-balanced market – OPEC Forecast, June 2014 (right before oil price collapse)

Oil prices have plummeted 70 percent from highs in June 2014 and not many upstream oil and gas operations are making money. – Omar Mawji, OilPrice.com, May 2015

In the first half of 2014, it was the best of times. Then, two years later, it was the worst of times.

If 2014 was the age of financial foolishness, then 2016 was the age of financial restraint.

If 2014 was the epoch of belief that prices would forever remain high, then 2016 was the epoch of incredulity that prices were so low – and staying there.

If 2014 was the season of light, then 2016 was the season of darkness.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Don’t Sleep Through the Revolution: A Graduation Message for a Dark Age

by John W. Whitehead
The Rutherford Institute

“The most striking fact about the story of Rip Van Winkle is not that he slept 20 years, but that he slept through a revolution. While he was peacefully snoring up on the mountain, a great revolution was taking place in the world – indeed, a revolution which would, at points, change the course of history. And Rip Van Winkle knew nothing about it; he was asleep.” – Martin Luther King Jr., Commencement Address for Oberlin College

The world is disintegrating on every front—politically, environmentally, morally—and for the next generation, the future does not look promising. As author Pema Chodron writes in When Things Fall Apart:

When the rivers and air are polluted, when families and nations are at war, when homeless wanderers fill the highways, these are the traditional signs of a dark age.

Those coming of age today will face some of the greatest obstacles ever encountered by young people. They will find themselves overtaxed and struggling to find worthwhile employment in a debt-ridden economy on the brink of implosion. Their privacy will be eviscerated by the surveillance state.

Continue Reading at Rutherford.org…

Wall Street’s Kangaroo Courts Perpetuate a Business Model of Fraud

by Pam Martens
Wall Street on Parade

Speaking of the Wall Street and global banks that populate London’s financial district, John Mann, a Member of Parliament, asked the rhetorical question at a Treasury Select Committee hearing on February 4, 2014: “Have we or have we not just had the biggest series of quantifiable wrongdoing in the history of our financial services industry?…Is there any other industry in recorded history in this country who’s had a comparable level of quantifiable wrongdoing to your knowledge?”

The answer, of course, is that there is no other industry on either side of the pond that has inflicted as much economic pain as Wall Street through “quantifiable wrongdoing.” And yet, the U.S. government continues to allow this serially crime-infested industry to run its own private justice system where both its customers and its employees are barred from taking their lawsuits into a court of law so that the public and the press can monitor the proceedings and have future access to the detailed court records to analyze patterns of crimes or recidivism.

Continue Reading at WallStreetOnParade.com…

Craig Wright Revealed as Bitcoin Creator Satoshi Nakamoto

from BBC

Australian entrepreneur Craig Wright has publicly identified himself as Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto.

His admission follows years of speculation about who came up with the original ideas underlying the digital cash system.

Mr Wright has provided technical proof to back up his claim using coins known to be owned by Bitcoin’s creator.

Prominent members of the Bitcoin community and its core development team say they have confirmed his claims.

But many others in the Bitcoin world are asking for more proof.

Continue Reading at BBC.com…

Is Anemic Wage Growth Stifling the Economy?

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

Bad theories never die.

For example, please recall the Phillips Curve economic theory states that decreased unemployment correlates with higher rates of inflation.

Unemployment has plunged, but wage growth and inflation (the latter as measured by the Fed) are nowhere in sight.

Instead of tossing absurd theories onto the ash heap, economists and writers repackage the same bad ideas in similar ways.

Here’s the newly revised theory courtesy of the Wall Street Journal: Anemic Wage Growth Restraining Economy.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

Oh Effing BeeEss

by Karl Denninger
Market-Ticker.org

There is excuse-making, then there is an entire damned industry that works its level best to asset-strip you to your underwear so your fat ass (and the rest) hangs out.

“The key point is that you can be on TV, you can lose enormous amounts of weight, you can go on for six years, but you can’t get away from a basic biological reality,” said Dr. Schwartz, who was not involved in the study. “As long as you are below your initial weight, your body is going to try to get you back.”

Well sure, if your “path” to weight loss is to eat damn near nothing (e.g. starve) and run your metabolic demand through the ceiling by engaging in extremely intense exercise.

Look at the quotes: “It’s hard. The cravings are there.”

But the kernel of truth is right here:

Continue Reading at Market-Ticker.org…

Was The Fed. Just Given The Launch Codes?

by Mark St.Cyr
Mark St.Cyr

Let me be clear right from the outset: this is not an article about politics when it comes to whose guy or gal is currently seated or running. This is about the current state of affairs as it pertains to business; how they seem to be in motion; and, how it may affect one’s business, or, business in general. As for the “who’s in,” or “who’s out” – that’s for others to debate.

So, with that said, I want to outline a few developing issues that have the potential (true potential, not the hyperbolic) for outright disruption of all business as we know it. And no – not the type of “disruption” that emanates from the tech world. No, this one is far more disruptive, and, has implications for not only the business world, but the citizenry as well. After all: if you don’t think a business disruption can wreak havoc quickly – watch how fast calamity ensues once it’s realized a lowly roll of toilet paper will no longer be available.

