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AEP: US Dollar Plunges as World Plays Dangerous Game of Pass the Parcel

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Telegraph.co.uk

The US dollar has plunged to a 16-month low in the latest wild move for the global financial system, tightening the currency noose on the eurozone and Japan as they struggle to break out of a debt-deflation trap.

The closely-watched dollar index fell below 92 for the first time since January 2015, catapulting gold through $1300 an ounce in early trading and setting off steep falls on stock markets in Asia and Europe.

The latest data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission shows that speculative traders have switched to a net “short” position on the dollar.

Continue Reading at Telegraph.co.uk…

What Would Happen if China Crashes?

A new year in China brings a different bubble

by Craig Stephen
Market Watch

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — As concerns over China are not going away, it’s worth considering what assets are likely to be affected if it is finally forced to call time on its debt spree.

For now, opinions on China’s outlook remain divided, with it being just as easy to point to areas of its economy that are still ticking along nicely, as to others that have already landed hard. Alongside the drumbeat of bad news from distressed heavy or commodity industries, there is still upbeat growth in developing service, digital and various consumer sectors.

One way to navigate these conflicting signals is to follow the money. That is to see where China’s prodigious credit growth — which in March effectively tripled over a month earlier — is causing the most distortions.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

If A = B and B = C, does A = C?

by Bob Moriarty
The Gold Report

No need to listen to the “experts” to understand the ins and outs of commodities markets, according to Bob Moriarty of 321Gold. If investors use common sense and basic tools available online, they too can be successful.

A century ago when I was in high school, one of my teachers wanted to teach us the basics of logic. The teacher began with the simple equation of if A = B and B = C, does A = C? Of course, the majority of the class picked the most obvious answer.

But what happens when the apparent answer is not the correct answer? What if the obvious is dead wrong?

Here is the proof. If an airplane is transportation and a train is transportation, is an airplane the same as a train? Now the correct answer is both apparent and obvious. No. A train and an airplane are both transportation but they are not the same.

Continue Reading at TheAuReport.com…

India’s Silver Imports Up Almost 200% In March

by David Kranzler
Investment Research Dynamics

India’s silver bar imports jumped by nearly 200% in March according to data published by India’s Gems and Jewelry Export Promotion Council – LINK. On a trailing twelve month basis (April 2016 – March 2016), India’s silver imports jumped 33% over same period a year earlier.

John Brimelow (Brimelow’s Gold Jottings) commented in his early a.m. report that: “This suggests silver fabrication may have continued during the jeweler’s strike. Silver is not subject to the disputed duty. Silver was also almost unprecedentedly cheap compared to gold in March.

Silver is poised to explode higher in price, which is why the bullion banks have printed a record number of paper silver Comex contracts with which to throw at the market. It’s my view that this market intervention scheme, which has sustained for over three decades, is on the verge of failing.

Continue Reading at InvestmentResearchDynamics.com…

Short Seller Warns Bear Market Rally in Stocks is Over & When Gold Breaks $1300 Look for Serious Upside Acceleration

from King World News

On the heels of the U.S. Dollar Index rallying more than a point off the lows, today one of the great short sellers in the business warned that the bear market rally in stocks is over and when gold breaks $1,300 we may see a serious upside acceleration.

By Bill Fleckenstein President Of Fleckenstein Capital

May 3 (King World News) – There’s no need to review what happened while I was away because that is all old news. It would now appear that yesterday’s rally in the stock market was simply a function of mechanical buying at the beginning of the new month. I say that because it took all of about an hour this morning to see the stock market lose roughly 1%. I think a pretty decent case can be made that the rally from the February lows is now over, and I would point out that despite the best attempts of all the bulls to jam the market to new highs, they were unable to get it there…

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – Silver Deliveries Continue Flowing – Rogoff Says Buy Gold

from Jesse’s Café Américain

The financial markets are trading gold and silver like currencies. You know, those items that central banks can just create out of nothing to meet any demand and never suffer any shortfall, at least in terms of quantity. Quality is another matter altogether.

