Odds of “No Winner” in the Democratic Primary Top 1 In 4

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

I arrived at a similar number as Nate Silver, but our methods are vastly different.

The most recent “Brokered Conventions” were Adlai Stevenson (of the 1952 Democratic Party) and Dwight Eisenhower (of the 1952 Republican Party).

The term simply means that no one enters the convention with a majority of votes.

Arguably, “contested” is a better term.

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