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Fed Rate Hike Back on Table – but Likely Not July – After Strong Jobs Report

by Greg Robb
Market Watch

The Federal Reserve is back in the game. That’s the simple message from the surprisingly strong June jobs report, economists said.

“The report does increase modestly Fed tightening odds in coming months, but not to an extreme extent,” said Dean Maki, chief economist for Point72 Asset Management.

“This report should ease some of the fears weighing on some FOMC members that May could reflect the start of a sustained slowdown,” Maki said.

The economy added 287,000 new jobs in June, much stronger than expected and up from a paltry 11,000 jobs added in May.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Foxes in the Chicken House

by Bill Bonner
Acting Man

Turning Inward

U.S. stocks fell a little on Monday. After the excitement of Brexit, investors don’t seem to know what to do. Some believe the vote in Britain signals a “breaking up” pattern… a move toward Trumpism and away from globalization and financialization.

[…] If so, it may mean “walls” – turning inward and away from the go-go era of ever rising credit and central bank backstops for the capital markets. Others believe Brexit will have the opposite effect. The “Hillary Effect,” they say, causes policy makers to close ranks – and do “whatever it takes” to protect themselves.

What it takes, they believe, is more phony money.

Continue Reading at Acting-Man.com…

No Charges for Clinton Proves Two Tier Legal System, Global Crash is Certain, Buy Gold and Silver

Greg Hunter’s Weekly News Wrap-Up for July 8th, 2016

by Greg Hunter
USA Watchdog

You’ve heard by now, Democratic presumptive nominee Hillary Clinton will not be charged over her unprotected email servers she used while at the State Department. Even though FBI Director James Comey pointed out multiple lies Ms. Clinton told, he decided not to recommend charges and said he “could not prove intent.” He also explained his decision to Congress this week but would not comment when asked about other investigations into the Clinton Foundation. Comey revealed that he did not personally interview Ms. Clinton last Saturday or even attend the deposition. He also revealed that Clinton did not testify under oath. Democrats in the hearing said Republicans were grilling Comey just to score points against their presidential candidate. Now, leaders in the House of Representatives are preparing a recommendation to the FBI to look into allegations Clinton lied to Congress in the Benghazi hearings.

Continue Reading at USAWatchdog.com…

The Disastrous Dollar Standard

by Richard Duncan
Daily Reckoning

Then the Gods of the Market tumbled, and their smooth-tongued wizards
Withdrew, And the hearts of the Meanest were humbled and began to believe
It was true That All is not Gold that Glitters, and Two and Two make Four
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings limped up to explain it once more.
— Rudyard Kipling, 1919

When the Bretton Woods international monetary system broke down in 1973, the world’s financial officials were unable to agree on a new set of rules to regulate international trade and monetary relations. Instead, a new system began to emerge without formal agreement or sanction. It also remained nameless.

The current international monetary system which evolved out of the collapse of Bretton Woods will be referred to as the dollar standard — so named because U.S. dollars have become the world’s core reserve currency in place of gold, which had comprised the world’s reserve assets under the Bretton Woods system as well as under the classical gold standard of the 19th century.

Continue Reading at DailyReckoning.com…

Peter Schiff & Chris Waltzek on GoldSeek Radio – July 7, 2016

by Chris Waltzek
GoldSeek Radio

Peter Schiff, Chairman of SchiffGold.com and the host discuss the current silver market eruption, as predicted two weeks earlier on the show. At the end of 2015, for the first time hedge funds were net short the silver market, setting the stage for the perfect price squeeze. Precious metals shares are only beginning what could be a remarkable multi-year advance, as investors wake up to the opportunity; shares are just now starting to reflect their intrinsic value and as the underlying PMs bullion prices advance, the relative affect on the shares could prove explosive. Peter Schiff is “pounding the table” on merits of silver. His forecast includes a meteoric climb to $50 silver, where investment demand / tight supply conditions force the market to eclipse the record zenith on the heels of peak-silver (declining mine output), as well as rising industrial demand, sending AG north of $100-$200+. The legendary investor suggests that investors not dwell on $20 silver, but to be wise enough to procure some for the long-term.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Continue Reading at Radio.GoldSeek.com…

A Precarious State

by Charles Hugh Smith
Of Two Minds

The global political/economic state feels precarious for a good reason: it is precarious.

