by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Democratic polls trends remain on track for no candidate to have over 50% of the delegates by the convention.
According to Nate Silver’s 538 Estimate, Bernie Sanders in in the lead nationally with a 22.7% share in national polls.
[…] Three active candidates have over 15% of the vote. That is the path to a contested convention, defined as no one wins in the first round.
Bad News For Bernie
Those are national polls and the battle will be won at state level, not the national level.