by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk
Silver’s odds provide, his reasons for them, and the secret sauce behind them are now in question in multiple places.
I sent an Op-Ed on this idea to the New York Times in January. As expected, they would not touch it. Since then, evidence against Silver has mounted in what’s clearly a “late to party” phenomenon.
Last weekend I had a phone discussion with Salil Mehta, a top-selling mathematics and statistics book author, about mathematical discrepancies and other biases in Silver’s estimates.