That the global economy is in a precarious state seems self-evident. Take your pick of the systemic risks: debt bubble and slowdown in China, banking/political crisis in Europe, negative interest rates and stagnation in Japan, ongoing meltdown in emerging markets and currencies, oil prices that threaten mayhem if they go up and if they go down, and a downturn in global trade that is usually associated with recession.

Other than that, everything’s great. How about those summer Olympics? Seriously, what isn’t in a precarious state?

If the global financial sector isn’t precarious, then why is capital flooding into negative interest bonds? Why are money managers willing to accept a guaranteed loss of capital if things are going great and opportunities for low-risk profits are abundant?

Continue Reading at OfTwoMinds.com…

At Least 11 Dallas Police Officers Shot, 4 Killed, by Snipers

Chaos, violence following peaceful protest march

by Mike Murphy
Market Watch

At least 11 police officers were shot — four fatally — by snipers in downtown Dallas, Texas, on Thursday night following a peaceful march protesting recent police shootings of black men.

Dallas Police Chief David Brown said late Thursday that four of the officers died, three others were in critical condition, and two more were in surgery.

CNN reported that at least three of the wounded officers were from the Dallas Area Rapid Transit police. At least two of the deceased officers were from the Dallas Police Department, and one from DART. One civilian was also wounded, police said.

Continue Reading at MarketWatch.com…

Market Suggests 76.9% Chance of No Hikes Through June 2017

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

The market does not expect any rate hikes all the way through June of 2017, and in fact beyond. June of 2017 is the furthest CME Rate Hike Calculations go.

Let’s compare market expectations to a “Dot Plot” of Fed governor rate hike expectations.

Rate Hike Expectations for June 2017

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

The FBI, Credibility, and Government

by Scott Adams
Scott Adam’s Blog

The primary goal of government is its own credibility.

That notion needs some explaining.

Governments do many things, including building roads, providing social services, defending the homeland, and more. But no matter what the government is trying to accomplish, its macro-responsibility is to maintain its own credibility. Governments without credibility devolve into chaos. Credibility has to be job one.

Consider all the different government systems around the world, and all the different laws they created.

Continue Reading at Blog.Dilbert.com…

Brexit Plows into British Consumers, Economy to Spiral Down

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Consumer confidence plunges the most since 1994.

Britons’ economic sentiment, already sagging since the summer of 2014, has dropped after the Brexit vote at the steepest rate since 1994!

We can’t blame them. The pound sterling plunged 25% over the last 12 months in anticipation of the Brexit vote, and in its aftermath. A bevy of usual suspects, including Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, and Citigroup, are now proclaiming that the pound could fall another 7% to 11%. Deutsche Bank figures the pound, now at $1.29, could drop to $1.15 by the end of the year.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Horrific New Video Shows Police Shooting Dead an Unarmed California Teen, 19, as He Lay on the Ground

by Hannah Parry
DailyMail

Shocking new video has emerged showing California police shooting dead a 19-year-old man as he lay on the ground.

Cellphone footage shows Dylan Noble being gunned down by cops at a Fresno gas station after they pulled him over for speeding on June 24.

He was taken to hospital with four bullet wounds but later died in surgery, prompting angry protests.

[…] The short video clip, filmed by a witness at the station, showed the teen lying on the ground next to his pick up truck as two cops stood in front pointing their guns at him.

