Yield Curve Got it Right

by Rick Ackerman

My colleague Bob Hoye saw a yield curve inversion that occurred in July as reason to prepare his subscribers for the stock market crash that has ensued. Every inversion since 1857 foretold a recession, suggesting that even without the pandemic, shares were headed for trouble. Still more concerning, he notes, is that the curve inverted twice this time, a rare and especially ominous event seen only in 1873, 1929 and 2007. These were all memorable years in the annals of economic ruin. Will we be fortunate enough to escape with something less this time? The next few weeks may hold the answer, but prayer couldn’t hurt.

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