Ken Rogoff suggests that emerging markets should shift more of their reserves into gold.

“The problem with the status quo is that emerging markets as a group are competing for rich-country bonds, which is helping to drive down the interest rates they receive. With interest rates stuck near zero, rich-country bond prices cannot drop much more than they already have, while the supply of advanced-country debt is limited by tax capacity and risk tolerance.

Gold, despite being in nearly fixed supply, does not have this problem, because there is no limit on its price. Moreover, there is a case to be made that gold is an extremely low-risk asset with average real returns comparable to very short-term debt. And, because gold is a highly liquid asset – a key criterion for a reserve asset – central banks can afford to look past its short-term volatility to longer-run average returns.”

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

Harvey Organ’s Daily Gold & Silver Report – 2016.05.03

Another raid today as the OI on gold was just too high for our crooks/Silver OI is declining/EU slashes growth and that forces all of European stocks southbound/Chinese pMI in contractionary phase as it falls below 50/USA/Yen falls into the 105 column today being the catalyst for stocks faltering

by Harvey Organ
Harvey Organ’s Blog

At the gold comex today we had a GOOD delivery day, registering 26 notices for 2600 ounces for gold,and for silver we had 174 notices for 870,000 oz for the non active April delivery month.

Several months ago the comex had 303 tonnes of total gold. Today, the total inventory rests at 228.04 tonnes for a loss of 75 tonnes over that period

In silver, the open interest fell by 1911 contracts down to 199,259 despite the fact that the price was silver was down only by 13 cents with respect to yesterday’s trading. In ounces, the OI is still represented by just under 1 BILLLION oz i.e. .996 BILLION TO BE EXACT or 142% of annual global silver production (exRussia &ex China) We are now within spitting distance of all time highs for OI with respect to silver

In silver we had 174 notices served upon for 870,000 oz.

Continue Reading at HarveyOrganBlog.com…

Monetary Policies Misunderstood

by Steve Hanke
Financial Sense

Ever since the US Federal Reserve (Fed) began to consider raising the federal funds rate, which it eventually did in December 2015, a cottage industry has grown up around taper talk. Will the Fed raise rates, or won’t it? Each time a consensus congeals around the answer to that question, all the world’s markets either soar or dive.

This obsession with taper talk—the interest rate story—is simple, but strange. Indeed, it is misguided—wrongheaded. So, why the obsession? It is, in part, the result of a Keynesian hangover. The Keynesians focus on interest rates. The mainstream macro model that is widely in use today is referred to as a “New Keynesian” model. The thrust of monetary policy in this model is entirely captured by changes in current and expected interest rates (the price of money). Money is nowhere to be found, however.

Continue Reading at FinancialSense.com…

Mickey Fulp’s Monthly Major Market Review for April 2016

from Financial Survival Network

Mickey Fulp returns… It was a great month for Gold, Silver, Oil, Natgas, the TSX.V, Bitcoin, Platinum and Palladium. They were all up by double digits. Of course some markets like the Toronto Venture Exchange were at or near all time lows. Gold and Silver showed true strength and the Silver to Gold ratio looks like it’s starting to come back down to earth. Oil and perhaps Natgas appear to have put in their cycle lows. How high will they go from here? Nat’s hit a low of 1.66 in February and is now at 2.18. This in spite of the lack of demand for heating or AC around the country. Bitcoin is continuing its pattern of volatility but was still up nearly 10 percent for the month. Check out our previous monthly reviews. There’s virtually no one else out there looking back at prior performance. The Wizards of Wall Street only look ahead. But those who don’t learn from history are doomed to repeat their market losses.

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Cruz Collapsing

by Karl Denninger
Market-Ticker.org

There’s a decent chance that today marks the last day Ted Cruz has any claim to being serious in his attempt at the Republican nomination for President.

It would appear that a number of his tactics, which I remind you he telegraphed very early in the race with his campaign’s sleaze aimed at Ben Carson, are finally resonating with Republican voters.

