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As Billionaires Predict Worldwide Defaults, Would You Rather Hold Bonds or Gold

by Daily Bell Staff
The Daily Bell

Gold on Track for Eighth Losing Session U.S. GDP data revision seen bolstering case for interest-rate increase … Gold prices edged lower Friday, on pace for an eighth straight losing session, amid mounting evidence of improving economic growth in the U.S. that would strengthen the case for an interest-rate increase. – Wall Street Journal

Gold went up by 16 percent in the first quarter of 2016 and kept on moving even afterward for a total of 20%.

Investors are nervous about the economy and the first quarter’s results reflected those nerves with a rise in gold.

Since then it’s moved down some 6% as Janet Yellen has counterattacked with vaguely worded suggestions that the Fed might hike rates again.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Private Restrooms Are Private Property

by Patrick Barron
Mises.org

The current tempest in a teapot among the “rights” advocates is that no one should be restricted from using the gender specific bathroom of his choice. The “rights” advocates want to use the police power of the state to ensure this outcome. The federal government has come down on the side of the “rights” advocates, with regional and local governments sometimes taking the opposite side. Once again, Americans are being told that there are only two sides to this issue, and both sides claim to defend what is proper.

But are there only two sides? Perhaps we are looking at this issue in the wrong way. Instead of assuming that some level of government can make this decision for all of society, there is the alternative solution of defending the right of the property owner (of the bathroom in question) to make this decision. After all, someone actually paid for the bathroom in order to satisfy his preference. And there are precedents. We all have seen signs that tell us that bathrooms are reserved for customers only. There is no movement that I have seen that demands that any bathroom anywhere be accessible to whoever desires to answer the call of nature. We all accept that limiting bathroom facilities to customers is the right of the business owner.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

New York Fed 2nd Quarter “Nowcast” Rises to 2.2% Following Housing, Durable Goods Reports

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

The New York Fed Nowcast Model for second quarter GDP rose to 2.2% from 1.7% in today’s release.

The increase was largely due to a massive jump in new home sales. Durable goods also added to the strength.

Nowcast Highlights May 27, 2016:

  • The FRBNY Staff Nowcast for GDP growth in 2016:Q2 has increased for the third week in a row and stands now at 2.2%.
  • Positive news came from new single family houses sold and manufacturers’ new orders of durable goods.
  • This week’s second estimate of GDP growth for 2016:Q1 from the Commerce Department was 0.8%. In the advance estimate released last month, GDP growth was 0.5%. The last FRBNY Staff Nowcast for that quarter, computed before the release of the advance estimate, was 0.7%

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

Should You Start Hoarding Gold? Some Say China’s Gold Ambitions Mean You Should Keep Some Stashed at Home

by Annabelle Williams
City AM

China’s decision to buy its second gold storage vault in London last week was another step towards total dominance of the market.

The vault is in a secret location and was bought by Chinese state-owned bank ICBC Standard Bank from Barclays. It could store $90bn of gold at today’s prices, and follows the purchase of a lease on another vault in the capital earlier this year from Deutsche Bank.

London has been a hub for metals investment for hundreds of years, but times have changed and the big banks are pulling back from trading them.

Now China is pushing into the gold market in a big way.

Continue Reading at CityAM.com…

We Are at the Edge of Meltdown

by Martin Armstrong
Armstrong Economics

We will have the BREXIT report out next week. This is incredibly important for the fate of Europe hangs in the balance. Politicians are only interested in saving their own jobs. They do not care about the people and the markets reflect this arrogance.

Nobody has seen a chart of the Euro v British Pound since the floating rate system began. We had to take the formula used and recreate it in time. You cannot use the ECU because the pound was included. This shows the dramatic high the Euro made against the pound in 1985. Even during the rally of 2008 when the Euro reached $1.60 on the greenback, it looks like a minor blip on this chart against the pound sterling. In 2015, the Euro fell to .6937 against the pound and then rallied to close at .73750. We have a Yearly Bearish Reversal at .73450 which it avoided like many other markets for year-end 2015. If we elect this Yearly Bearish Reversal, this is warning new lows even against the British pound.

Continue Reading at ArmstrongEconomics.com…

Lacy Hunt: Debt is Hurtling the US Toward an Economic Crisis

by Bob Bryan
Business Insider

Debt will get the US into a monumental pickle, or at least Lacy Hunt thinks so.

Hunt, one of the leaders of Hoisington Investment Management, which manages over $4 billion, said the increasing debt among corporations and the government was going to take the country down a startling path.

“The traditional business cycle model said that recessions are brought in by rising interest rates and rising inflation,” Hunt said this week during an interview at the Mauldin Economics’ Strategic Investment Conference.

“However, when economies are extremely overindebted, the economies can turn down under the weight of the debt. We’ve seen four recession in Japan in the last seven years with interest rates at zero and inflation negative.”

Continue Reading at BusinessInsider.com…

The New Oil Traders – Moms and Millennials

by Wall Street Journal
David Stockman’s Contra Corner

When Erika Cajic woke before dawn one morning in early May and read that wildfires were breaking out in an oil-producing region of Alberta, she sat down on the family room couch with a cup of hot chocolate and her laptop and bought shares of an investment linked to crude.