Continue Reading at DailyMail.co.uk…

VIX a Sucker’s Bet, Especially Now

by Rick Ackerman
RickAckerman.com

The E-Mini S&P tout sent out Wednesday night predicted Wall Street’s week would end with two days of asphyxiating tedium. After Thursday’s trance-inducing dirge, we’re down to one more likely day of tedium. Tempting as it is to buy the VIX, which in the last seven days has fallen by half to a recent low of 14.33, it’s still a sucker’s bet. If you had held call options on the Volatility Index for the last hundred days, you’d have experienced exhilaration, pleasure and profit on perhaps four of them. The dog days of summer are here, Trump vs. Clinton is what passes for news, and we had better get used to it.

Continue Reading at RickAckerman.com…

China Resumes Monthly Gold Buying in Bid to Diversify Reserves

by Bloomberg News
Bloomberg.com

China, the world’s biggest producer and consumer of gold, added about 500,000 ounces to central bank reserves in June, restarting monthly purchases to diversify holdings after taking a breather in May.

The People’s Bank of China increased assets to 58.62 million ounces, or about 1,823 metric tons, from 58.14 million ounces in May when they were unchanged, according to data on the central bank’s website. The country has boosted its hoard in 11 out of the past 12 months after announcing a 57 percent increase to 53.32 million ounces since 2009.

Continue Reading at Bloomberg.com…

Europe’s Bank Crisis Arrives in Germany: €29 Billion Bremen Landesbank on the Verge of Failure

from Zero Hedge

When most recently reporting on the latest European banking crisis, yesterday we observed a surprising development involving Deutsche Bank, namely the bank’s decision to quietly liquidate some of its shipping loans. As Reuters reported, “Deutsche Bank is looking to sell at least $1 billion of shipping loans to lighten its exposure to the sector whose lenders face closer scrutiny from the European Central Bank.

“They are looking to lighten their portfolio and this includes toxic debt. It makes commercial sense to try and sell off some of their book,” one finance source said. Deutsche Bank, which has around $5 billion to $6 billion worth of total exposure to the shipping sector, declined to comment.”

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

War on the Streets of America: Live-Streamed Raw Footage – Snipers Triangulated Cops from Elevated Positions – At Least Four Suspects Involved – 11 Shot – Four Dead

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

UPDATE:

Dallas Police Department confirms at least Four suspects involved. They have cornered a suspect in an El Centro College downtown Dallas garage. Police report he is not cooperating, continues to fire at officers and has threatened to detonate multiple explosives across downtown Dallas. Two suspects have reportedly been captured in the Oak Cliff suburb of downtown Dallas and are now in police custody. A fourth suspect, a woman, was detained and is being questioned.

According to Dallas PD police chief David Brown, three or more individuals appear to have taken up elevated positions and triangulated the officers. They were heavily armed, reportedly with AR-15 rifles and 30-round magazines. One witness said that one of the shooters had so many magazines they were falling out of his jacket.

Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

More Obscuration From The British Establishment

by Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
PaulCraigRoberts.org

Sir John Chilcot, a member of the British establishment and also a member of the Butler Inquiry, the responsibility of which was to determine if the so-called “intelligence” used as the excuse for the US/UK invasion of Saddam Hussein’s Iraq was “fixed” to justify the invasion, has, after seven years of delay, finally issued its report.

Remember, there was a leaked memo from the head of British intelligence that the intelligence justifying the Iraqi Invasion was “fixed” or orchestrated to produce the justification for the invasion, a war crime under the Nuremberg standard established by the United States. Chilcot’s job was to make this fact go away or assume less importance and to protect the Butler Inquiry’s orchestrated verdict that, despite the word of the head of British intelligence, the intelligence was not fixed.

Continue Reading at PaulCraigRoberts.org…

Brexit Shows Why Central Planning Won’t Work

by Jason Morgan
Mises.org

For months before the Brexit referendum on June 23rd, entire industries were hard at work attempting to predict how the UK electorate would vote.

Polling companies canvassed neighborhoods, made phone calls, sent surveys by e-mail, monitored websites, and spoke with people on busy city streets, in the process assembling a trove of data which the companies then analyzed and distilled down to probabilities for and against.

