from Bill Still
lass=”” >Good afternoon, I’m still reporting on fake polls.
Hats off to Addison Riddleberger columns for assembling this social media data.
The 2016 elections will be the elections social scientists will look back on as the turning point year – the year where an analysis of social media will prove more predictive than paid polling.
Assuming that is a correct prediction, what does that mean for the future of the Trump-Clinton presidential race. All of these stats are as of Aug. 4th, 2016.
Let’s go to the data – Facebook Likes:
Trump: 10,174,358 – 65.4%
Clinton: 5,385,959 – 34.6%
Facebook live stream posts (latest):
Trump: 135,000 likes, 18,167 shares, 1,500,000 views = 1,653,167 total = 83.0%
Clinton: 11,000 likes, 0 shares, 321,000 views = 332,000 total = 17.0%
*note: almost half of Clinton FB posts, the top comments are from Trump supporters. However, top comments on Trump’s page are hardcore Trump supporters only.
Trump: 10.6 million followers = 56.7%
Clinton: 8.1 million followers = 43.3%
Youtube Live Stream (averages):
Trump: 30,000 live viewers per stream = 98.4%
Clinton: 500 live viewers per stream = 1.6%
Trump: 2.2 million followers = 55.0%
Clinton: 1.8 million followers = 45.0%
Trump: 197,696 = 71.3%
Clinton: 24,429 = 8.8%
Hillary for Prison: 55,228 = 19.9%
Bottom line: more than twice as many Reddit users think Clinton should be in jail as should become the next President of the United States.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.