A Recession in 2022 Looks Increasingly Likely as More Yield Curve Inversions Appear

The long end of the yield curve rallied strongly on Tuesday with the middle of the curve pricing in more hikes by the Fed. More inversions signal a recession sooner rather than later.

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

The highly watched 2-10 spread was positive 6 basis point (2.41 minus 2.35) as of the close on March 29 having briefly inverted (negative) intraday.

Yield Curve Spreads Since January 2021

[…] About a year ago the 2-10 spread was 159 basis points and is now just 6 basis points.

Yield Curve Spreads Since January 2022

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