by Karl Denninger
Social Distancing — 15 days that make the difference.
So says the government.
[…] Here’s what you’re looking at.
The native R0 is 3.0. If everyone socially distances we don’t stop the virus, but we suppress the rate of growth. That suppression results in a temporary R0 of 2.0.
The “infected” rate is the R0 minus the percentage of infected and recovered (that is, R0 starts to burn out.)