The delegate-stealing that has taken place across the country in various states is the sort of optic you never want to present as a politician, despite the fact that nearly all politicians will win by any means they can. Deliberately ignoring votes is the mark of a King or tyrant — and evokes images of such luminaries as Kim Jung-Un, Mao and similar. How anyone in their right mind could reasonably conclude that such a tactic would not backfire in the United States is beyond me, but apparently Cruz believed exactly that, because it has been the hallmark of his campaign since the beginning.

Continue Reading at Market-Ticker.org…

Ted Cruz Explodes In Epic Anti-Trump Rant: “He Is Utterly Amoral, Narcissist, Philandering, Pathological Liar”

from Zero Hedge

The pressure of tonight’s “must-win” Indiana primary appears to have gotten to Ted Cruz who one week after being hailed as Lucifer and a “son of a bitch” by John Boehner, exploded in an epic anti-Trump rant of his own, calling the republican frontrunner “an utterly amoral, narcissist,” a “serial philanderer” and a “pathological liar.”

As The Hill adds, Cruz prefaced his comments by saying that for the first time, he wanted to say exactly what he though of Trump after the GOP frontrunner suggested his father might have had something to do with the assassination of John F. Kennedy.

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Leaked TTIP Papers Show Dawn of a New Authoritarian Epoch

by Daily Bell Staff
The Daily Bell

Leaked papers show ‘unsurprising’ TTIP disagreements: Dutch trade minister BusinessEurope May 2, 2016 The lack of agreement between the US and Europe on a controversial trade agreement is unsurprising, Dutch trade minister Lilian Ploumen said on Monday. The minister was commenting on the leak of confidential negotiating documents relating to the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership which have been published by environmental group Greenpeace. – Dutch News

TTIP and its sister agreement TPP are not “business as usual,” as the Dutch trade minister implies (see above).

Born in secrecy, marinated in furtiveness, the trade treaties are obviously being developed for purposes other than “free trade.”

In fact, it is oxymoronic to speak of negotiated treaties of any sort as “free.”

Treaties that are negotiated over a long period of time often have adjectives like “free” attached to them. But this is only to try to make what is finalized more palatable.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Why It’s Time to Bust the Many Myths Surrounding Brexit

Brexit: fact or fiction?

by John Longworth
Telegraph.co.uk

It is very hard for anybody not intimately involved or familiar with the EU and the workings of the UK business sector and economy to discern the nature of the advantages of Brexit. It has been made even harder by the relentless promulgation of supposed self-evident “facts” by the government machine and its cronies. As a consequence a number of myths have begun to crystallise around the debate which beg to be challenged and debunked. Here is a myth-busting guide addressing some of the myths and those who seek the truth about Brexit.

Myth: Britain’s economic health is dependent on trade with the EU.

In fact only 6pc of businesses export to the EU and only 13.3pc of our economy is associated with exports to the EU. Whereas the other 87pc of the UK economy is also burdened by the costs and regulations from Brussels. Freeing us from this would make us massively more productive at home and more competitive in global markets.

Continue Reading at Telegraph.co.uk…

Some of Brien Lundin’s Precious Metals Picks Are Up More Than 400%. What Is Next?

by Patrice Fusillo
The Gold Report

A battle royale is brewing between gold bulls and commercial traders who are short gold, says Brien Lundin, publisher of Gold Newsletter. That tug of war, which should play out in the coming weeks, could result in either a severe correction or a spectacular rise in the price of gold and silver. No matter which way it goes, in this interview with The Gold Report, Lundin recommends that investors continue to look at companies with world-class resources that are still being priced at a fraction of what their values should be. Lundin should know; some of his recommendations are up more than 400% from December and January.

The Gold Report: Gold and silver prices have risen fairly dramatically since the first of the year. What’s your outlook for the metals?

