by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
We now have an update from Matt Singh at Number Cruncher Politics on the odds of Brexit.
Despite massive shifts in two polls by The Guardian (online and telephone polls both show Brexit in the lead), and a Telegraph poll yesterday which showed the Brexiteers only trailing by 6 points, down by 15 points the week before, Singh bumped up the odds of Brexit by a mere 2 percentage points to 21%.
Is Singh misreading the polls and a sentiment change just as Nate Silver did with Donald Trump in the US?
Please consider Is Britain heading for Brexit? Latest polls.