Election Forecast Silliness

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

In less than a month, Nate Silver’s 2016 Presidential Election Forecast has jumped wildly.

Odds of Donal Trump winning went from 19.7% on June 29 to 47.0%. on July 24.

On July 22, I received an email from a Political oddsmaker who stated Hillary Clinton had a 74% chance of winning.

The above forecast and Silver’s June projections were ridiculous.

Online Gambling says Election Odds: Clinton v. Trump is anything but conventional.

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