by Pater Tenebrarum
We want to share a few observations about the growing COVID-19 epidemic, based on what we have seen so far. It has been obvious for a while now that the attempt to contain the spread of the virus has essentially failed. Ever since case numbers started to soar in South Korea, Italy and Iran, it was clear that hopes that the outbreak would remain confined to China were misplaced.
[…] While it appears that the draconian measures taken by China’s government have managed to slow the spread of the infection in the country substantially (the caveat is that it is hard to say how reliable the data released by China are), the outbreak is accelerating everywhere else. It does not appear to be containable, we therefore expect governments will begin to adopt mitigation strategies.