GDPNow Forecast Plunges to +0.6%; Tracking Lockhart’s Momentum with Pictures

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

In the wake of a dismal personal income and outlays report today, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Model forecast plunged to +0.6%.

Recall that on March 21, Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart cited “sufficient momentum evidenced by the economic data to justify a further step at one of the coming meetings, possibly as early as the meeting scheduled for end of April.”

I took exception to that claim when he made it, and a couple of times since then. Specifically, I cautioned Lockhard better wait for some more economic reports.

Since then, most economic reports have ranged from muddle-through to terrible.

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