The 45-year-old full-time parent of two in Mississauga, Ontario, like many investors, reasoned that the production outages would drive up the price of oil. By buying the VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil UWTI -0.73 % exchange-traded note, she tripled down on her hunch, as the product uses derivatives that aim to rise and fall at triple the daily change in oil.

Within about four days, she estimated she made about 500 Canadian dollars (US$384) on those trades after converting from U.S. dollars.

Continue Reading at DavidStockmansContraCorner.com…

The Next Systemic Lehman Event

by Jim Willie CB, GoldenJackass.com
Gold Seek

The entire Western financial systemic, complete with USDollar-based foundation platforms, is breaking down. The breakdown is in full view, very noticeable, in almost every arena. What happened in 2008 with the Lehman Brothers failure event is currently underway with almost every single financial platform, structural entity, financial market, banking structure, and arena. In response to the Lehman killjob event, where JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs strangled the victim firm (by denying Lehman proceeds on countless asset sales), the entire Western financial system has been lashed together, tied together, and connected among its many member parts. The main parts are the big banks, which use derivative contracts to lash themselves together. They believe there is strength in numbers, which is true to some extent.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Fed’s Yellen Says an Interest-Rate Rise is Probably Coming in ‘Months’

‘Growth looks to be picking up,’ Yellen said.

by Steve Goldstein
Market Watch

Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen on Friday said an interest-rate rise may coming in a matter of “months,” as she expected the economy, and importantly, the jobs market, to continue to get better.

“It’s appropriate — and I have said this in the past—for the Fed to gradually and cautiously increase our overnight interest rate over time,” Yellen said, “and probably in the coming months such a move would be appropriate.”

She said indicators point to the U.S. economy rebounding after a difficult first quarter. “Growth looks to be picking up,” she said. The Commerce Department earlier on Friday reported a 0.8% gain in first-quarter gross domestic product.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Driverless Cars and Tiny Houses: The Latest Manipulated Technology Trends

by Daily Bell Staff
The Daily Bell

After almost a century of making cars and selling them in more or less the same way, automakers (and others) are getting the sense that the business of automotive transportation might be about to change radically. Here’s Toyota executive Shigeki Tomoyama on the Uber deal: “Ridesharing has huge potential in terms of shaping the future of mobility.” – Bloomberg

Soon it may become much more difficult for you to actually drive a car.

You’ll be able to sit in one. You’ll be able to tell it where to go. But you won’t actually be able to propel it to a destination of your choice.

And if you have certain outstanding bills or have some sort of outstanding official issue, it will be very easy to remove your driving privileges.

Electrical cars may compound the problem due to limited range.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

Santelli: Fannie, Freddie Pose Systemic Risk Again

by Tae Kim
CNBC.com

In a Santelli Exchange interview exclusive to CNBC Pro subscribers, economist Douglas Holtz-Eakin discusses the potential danger posed to the U.S. housing market from the government’s handling of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac after the financial crisis.

“Worries a lot of us. Going back to the business model that got us in trouble to begin with. And that is what I’m concerned about,” Holtz-Eakin said.

Holtz-Eakin is president of the American Action Forum and former director of the Congressional Budget Office.

Continue Reading at CNBC.com…

The Task Confronting Libertarians

by Henry Hazlitt
Mises.org

From time to time over the last thirty years, after I have talked or written about some new restriction on human liberty in the economic field, some new attack on private enterprise, I have been asked in person or received a letter asking, “What can I do” — to fight the inflationist or socialist trend? Other writers or lecturers, I find, are often asked the same question.

The answer is seldom an easy one. For it depends on the circumstances and ability of the questioner — who may be a businessman, a housewife, a student, informed or not, intelligent or not, articulate or not. And the answer must vary with these presumed circumstances.

The general answer is easier than the particular answer. So here I want to write about the task now confronting all libertarians considered collectively.

This task has become tremendous, and seems to grow greater every day.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

Doug Casey: This Country Is on the Cusp of a Real Disaster

from Casey Research

Editor’s note: Today, in place of our daily market commentary, we’re sharing a recent essay that’s been extremely popular with our Casey Report and International Man readers.

In it, Casey Research founder Doug Casey tells us about his recent trip to Zimbabwe. As you may know, Zimbabwe is in a genuine economic crisis…which means there’s an opportunity for big investment gains, if you know where to look. (If crisis investing interests you, make sure to check out the bottom of today’s essay, where we describe a fantastic deal you can still get in on.)

Continue Reading at CaseyResearch.com…

As the U.S. Tries to Destroy the World, it Will Destroy Itself

by David Kranzler
Investment Research Dynamics

Except for its western hemisphere lap-dogs and chattel, the U.S. “defense” strategy has been the implementation of a highly “offensive” (in both senses of the word here) policy of military and economic antagonism. What unfolding of events in Syria and Venezuela are just two examples.