Continue Reading at MarkStCyr.com…

Why Gold is Still the Pick of the Precious Metals

by Trevor Sykes
Financial Review

One of the strongest arguments against investing in gold was that the metal yielded no interest while you were holding it so it stands to reason that the environment of low interest rates should be friendly for investors in precious metals.

That argument, while valid, has lost significant merit, because investors don’t get much of an interest rate holding government bonds or bank deposits. Indeed in several countries interest rates have gone negative, which means that investors are paying governments for the privilege of holding their bonds.

It’s worth noting that gold has been a better investment in $A than $US. Gold climbed to $US1883 in August 2011, dropped to $US1061 last December and has since rallied to about $US1200.

Continue Reading at AFR.com…

The First Casualty is Truth

by Jeff Thomas
International Man

In the fifth century B.C., Greek dramatist Aeschylus said, “In war, truth is the first casualty.” Quite so. Whenever national leaders decide to go on the warpath for the sake of their own ambition or self-aggrandisement, it’s the citizenry that will pay the bloody price for their aspirations. Since war is rarely desired by the citizenry, it has to be sold to them. Some form of deception, exaggeration, or outright lies must be put forward to con the populace into getting on board with the idea.

War, after all, represents a monumental failure of national leaders to serve the rightful national objectives of a citizenry – peace and prosperity. Of course, in the case of an empire going to war, this represents a monumental failure on steroids – the outcome may well be world war in such a case.

Continue Reading at InternationalMan.com…

Atlantic City Teeters on the Brink of Default

by Aaron Smith
CNN Money

Atlantic City, the once-celebrated gambling mecca on the Jersey Shore, is dangerously close to defaulting on its next bond payment.

The $1.8 million bond payment is due May 1, which is a Sunday, which means the city won’t have to pay until Monday, May 2.

That’s the same day that the city starts to receive its next tax payments. But that revenue won’t necessarily be enough to pay for both the bond payment and city services, according to Chris Filiciello, spokesman for Atlantic City Mayor Don Guardian.

He said the mayor still has to decide which payment he’ll make first.

Continue Reading at Money.CNN.com…

Inside the Secret Meeting Where Wall Street Tested Digital Cash

by Matthew Leising
Bloomberg.com

On a recent Monday in April, more than 100 executives from some of the world’s largest financial institutions gathered for a private meeting at the Times Square office of Nasdaq Inc. They weren’t there to just talk about blockchain, the new technology some predict will transform finance, but to build and experiment with the software.

By the end of the day, they had seen something revolutionary: U.S. dollars transformed into pure digital assets, able to be used to execute and settle a trade instantly. That’s the promise of a blockchain, where the cumbersome and error-prone system that takes days to move money across town or around the world is replaced with almost instant certainty. The event was created by Chain, one of many startups trying to rewire the financial industry, with representatives from Nasdaq, Citigroup Inc., Visa Inc., Fidelity, Fiserv Inc., Pfizer Inc. and others in the room.

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

NIRP Vs. Gold, Pt VII – Exploding Unintended Ramifications!

by Andrew Hoffman
Miles Franklin

Well, the five-year anniversary of the “Sunday Night Paper Silver Massacre” came and left with a whimper – as despite the 141st “Sunday Night Sentiment” capping of the past 147 weekends; the Cartel has not been able to prevent gold from rising above $1,300/oz, which is where it stands as I edit just after Monday’s COMEX open. In fact, aside from a brief moment in early 2015 – before the Cartel orchestrated the final phase of the four-year “bear-market” that ended in December 2015 – gold hasn’t been above $1,300 for nearly two years.

Per below, the massive “reverse head and shoulders” pattern the Cartel’s manipulations inadvertently created over the past nine months is on the cusp of pushing the price above an even more massive, equally artificially created “resistance level” at roughly $1,400/oz. And when it does, the 2011 high of $1,920/oz will be firmly in “Economic Mother Nature’s” sights.

Continue Reading at MilesFranklin.com…

Another “Conspiracy Theory” Confirmed: ECB Finds Widespread Trading On Leaked Inside Information

from Zero Hedge

“information of many macroeconomic announcements is known by some market participants in advance” – European Central Bank

Remember when it was merely another conspiracy theory that “some” traders “trade” (with zero risk) with the benefit of leaked material non-public information? As of moments ago it is merely the latest conspiracy fact, confirmed by none other than the ECB, which earlier today published a research paper which finds substantial “informed” trading before the official release in seven of 21 market-moving U.S. macroeconomic announcements.

The paper has studied trading patterns from Jan. 2008 to March 2014 and finds that “prices begin to move in the ‘correct’ direction about 30 minutes before the release time. The pre-announcement price drift accounts on average for about half of the total price adjustment.”

