by Gilbert G. Berdine, M.D.
The American Institute for Economic Research
Covid-19 has given scientific models a bad name. The predictions from these models have been horribly wrong. The problem was not with modelling; rather the problem was with poor choices of model parameters. One can get any mortality result ranging from none to 100% depending on the choices made for model parameters. Garbage in leads to garbage out.
Rather than equating garbage out predictions with “science” we should use scientific data to develop useful models of the mechanisms of virus transmission.