Brien Lundin: We are on a razor’s edge right now. The new gold rally has been somewhat confirmed by silver also beginning its own rally and by the mining stocks leading the charge ahead. On the other side, however, we have a massive, historically large net short position that’s been built up by the large commercial traders. Typically, when the large commercials have built up such large net short positions, it is followed closely by a severe correction in gold.

Continue Reading at TheAuReport.com…

Technically Speaking: The Market To Nowhere?

by Lance Roberts
Real Investment Advice

In this past weekend’s missive, I discussed the ongoing trading range of the market.

“First of all, it is worth noting that despite all of the recent excitement of the markets advance, it remains extremely confined in a sideways trading range. This can either be good or bad news.

  • The Good: Sideways consolidations during bullishly biased markets provides the ability to work off excesses built up during the previous advance to provide the “fuel” necessary for the next leg higher.

  • The Bad: However, sideways consolidations can also mark the end of the previous bullish advance and the beginning of a bearish decline.”

Continue Reading at RealInvestmentAdvice.com…

License to Steal: Italy’s Highest Court Rules “Theft Not a Crime if Hungry”

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

In a ruling sure to heighten migration tensions in the EU, Italy’s highest court rules “Theft Not a Crime if Hungry“.

Stealing small amounts of food to stave off hunger is not a crime, Italy’s highest court of appeal has ruled.

Judges overturned a theft conviction against Roman Ostriakov after he stole cheese and sausages worth €4.07 (£3; $4.50) from a supermarket.

Mr Ostriakov, a homeless man of Ukrainian background, had taken the food “in the face of the immediate and essential need for nourishment”, the court of cassation decided.

Therefore it was not a crime, it said.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

Separation of Truth and State

by Chris Campbell
Laissez Faire Books

“In a time of universal deceit – telling the truth is a revolutionary act.” – George Orwell

“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it,” Joseph Goebbels once stated, “people will eventually come to believe it.

“The lie,” Goebbels went on, “can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”

He’s right. Truth is the greatest enemy of the State. Which is why governments spend massive amounts of money and resources to suppress truth and spew disinformation to confuse the masses.

Continue Reading at LFB.org…

Watch Saudi Arabia Shrink as America Works to Wean Itself from Middle East Oil

Canada’s oil exports to the U.S. jumped from $661 million in 2000 to $1.37 billion last year

by Shawn Langlois
Market Watch

Thanks in no small part to the fracking boom that has led to an explosion in imports from our trusted neighbors to the north, the U.S. has managed to make progress over the past 15 years in weaning itself from its dependence on the Middle East for its energy fix.

The shift is captured in this animated graphic from cost-estimating website HowMuch.net, which illustrates the amount of crude imports by re-sizing each country in relative terms.

In other words, watch the Middle East shrink as Canada balloons:

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

A Whistleblower Manifesto by Edward Snowden

by Michael Krieger
Liberty Blitzkrieg

[…] Every time I hear from Edward Snowden I’m immediately reminded of how thoughtful, courageous and patriotic he is, and how fortunate we are that he followed his conscience and spilled the beans on a multitude of unaccountable and unconstitutional actions routinely committed by America’s deep state government.

Earlier today, The Intercept posted a piece written by Edward Snowden pulled from the recently published book Inside the Assassination Complex. It’s a short piece, but extremely powerful and to the point. I saw it as a whistleblower’s manifesto in which Mr. Snowden explains why he felt he had no other choice but to come forward, and why others in similar positions should consider doing the same should they find themselves in a position to defend the U.S. Constitution and inform the general public. We all know that the deep state will never voluntarily work to protect “we the people,” as such, leaking on behalf of the public interest is now a matter of national survival.

Continue Reading at LibertyBlitzkrieg.com…

Obama Heartily Laughs About Dropping Bombs on Civilians

by Grayson Schultze
The Daily Bell

But I have to say, it’s great, it looks like you’re really enjoying your last year of the presidency. Saw you hanging out with NBA players like Steph Curry, Golden State Warriors. That was cool. That was cool, yeah. You know it kinda makes sense, too, because both of you like raining down bombs on people from long distances, right? What? Am I wrong? – Larry Wilmore at the White House correspondent’s dinner

For a split second, Obama was stunned. That punchline held more truth than he’d expected.

