“Negative” Oil?

by Bill Holter

Please note, this article was posted for subscribers Monday morning after suggesting “negative oil” on Saturday’s weekly call.

I made the comment on Saturday’s call, “we had negative interest rates, now we wait for negative oil prices”. I received a few questions because the negative price of anything makes no sense right? Well actually it does. Because demand has dropped so precipitously and production has continued unabated, supply is piling up. In the real world this is a huge problem because the oversupply must be stored somewhere. Oil is now being stored on previously empty tankers because land based storage facilities are overflowing.

It is now estimated that in roughly 30 days there will be no more spare capacity for storage. It will be at this point producers will need to “pay” (as in accept a negative price) for produced oil. Crazy yes but also reality. Beyond the obvious that low (or negative) oil prices will destroy individual companies and thus the entire industry, there are other ramifications more nuclear to the financial and real economic systems.

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