The Polls and Predictions Were Wrong

The media in virtually every country around the world built on this polling — and on the reams of op-eds by pundits with (and without) vast expertise in banking, finance, politics, and diplomacy — to forecast the referendum results. Handicapping the election became the responsibility of whole sections of newsrooms.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

Why the Bears Should Be Scared

by Clif Droke, Gold Strategies Review
Gold Seek

The last year has been a scary time to be an investor. In 2015, the slowdown in China’s economy caused undue apprehension to investors and contributed to a nausea-inducing rollercoaster ride which began last July and has continued until now.

By the end of 2015 low energy prices were taking a toll on the high yield debt market, which in turn catalyzed another stock market swoon. Although the decline wasn’t severe, the January 2016 market panic ended with the biggest spike in bearish investor sentiment since the 2008 credit crash. This reflects the pronounced tendency among investors to panic at the slightest hint of danger, a spillover effect from the historic 2008 crisis.

Added to the concerns over China have been the endless scares over the euro zone economy.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

This is What Gold’s Top Tipster is Saying About Prices

sees gold climbing to $1,425 this quarter, prices will then fall through March before resuming advance.

by Jasmine Ng and Eddie van der Walt, Bloomberg
Mine Web

Gold’s top forecaster, who in February abandoned her bearish outlook to correctly call bullion’s surge, sees more gains in store before prices taper off by year-end.

The metal will climb to $1,425 an ounce by the end of September, 4.4% higher than now, before dipping in the following six months amid prospects for higher U.S. interest rates, said Georgette Boele, a currency and commodity analyst at ABN Amro Bank NV. The 43-year old was rated by Bloomberg as the most accurate forecaster.

Boele has been right on the way up and also the way down. At the start of 2013, she was among the most bearish analysts before gold capped its first annual drop in 13 years. She called for lower prices until just a few months after bullion touched a five-year low in December.

Continue Reading at MineWeb.com…

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – Pause Ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls – Winter Is Coming

from Jesse’s Café Américain

[…] Let’s see if the Non-Farm Payrolls Report tomorrow gives the Fed enough of a recovery fig-leaf to start talking about rate increases, and sufficient nudge for the market takers to shove the price of the precious metals around to catch any of the over-leveraged specs leaning in the wrong direction.

Except for the occasional exogenous news that moves markets, we are in the Summer doldrums where the market fakers and takers like to shove prices around to generate enough action to fuel the vig.

It used to be ridiculously high commissions and the occasional frauds, but now it is pervasive insider trading and the soft corruption surrounding HFT and the exchanges that fuels the Jabba the Hutts of Wall Street and Washington.

Continue Reading at JessesCrossroadsCafe.Blogspot.ca…

Signs the Government Is Planning to Confiscate Your Retirement Funds

by Jeff Berwick
Dollar Vigilante

We’ve warned that bankrupt governments will be eyeing the multi-trillions of dollars in “un-taxed” retirement funds when they get desperate enough.

It is an incredibly common occurrence. It has happened in numerous countries in just recent memory. Poland, Hungary and Bolivia are a few in the last years where retirement funds have been seized.

Total funds currently held in private IRA and 401K accounts in the US are estimated to be in the neighborhood of $10 trillion. That number looks awfully enticing to the US government which is currently indebted to the tune of $19 trillion and holding liabilities of over $100 trillion.

As we dance on the brink of a massive collapse, the government’s already empty coffers will be even further decimated as the economy contracts massively and tax receipts plummet.

Continue Reading at DollarVigilante.com…

Is Hillary Morally Unfit to Be President?

by Patrick J. Buchanan
AntiWar

Does Hillary Clinton possess the integrity and honesty to be president of the United States? Or are those quaint and irrelevant considerations in electing a head of state in 21st-century America?

These are the questions put on the table by the report from FBI Director James Comey on what his agents unearthed in their criminal investigation of the Clinton email scandal.

Clinton dodged an FBI recommendation that she be indicted for gross negligence in handling U.S. security secrets, a recommendation that would have aborted her campaign. But Director Comey dynamited the defense she has been offering the country.

Continue Reading at AntiWar.com…