More Data for the ‘Data Dependent’ to Ignore

by Jeffrey P. Snider
Alhambra Partners

The University of Michigan released its September update for their surveys of consumers. The overall index of consumer “sentiment” was unchanged from August at 89.8, and up just 3% from last September. This “confidence” index peaked in January 2015 at 98.1 and has been sideways to lower ever since. Most of the internals were practically unchanged throughout, leading Chief Economist Richard Curtin to note:

…modest gains in the outlook for the national economy have been offset by small declines in income prospects as well as buying plans

Not everything in the surveys was so uninteresting. Inflation expectations dropped yet again, as both short-term and intermediate consumer projections for the rate of prices changes continue to sink.

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