But when the comedian continued with, “What? Am I wrong?” he beamed a big smile and laughed heartily along with the rest of the crowd.

As the camera panned out across the sea of mainstream media “journalists”, bureaucrats, lobbyists, defense contractors, athletes, celebrities, and politicians it was all smiles and laughter at raining down bombs on people – from wedding parties to kids on the beach and countless other drone “mistakes” across Libya, Yemen, Iraq, Afghanistan, and Pakistan.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Ted Cruz Explodes In Epic Anti-Trump Rant: “He Is Utterly Amoral, Narcissist, Philandering, Pathological Liar”

from Zero Hedge

The pressure of tonight’s “must-win” Indiana primary appears to have gotten to Ted Cruz who one week after being hailed as Lucifer and a “son of a bitch” by John Boehner, exploded in an epic anti-Trump rant of his own, calling the republican frontrunner “an utterly amoral, narcissist,” a “serial philanderer” and a “pathological liar.”

As The Hill adds, Cruz prefaced his comments by saying that for the first time, he wanted to say exactly what he though of Trump after the GOP frontrunner suggested his father might have had something to do with the assassination of John F. Kennedy.

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Current Rally Beginning to Show Signs of Exhaustion

by Christopher Quigley
Financial Sense

[…] Technically Speaking:

The current rally which broke out on the 22nd of February is beginning to show signs of exhaustion. Of the major indices, the NASDAQ is the weakest. Price has already broken below the 200-day moving average (DMA) and a break below the 50 DMA could indicate that a short-term contraction is probably on the cards.

The VIX is very low and indicates that there is a very high degree of risk in the market, so I would not be chasing price action at the moment. I would wait for a break above the 18.58 level as this would show that the Volatility Index is moving outside its most recent trading range and that professional players are beginning to price in future market weakness.

Continue Reading at FinancialSense.com…

When the Global Ponzi Scheme is Exposed There is Going to Be a Massive Panic

from King World News

With stocks tumbling, today a market veteran warned that when the global Ponzi scheme is exposed, there is going to be a massive panic.

John Embry: “Right now I’m focused on the desperation of the anti-gold cartel, which is intensifying as gold and silver have recently marched higher in the face of massive shorting by the usual suspects — i.e. the bullion banks. In the last few days the gold open interest has risen as much as I can ever remember in a short period of time. And it demonstrates the lengths to which the powers that be are prepared to go to prevent an upside breakout by the precious metals…

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

Derivatives Losses Are Mushrooming at Freddie Mac; Now It’s the Taxpayers’ Problem

by Pam Martens and Russ Martens
Wall Street on Parade

On April 21, Wall Street On Parade reported that the U.S. government (also known as the U.S. taxpayer) was on the hook for potentially tens of billions of dollars in derivative losses at Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae – the two companies the government put under conservatorship during the Wall Street financial collapse of 2008. (See related article below.)

This morning, Freddie Mac is adding further angst to this potential derivatives blowup scenario by reporting that it lost $4.56 billion in its derivatives portfolio in just the first three months of this year – a stunning 90 percent increase over what it lost in derivatives in the first quarter of 2015. That brings its derivative losses for all of 2014, 2015 and the first quarter of 2016 to $15.54 billion. (See chart below.) This is certain to bring gasps from some members of Congress.

Continue Reading at WallStreetOnParade.com…

ECB Blames You for Negative Interest Rates

by Simon Black
Sovereign Man

Just after sunrise on April 19, 1775, a large contingent of British military troops arrived to the town of Lexington, Massachusetts.

They were under orders to search for and confiscate all weapons and munitions from the colonials– something the British army had done countless times before.

In many ways it was a routine operation. And yet, that morning, roughly 80 local militiamen stood blocking their path.

Paul Revere had ridden through Lexington only hours before to warn residents of the approaching threat.

Continue Reading at SovereignMan.com…