As the U.S. Ponzi scheme continues to unravel, the Government’s attempt to control the markets intensifies. The primary stock indices (Dow, S&P 500, Naz), which are currently more overvalued than at any point in U.S. history, seem impervious to any sort of sell-off, no matter how atrocious the economic news. The stock market has been “miraculously” bullet-proof from the most recent Fed official threats to hike interest rates in two weeks.

Continue Reading at InvestmentResearchDynamics.com…

Gold Juniors’ Q1’16 Fundamentals

by Adam Hamilton
Zeal LLC

The smaller gold-mining and exploration stocks have enjoyed an amazing year, soaring with gold’s new bull market. Many have more than doubled since mid-January, and some have more than tripled at best in that short span. Are such spectacular gains fundamentally-justified, or merely the result of ephemeral sentiment that could vanish anytime? The gold juniors’ recently-reported Q1’16 results offer great insights.

The junior gold miners and explorers play a critical role in the world gold market. They bear the major costs and risks associated with discovering and sometimes developing new economically-viable gold deposits. They painstakingly find the new gold reserves to offset the constant depletion of the world’s existing gold mines, acting as the headwaters feeding the global mined-gold-supply pipeline vital to this industry.

Continue Reading at ZealLLC.com…

Democrats Made AR-15 Popular: Gun Sales “Driven By The Ban Concept”

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

Ever wonder if all the anti-gun rhetoric isn’t just a grand reverse-psychology trick?

After all, perhaps there is a reason that Barack Obama has been branded the world’s greatest gun salesman.

That’s the feeling that gun dealer, historian and author Martin KA Morgan has developed – after watching Americans turn feverishly towards buying up semi-automatic “assault weapons” in the wake of Clinton’s 1994 assault weapons ban.

Before that? Hardly anybody was focused on or buying these guns, and there wasn’t much to say about them.

via the London Guardian:

Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

Charts at 12:30

from Jesse’s Café Américain

There will be a long holiday weekend in the US for Memorial Day, a day in which we remember all those who have served, and especially those who have given that ‘last full measure of devotion.’

Stocks are reaching for a high note, once again.

Gold has been smacked down for the June contract option expiration and the management of perception, and little else.

Silver had declined as well but seems to be holding the 16 handle.

The Fed is engaged in some fairly self-serving actions as always, in this case to raise rates so they can lower them again when their latest bubble collapses. There has been no sustainable recovery.

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

Class of Underemployed

Nearly 50 percent of recent college graduates are working in jobs where no college degree is required.

from My Budget 360

We don’t send our young into the wilderness for a vision quest as a rite of passage. There are few things in modern society that signify a transition into adulthood. Going to college is one of them. And in debt addicted America, it is no surprise that for many, college debt is the first debt they will take on. Getting a college education is supposed to give someone a well rounded view of the world and a potential skill set. Some argue that college is not about vocational training. That to some degree is true but when students are going into $50,000 or $100,000 of student debt, then what is this modern day life quest really teaching and why is the price tag so incredibly high? As college graduation season comes into full bloom, many are left with the prospect of having no job lined up. It is also startling to see how many recent college graduates are working in jobs that really don’t require a college degree (so clearly the vocational piece doesn’t matter here).

Continue Reading at MyBudget360.com…

Yahoo, Facebook Exposed: Propaganda More Difficult in Era of Internet

by Daily Bell Staff
The Daily Bell

Katie Couric Regrets ‘Poor Decision’ to Insert Pause in Gun Documentary Interview … Katie Couric is upset that an eight-second pause inserted into an interview she did with gun rights activists in the documentary “Under the Gun” has drawn criticism. – TheWrap

Yahoo’s Katie Couric has just released an anti-gun documentary with a manufactured pause that mocks pro-gun interviewees. This is one of those stories that the mainstream media cannot ignore.

It provides us with further evidence that those who wish to propagandize audiences need to be careful about how they do it. If biases are not revealed, the Internet may expose them.

The perspective of the documentary is not surprising, but its clumsiness has likely undermined its effectiveness.

Continue Reading at TheDailyBell.com…

The Debt Problem No One’s Talking About

by Chad Shoop
The Sovereign Investor

It’s no secret. Our government has a debt problem … a $19.2 trillion debt problem.

It’s also no secret that the majority of Americans also have a debt problem, totaling more than $12 trillion.

It should come as no surprise, then, that corporate America also has a rising debt problem as well. And, thanks to a recent report released by S&P Global Ratings, we now know just how severe the situation is for corporate America — $6.6 trillion in debt and only $1.8 trillion in cash for all 2,000 companies reviewed.

Debt can be a good thing in the right situation. But too much debt is a guaranteed disaster — and that’s exactly what America is facing right now.

Continue Reading at TheSovereignInvestor.com…

The Man Who Will Stop Climate Change

by Jason Simpkins
Outsider Club

He’s won prestigious global awards for his contributions to humanity.

He created the world’s largest urban renewable energy zone.

He’s an inventor with 623 patents to his name.

He’s a billionaire.

He’s going to save us from climate change.

Continue Reading at OutsiderClub.com…