from Bill Still
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Good evening, I’m still reporting on
Donald Trump Has an 87% Chance of Beating Crooked Hillary Clinton
On Feb. 25th with the primaries barely underway, we ran a report on the prediction of Professor Helmut Norpoth, a professor of political science at Stony Brook University in Stoneybrook, New York. He then predicted that Donald Trump had a 97% chance of beating Hillary Clinton to become the next President of the United States.
Now remember, when he made this prediction only 4 Republican primaries had taken place, Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada. We ran the prediction in Still Report #652 – 634 Reports ago.
Professor Norpoth’s system has accurately predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1912 – except for the 1960 election where the Chicago mob held back the Chicago vote until they saw how many votes Jack Kennedy needed to beat Nixon.
Norpoth’s model measures a candidate’s pre-nomination performances in primaries and caucuses. It also measures voter excitement and certain patterns in electoral cycles.
According to Norpoth:
“Trump beats Hillary 54.7 percent to 45.3 percent….”
“When I started out … a few months ago, I thought it was sort of a joke. Well, I’ll tell you right now, it ain’t a joke anymore. Take it to the bank.”
Tucker Carlson had Prof. Norpoth on Fox earlier today.
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I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.