by Chris Marchese
Following Part I of this piece, which highlighted three of six “next generation silver producers”, we will focus this piece on the next three, which include SilverCrest Metals, Alexco Resources, and Aurcana. The latter two don’t have tier-I silver asset but are very high grade and this group has an an all-in sustaining cost profile (AISC) in the bottom 50% on the industry cost curve, with SilverCrest and Aurcana having an AISC profile in the lowest quartile. Unlike Part I, whereby one company was nearing production, another was about to make an official production decision, and the last was still 3-4 years away from one (though worth inclusion as it will inevitably be an absolutely massive operation), these three companies are all nearing a production decision, which will be made this year assuming COVID-19 doesn’t completely shut down the capital markets or make the cost of equity very high for a prolonged period of time. As of this writing, it is looking like the metals have put in bottoms as a result of unprecedented global monetary and fiscal stimulus and rampant physical demand, but anything can happen.