by Karl Denninger
The number of murders has gone up and down. Note that the population of the United States has continually risen, so the number of murders, assuming that the rate per person remains the same, should be a continually-upsloping line growing at about 1% a year.
It isn’t. In fact the number of murder peaked around 1990. It is materially lower now than then, despite all the screaming of the various scolds, and we’re 20 years further down with more people in the nation.
However, what has changed is the clearance (that is, the number of people who murder and get caught) rate.