Negative Divergence in Gold Stocks Bodes for Lower Prices

by Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT
The Daily Gold

You have heard it before from us and probably elsewhere. The miners lead Gold. We have seen this every major turn dating back 16 years and it can also be the case with respect to short and medium term trends. While the precious metals sector has rallied over the past few weeks, the rally has been weak and the gold stocks relative weakness in recent days bodes negatively for the sector.

Consider the daily chart (below) and the overall performance from this past week. Gold gained $9/oz or 0.7% on the week but GDX and GDXJ lost 3.3% and 5.3% on the week. Silver gained 1.7% on the week while SIL lost 4%. More importantly, the gold stocks peaked seven sessions ago and are trading 4%-5% below that peak while Gold closed Friday at its highest level in October. This is not the type of action typical of a sustainable rebound.

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