from Zero Hedge
Perhaps it was our article from last Friday which showed that contrary to most popular polls predicting a Blue Wave sweep on Nov 3, a recent analysis by the Trafalgar Group (which correctly called the outcome of the 2016 election) found that a Trump victory and Republicans holding the Senate were the two most likely outcomes on election day. Or perhaps it was just general nerves over the upcoming election, which will be contested according to the latest BofA Fund Manager Survey …
… but whatever the reason, JPMorgan’s top quant Marko Kolanovic wrote and interesting note yesterday in which he said that clients have been asking him “what data in addition to polls are available to assess possible US election outcomes in various states.”