by Karl Denninger
[…] IHME claims Florida, today, in their update today, which means it’s not a projection it’s a statement of fact that the state will require 3,932 beds — a range of 2,001 – 7,026.
But Florida has only required 1,956 beds and note their definition of “beds”; it is anyone who has ever required a bed, not one that is occupied right now. So all those discharged and ok or dead count as beds.
So at an absolute minimum you can subtract all the deaths; they are not tracking the discharges, but obviously there have been many.
In other words the model which is not projecting here, it is claiming fact, is once again lying.