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Europe’s Migration Crisis: No End in Sight

by Judith Bergman
Gatestone Institute

Pope Francis, on his recent visit to the Greek island of Lesbos, said that Europe must respond to the migrant crisis with solutions that are “worthy of humanity.” He also decried “that dense pall of indifference that clouds hearts and minds.” The Pope then proceeded to demonstrate what he believes is a response “worthy of humanity” by bringing 12 Syrian Muslims with him on his plane to Italy. “It’s a drop of water in the sea. But after this drop, the sea will never be the same,” the Pope mused.

The Pope’s speech did not contain a single reference to the harsh consequences of Muslim migration into the European continent for Europeans. Instead, the speech was laced with reflections such as “…barriers create divisions instead of promoting the true progress of peoples, and divisions sooner or later lead to confrontations” and “…our willingness to continue to cooperate so that the challenges we face today will not lead to conflict, but rather to the growth of the civilization of love.”

Continue Reading at GatestoneInstitute.org…

U.S. Data is Being Leaked, ECB Study Suggests

by Steve Goldstein
Market Watch

Key U.S. economic information may have been leaked ahead of its release, judging from the price moves in key equity and bond futures contracts, according to a study released Monday.

The European Central Bank published a working paper — which means it hasn’t been peer reviewed as yet — arguing that seven out of 21 market-moving announcements show evidence of “substantial informed trading” before the official release time.

The paper identified seven indicators that they said showed “strong” evidence of pre-announcement drift: The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index; the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales report and pending-home sales report; the Commerce Department’s preliminary GDP report; the Federal Reserve’s industrial production report; and the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing and nonmanufacturing index.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Venezuela Resorts to Changing Time Itself to Survive Socialism as Food Shortages and Power Outages Worsen

by Jeff Berwick
Dollar Vigilante

When heavily socialist countries collapse, and they always do, it is always interesting to watch what they do near the end.

Venezuela is the latest and its activities have gotten more bizarre by the day. A few weeks ago, as we reported, the Central Bank of Venezuela blamed hyperinflation on a website. Then they began flying in plane loads of Venezuelan Bolivars!

Yes, we are not kidding. Flying in “money” in cargo planes to cure hyperinflation one-ups Helicopter Ben Bernanke!

Then it became too expensive to print the Venezuelan bolivar, as it cost more to print pictures of dead criminals on pieces of paper than the paper cost itself.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Continue Reading at DollarVigilante.com…

Labor Unions and the Minimum Wage: “We Got Ours — Screw You.”

by Gary North
LewRockwell.com

Fred Reed wrote a gem of a rhetorical essay, “Capitalism and the Minimum Wage: ‘I Got Mine, Screw You.’” I was so impressed that I stole it, almost word for word, changing only “capitalism” to “trade unionism.”

Reed is a master of rhetoric. When his logic is sound, he is devastating — a model.

The problem comes in this case from his focus on producers: capitalists. This is mercantilist. The free market focuses on consumers. Why? Because they own the most marketable commodity: money. This point was made by Carl Menger in his final essay on economics in 1892. Ludwig von Mises wrote The Theory of Money and Credit (1912) in terms of this principle.

Continue Reading at LewRockwell.com…

SNB Could Seek to Prevent Banks Hoarding Cash if Franc Soars: Roubini Group

from Reuters.com

The Swiss National Bank might seek authority to stop commercial banks converting reserves into cash if its current policy arsenal failed to prevent a major appreciation of the franc, economist Nouriel Roubini’s research group said.

A report published by the group on Monday after a meeting with SNB officials outlined how the bank might respond should currency intervention not curb market turmoil, perhaps in the event of a British vote to leave the European Union.

One option would be to prevent banks from switching reserves into cash. That would require a new law, but the Roubini Global Economics report said SNB officials “were confident that the legislation could be changed …to give the bank this authority”.

Continue Reading at Reuters.com…

What if Central Banks Have Not Lost Control of Gold?

by Chris Powell
GATA.org

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Has the positioning of the big commercial traders in the monetary metals futures markets lost its value as an indicator of future monetary metals prices?

It seems like gold and silver bugs and maybe a few ordinary investors have been waiting for weeks for the usual smashing of the metals by those traders, the big investment banks, hoping to buy the next dip, only to have to watch the metals and the mining shares move steadily higher.

Continue Reading at GATA.org…

Paper Gold Is Rising

by Pater Tenebrarum
Acting Man

The Metals Take Off

The price of gold shot up over $60 this week. The price of silver moved up proportionally, gaining over $0.85. The mood is now palpable. The feeling in the air is that of long suffering suddenly turned to optimism. Big gains, if not the collapse of the price-suppression cartel, are now inevitable.

The headlines and articles, screaming for gold to hit $10,000 to $50,000, are pervasive. Today we won’t dwell on our favorite point that if the price of gold hits $50,000 then that means the price of the dollar has collapsed. If you own an ounce of gold, then you may have a lot more dollars. But unfortunately, each of those dollars is worth a lot less.

Today, we want to look at this new alleged precious metals bull market. Does it have legs? Are we likely to see silver hit $20, much less $1,000? We will support our analysis with a new graph to show the big picture.

Continue Reading at Acting-Man.com…