Gold-Stock Summer Breakout?

by Adam Hamilton
Zeal LLC

The red-hot gold stocks surged again this week in an apparent early-summer breakout. This strong buying is defying their seasonally-weak odds this time of year. Investors are flocking back to the miners as gold powers higher on also-counter-seasonal strong investment buying. Such unprecedented gold-stock strength in early June highlights how undervalued the miners remain relative to gold, but is suspect.

Summers are usually lackluster times for gold, and thus silver and their miners’ stocks. These summer doldrums exist for a couple reasons. Gold simply enjoys no recurring demand spikes driven by cultural or income-cycle factors in June and July unlike during most of the rest of the year. It’s before the Asian-harvest, Indian-wedding-season, and Christmas gold buying that flares up like clockwork in second halves.

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