EU Referendum: LEAVE Opinion Poll Lead of 51% to 49% Whilst Bookmaker Odds Still Strongly Favour REMAIN

by Nadeem Walayat
Market Oracle

The government and ruling establishment’s Operation fear appears to be having the exact opposite effect as bogus reports on a daily basis that paint a picture for a BrExit doom resulting in REMAIN pulling ahead of LEAVE, instead it is the heavily financially disadvantaged LEAVE that has now nudged into a LEAD over REMAIN as an analysis of recent opinion polls illustrate.

Ignoring all polls that gave either side more than 10 point lead such as yesterday’s that gave LEAVE a 19 point poll lead and also last Friday’s by ORB that gave LEAVE a 10 point lead as being propaganda polls constructed purely to grab the headlines. Then as the below table illustrates that LEAVE on an average basis has now nudged marginally ahead of REMAIN for the first time this year.

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