by David Kranzler
Investment Research Dynamics
There’s been a lot of media/Wall St/blog noise about the relative strength or weakness with the U.S. dollar. With respect to gold, the daily vicissitudes of the gold price are associated with the daily price variations of the dollar index. This is incorrect analysis.
To be sure, over longer periods of time, there will be a high inverse correlation between the gold price and the dollar index. But prior to the run-up over $1900 in the current period, the last time the gold price was trading above $1900 was in September 2011. At the time the dollar index was trading in the 70’s.